Israel-Hamas War 2023

[The Minsky Moment]

One of the big theories I've read for why Hamas struck now is precisely in response to the brewing normalisation of Israel-Saudi relations.

Yes but the Saudis are not a democracy.  Same goes for some of the other countries normalizing like UAE and Bahrain; Morocco has a constitution and elections, but is regarded as managed democracy at best.  These are pragmatic decisions being made by ruling cliques that aren't fully answerable to public opinion.