[Canada] Canadian Politics Redux

[viper37]

The Conservatives are still polling at a massive lead, and Poilievre is likely to be our next PM.

You can see all the latest polls here:
https://338canada.com/polls.htm

Latest Mainstreet put them at 36 (L) and 39 (C).
Aggregate still gives a 99% probability for the C to make the government, but... things are changing quickly.

If you look at the numbers and the graph, there's a clear rise from the Libs and a clear fall for the Cons.  You can check the results by province too.

[Grey Fox]

Your weeks away from losing your democracy.

I'll take that bet.

I don't gamble.

How do you feel about your King now, Yi?

[viper37]

Wilson-Raybould reportedly advised RCMP to widen scope of SNC-Lavalin probe

Interesting for BB only, probably (and sadly).

The RCMP was urged in a confidential interview with former attorney general Jody Wilson-Raybould to widen their probe into the SNC-Lavalin scandal, according to Blacklock's Reporter. 

The details came from access-to-information files that were released Tuesday by the group Democracy Watch, which said Wilson-Raybould's advice was ignored.

"There are more people that you guys need to talk to than me," said Wilson-Raybould in a Sept. 10, 2019, transcription obtained by Democracy Watch.
"There is a lot more information out there that I wasn't privy to."

The RCMP subsequently admitted they never asked to formally chat with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau or secure a warrant for records withheld by cabinet.

"The evidence clearly shows the RCMP is a negligently weak lapdog that rolled over for Trudeau by doing a very superficial investigation into his cabinet's obstruction of the prosecution of SNC-Lavalin," Democracy Watch said in a statement.

The group added that the Mounties "never considered prosecuting anyone for breach of trust."

[crazy canuck]

The coach before the game with the US tonight

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DGQ-zgJSaPe/?igsh=dWZrc3hienAzNm5s

[Jacob]

The Conference Board of Canada did an assessment of the likely economic impact of Trump's tariffs on provincial economies: https://www.conferenceboard.ca/insights/the-true-cost-of-trump-tariffs-provincial-impacts/

In early February we released our scenario that assessed the impact of U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports, with retaliation by Canada. Here we use that scenario to assess the impacts of those assumptions on each province's economy.The assumptions used to assess provincial impacts are in-line with that scenario, namely:

• U.S. tariffs of 25 per cent on all non-energy exports, and 10 per cent on all energy exports remain in place for one quarter.
• Canada's response includes phase 2 retaliatory tariffs as outlined by the federal government earlier this month. We use the tariff list provided for the first $30 billion worth of goods (phase one tariffs), then use other noted products and our best estimates for the rest of the $155 billion (phase 2 tariffs).
• The U.S. does not further escalate because of Canada's response.
• The U.S. also imposes tariffs of 25 per cent on Mexico and 10 per cent on China, with those countries each retaliating.
• Canada's fiscal response is limited to the estimated tariff revenue, with 40 per cent of the tariff revenue going to households and 60 per cent to businesses.
• The tariffs are in place for 3 months, assumed to be the entirety of the second quarter.
• There is no response from the Bank of Canada to the tariffs.