2016 elections - because it's never too early

[derspiess]

You really think they're going to be turned off by gringo pronounciation?  They're not French.

They'll make fun of it.  Ask me how I know

[derspiess]

I love that Sav makes a point that is mildly critical not even of Hillary but her campaign tactics, and is immediately attacked. The power of denial is strong in Hillanguishers.

I like how Martinus is a waste of a poster. Oh wait, I don't.

I think you just proved his point

[garbon]

I love that Sav makes a point that is mildly critical not even of Hillary but her campaign tactics, and is immediately attacked. The power of denial is strong in Hillanguishers.

I like how Martinus is a waste of a poster. Oh wait, I don't.

I think you just proved his point

I don't think so. I'm just tired of his nonsense - not criticisms of the campaign. I didn't take issue with what Sav said.

[CountDeMoney]

You really think they're going to be turned off by gringo pronounciation?  They're not French.

They'll make fun of it.  Ask me how I know

How do you manage your Spanish with a German accent?

[celedhring]

To a Spaniard like me, Kaine has the most hilarious accent possible, a mix of gringo Spanish and Central-American Spanish. Worst of both worlds. 

Well, if he had a native Texan accent instead of a Midwest one, it would have been even better. 

Accent aside, his Spanish is pretty good.

[The Minsky Moment]

McClatchy has Clinton up 7 nationally and Rasmussen has Trump up 5 nationally.

Yeah something's off about the polling. 

Don't know about McClatchy - that number seems high.  But Rasmussen does tend to GOP side home cooking.  According to them we're deep into Romney's first term.

[The Minsky Moment]

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/25/opinion/sunday/hillary-clinton-for-president.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0

Running down the other guy won't suffice to make that argument. The best case for Hillary Clinton cannot be, and is not, that she isn't Donald Trump.

Fine sentiment but obviously wrong.  If Lincoln were running the best case for Lincoln would still be not being Trump.  And HC is no Lincoln.

[Phillip V]

FiveThirtyEight Now-cast gives Trump a 55% chance of winning.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now

[alfred russel]

538 has been consistently wrong this election.

[The Minsky Moment]

538 has been consistently wrong this election.

havent they been consistently wrong in under-estimating Trump?   

[alfred russel]

538 has been consistently wrong this election.

havent they been consistently wrong in under-estimating Trump?   

Well, in a few years if president trump is flying to rome to assume the additional responsibilities of caesar and augustus, we will know the preposition "in under-estimating trump" was the critical part of them being wrong.

[derspiess]

Heard rumors of Hillary pulling out of Ohio.

[Zanza]

FiveThirtyEight Now-cast gives Trump a 55% chance of winning.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now

Not sure if or or ...

[celedhring]

I made my peace with a Trump presidency. Ultimately looking at it from a purely egotistical point of view, I don't live in the US so I won't be fucked over directly by the populist right running that place, and Spain would probably benefit from Putin appeasement. Have fun those living in countries bordering Russia though. 

But it's still going to suck.

[Zanza]

I am looking forward to the first awkward meeting of Trump and Merkel considering him insulting her several times during his campaign.