The Grand Election Thread

[DGuller]

Here is a small piece of meat for the Silver haters.  He made another set of predictions, much less publicized, about the Senate elections.  There, he didn't get a perfect score.  He didn't get it right for two of the races.  In Nebraska, his odds were close enough, but in North Dakota, he gave the loser a 92% probability of victory. 

Again, that's perfectly explainable;  if the events to which you assign non-zero probabilities never happen, then you're actually a pretty shitty handicapper.  However, I'm surprised that there hasn't been a single Silver nayser that grasped at this straw.  I did this analysis entirely on my own (shut up, Meri).

[Sheilbh]

Hell of a speech

Best he gave for the entire campaign.  Which is a mark of how weak Romney was.

[Sheilbh]

Incidentally this is striking:

A glance at the exit polls showed that Obama won the foreign policy question pretty handily.  Only five percent of respondents thought that foreign policy was the most critical issue in this campaign -- but of those five percent, voters went for Obama over Romney by 56% to 33%.  Voters were also more likely to trust Barack Obama in an international crisis (57%-42%) than Mitt Romney (50%-46%).  This is the first exit poll in at least three decades where the Democrat has outperformed the Republican on foreign policy and national security. 

If that holds I think that could be as important as the demographics (and in both cases Romney exacerbated this issue - not mentioning foreign policy once in his acceptance speech and the whole 'self-deportation' nonsense).  If the long-term impact of Bush is that the Republicans are no longer the party of national security and the economy then that could be a big challenge for them.

[mongers]

Hell of a speech

Best he gave for the entire campaign.  Which is a mark of how weak Romney was.

Obama's acceptance speech ?

Worth catching on the iplayer ?

[CountDeMoney]

Considering how gray Obama's hair has gotten since 2008, after the next 4 years he's going to look like Morgan Freeman by the time he leaves.

[Sheilbh]

Apparently after his speech last night Obama tried to call Boehner and McConnell.  He was told they were both asleep

[Ed Anger]

Apparently after his speech last night Obama tried to call Boehner and McConnell.  He was told they were both asleep

I know I was.

[DGuller]

Apparently after his speech last night Obama tried to call Boehner and McConnell.  He was told they were both asleep

Should've called right before his speech.

[garbon]

Apparently after his speech last night Obama tried to call Boehner and McConnell.  He was told they were both asleep

I know I was.

[katmai]

Apparently after his speech last night Obama tried to call Boehner and McConnell.  He was told they were both asleep

I know I was.

crying yourself to sleep don't count 1%

[CountDeMoney]

crying yourself to sleep don't count 1%

FROSTED STRUDEL BURN

[Ed Anger]

Apparently after his speech last night Obama tried to call Boehner and McConnell.  He was told they were both asleep

I know I was.

crying yourself to sleep don't count 1%

I slept on my king sized bed stuffed with hundreds. I slept well.

[Ed Anger]

crying yourself to sleep don't count 1%

FROSTED STRUDEL BURN

Don't try the chocolate frosted strawberry. Looks like shit covered strudel. Tastes worse.

[garbon]

Apparently after his speech last night Obama tried to call Boehner and McConnell.  He was told they were both asleep

I know I was.

crying yourself to sleep don't count 1%

My mother went to bed earlier as she was like - I'll have nightmares if I learn Obama wins before bed.

[CountDeMoney]

I slept on my king sized bed stuffed with hundreds. I slept well.

Hundreds of what?  Strudels?