What does a TRUMP presidency look like?

[dist]

Rubio asks NATO countries to increase military spending to 5%. Hey buddy read the room.

So many eyes to roll at this.

The US doesn't even comply with that demand. American defense spending is about 3.4% of GDP at the moment.

Anyway, do the current US government still consider themselves part of the Alliance? It clearly doesn't feel like they do with the way Trump and Co have been acting these past two months and a half.

[viper37]

Rubio asks NATO countries to increase military spending to 5%. Hey buddy read the room.

So many eyes to roll at this.

The US doesn't even comply with that demand. American defense spending is about 3.4% of GDP at the moment.

Anyway, do the current US government still consider themselves part of the Alliance? It clearly doesn't feel like they do with the way Trump and Co have been acting these past two months and a half.

With the 50 billion$ cut to the Pentagon, they will go below 2% of their GDP.

On the other hand, they just tanked their GDP massively.  If they keep their military expenses just as they are for this year, they might just reach that 5% of GDP

[viper37]

"Beijing also announced controls on exports of medium and heavy rare-earths, including samarium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, lutetium, scandium and yttrium to the United States, effective April 4."

China hits back with 34% tariffs

And I raise your tariff with a control on export for rare minerals needed for advanced technologies.


A lot of research centers will feel the pain.  Not that Republicans care about all this stuff that's not written in their Holy Scriptures.

[Baron von Schtinkenbutt]

On the other hand, they just tanked their GDP massively.  If they keep their military expenses just as they are for this year, they might just reach that 5% of GDP

[Zanza]

Just read how one of the biggest losers of these tariffs will likely be Boeing. Their international supply chains will be massively affected and they have to expect counter-tariffs for their finished products, e.g. in their so far biggest market China. Airbus in the other hand gets steel and aluminium cheaper and will only have to pay tariffs in the US, except for the aircraft made in Alabama of course.

[Baron von Schtinkenbutt]

Considering the way this administration operates, I wouldn't be surprised if Boeing was awarded the NGAD contract in part to compensate for these ridiculous tariffs.  Of course, that would require someone in the administration to have actually thought about these tariffs...

[Valmy]

I expect another big bribe to big Ag the farmers coming as well.

[Zanza]

Considering the way this administration operates, I wouldn't be surprised if Boeing was awarded the NGAD contract in part to compensate for these ridiculous tariffs.  Of course, that would require someone in the administration to have actually thought about these tariffs...

That will not compensate though. The civilian business is larger and the loss of market share there will hurt long-term. Might be the break that Comac needs.

[PJL]

Rubio asks NATO countries to increase military spending to 5%. Hey buddy read the room.

So many eyes to roll at this.

The US doesn't even comply with that demand. American defense spending is about 3.4% of GDP at the moment.

Anyway, do the current US government still consider themselves part of the Alliance? It clearly doesn't feel like they do with the way Trump and Co have been acting these past two months and a half.

With the 50 billion$ cut to the Pentagon, they will go below 2% of their GDP.

On the other hand, they just tanked their GDP massively.  If they keep their military expenses just as they are for this year, they might just reach that 5% of GDP

The same is true to a lesser extent for all the European economies too.

[The Minsky Moment]

The Trump tariff calculation formula has raised lots of questions as it appears to be a number salad and there has been no disclosure about the process used to reach it.

We may have our answer as to process

https://x.com/krishnanrohit/status/1907587352157106292

This might be the first large-scale application of AI technology to geopolitics.. 4o, o3 high, Gemini 2.5 pro, Claude 3.7, Grok all give the same answer to the question on how to impose tariffs easily.

[viper37]

[viper37]

Rubio asks NATO countries to increase military spending to 5%. Hey buddy read the room.

So many eyes to roll at this.

The US doesn't even comply with that demand. American defense spending is about 3.4% of GDP at the moment.

Anyway, do the current US government still consider themselves part of the Alliance? It clearly doesn't feel like they do with the way Trump and Co have been acting these past two months and a half.

With the 50 billion$ cut to the Pentagon, they will go below 2% of their GDP.

On the other hand, they just tanked their GDP massively.  If they keep their military expenses just as they are for this year, they might just reach that 5% of GDP

The same is true to a lesser extent for all the European economies too.

At least, they didn't do it on purpose.

[HVC]

The Trump tariff calculation formula has raised lots of questions as it appears to be a number salad and there has been no disclosure about the process used to reach it.

We may have our answer as to process

https://x.com/krishnanrohit/status/1907587352157106292

This might be the first large-scale application of AI technology to geopolitics.. 4o, o3 high, Gemini 2.5 pro, Claude 3.7, Grok all give the same answer to the question on how to impose tariffs easily.

AI powered you say? Well at least the tariffs just got a  few new proponents.

[crazy canuck]

Only the truly stupid rely on AI. Unfortunately, the truly stupid now run the United States.

[Baron von Schtinkenbutt]

That will not compensate though. The civilian business is larger and the loss of market share there will hurt long-term. Might be the break that Comac needs.

Certainly not, it just softens the blow a bit.