News:

And we're back!

Main Menu

What does a TRUMP presidency look like?

Started by FunkMonk, November 08, 2016, 11:02:57 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

The Minsky Moment

Once again, the Biden administration actually carried out Trump's rhetoric into reality than Trump's actual administration did. For one thing, he actually got out of Afghanistan as opposed to just talking about it.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: Admiral Yi on November 10, 2024, 02:42:55 AMI would like to know what guaranteed neutrality means.

It's a humiliation for the United States, unless you assume that US will be out of NATO by the time the peace deal is inked, which is apparently the Vance plan.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Grey Fox

Vance is a new school capitalist. Money is the only thing that matters. Empire building is not important. Morals are only good in service of making more money.
Colonel Caliga is Awesome.

DGuller

Quote from: Sheilbh on November 10, 2024, 07:50:03 AMI think Trump's return to a traditional "no foreign entanglements" is a big part of his appeal - and tapping into some deep resonances in America. Taken with his record in office of a foreign policy had the odd punitive strike but basically not really any new conflicts or bases - I believe the Saudis were genuinely shocked after Iran attacked their air fields because they thought they had security guarantees from the US when it turns out they didn't.

I don't agree with his approach (but I wouldn't, I live in a foreign entanglement), but I'm not sure I've really seen an effective response to it from Democrats or even whatever remains of anti-Trump Republicans.
I've been thinking about it a while back.  The trouble with foreign policy in today's world is that it's the ultimate elitist endeavor.  The voters, even the well-informed and non-stupid ones, just don't have enough knowledge or understanding to know what and how things should be done in foreign policy.  All the voters can observe are the costs of active foreign policy, which tend to be more obvious and more immediate than the rewards.

Zoupa

If the US abandons Ukraine, I think there will definitely be a big hit to their soft power in Europe, SK, Japan and Taiwan.

Sheilbh

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on November 10, 2024, 11:07:03 AMOnce again, the Biden administration actually carried out Trump's rhetoric into reality than Trump's actual administration did. For one thing, he actually got out of Afghanistan as opposed to just talking about it.
Yep. Arguably part of the tragedy of Biden, as well as a very successful domestic agenda (not a million miles from what Trump) talked about, is also delivering on pulling out of endless foreign wars and bringing 20 years in Afghanistan to an end.

Problem is I don't think (mainstream) Democrats are able talk about it in that way, maybe because they're afraid of being painted as peaceniks. But it doesn't leave much for how you present that policy (which was absolutely the right thing to do). And, of course, we've seen this before - Obama wanted to pivot to Asia but was dragged back to focusing on Europe and the Middle East by politics there. The same has happened with Biden.

QuoteI've been thinking about it a while back.  The trouble with foreign policy in today's world is that it's the ultimate elitist endeavor.  The voters, even the well-informed and non-stupid ones, just don't have enough knowledge or understanding to know what and how things should be done in foreign policy.  All the voters can observe are the costs of active foreign policy, which tend to be more obvious and more immediate than the rewards.
I think foreign policy has always been that.

I think there was a consensus across both parties but I think it is also a consensus that runs across very deep traditions in America. It was contingent - the 20th century would look quite different if Taft had won after the war - and I don't think it's a surprise that in 1992 you have Buchanan and Perot.

On foreign policy and other things I think there's been a broadly liberal consensus, that has been able at different points to accommodate the left and right over the last 70 years. But I don't think it's been fundamentally challenged (except maybe by the Communists in, say, Italy) - and I think it shows. I think it's supporters are out of practice in making the argument so struggle with someone trying to contest it beyond just reaction.

I wonder if that's why in Europe the traditional parties do best with older voters (who remember the case for that system) while younger voters are going for anti-system parties of far-right and left.
Let's bomb Russia!

Razgovory

I kinda want to see how they are going to remove 11+ million people.  They are talking about setting up camps, but you will need a lot of camps to accommodate 11 million people.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

frunk

Don't worry, the US's prison industry is eager to give it a shot.

Tamas

Quote from: Razgovory on November 10, 2024, 03:21:08 PMI kinda want to see how they are going to remove 11+ million people.  They are talking about setting up camps, but you will need a lot of camps to accommodate 11 million people.

You just need concentrated camps.

viper37

Quote from: Grey Fox on November 10, 2024, 11:57:15 AMVance is a new school capitalist. Money is the only thing that matters. Empire building is not important. Morals are only good in service of making more money.
short term money.

Empire building is good for long term growth, but it costs money in the short term.

It's the difference between building a company and investing in predatory hedge funds.
I don't do meditation.  I drink alcohol to relax, like normal people.

If Microsoft Excel decided to stop working overnight, the world would practically end.

Tonitrus

In the vein of telling lots about a person by who they surround themselves with at important times...

There was a video that popped up on my YT feed (since taken down for copyright but rips seemed to have popped up on other random channels...link), an excerpt from a video/documentary on Trump's campaign.  It was footage of Trump watching/live Truth-Social-ing during Harris' speech at the DN convention.  The video is polished enough that is probably impossible to tell how slick/genuine it really was...but who was in the room?

A pretty good rogue's gallery...
.
- Susie Wiles (of course...but she mostly looked checked out)
- Matt Gaetz
- Tulsi Gabbard
- A bunch of other flunkies
- And...Oliver fucking Stone.

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: Tonitrus on November 11, 2024, 02:38:24 PMI- Matt Gaetz
- Tulsi Gabbard
- And...Oliver fucking Stone.


Common element: all pro-Putin.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Admiral Yi


Bloomberg says Rubio at State, Mike Walz (FL rep) at NSA, Elise Stefanik  :lmfao: at UN.  *Likely*

HVC

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on November 11, 2024, 02:53:37 PM
Quote from: Tonitrus on November 11, 2024, 02:38:24 PMI- Matt Gaetz
- Tulsi Gabbard
- And...Oliver fucking Stone.


Common element: all pro-Putin.

Where's Otto to tell everyone Trumps not pro Putin?
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

Solmyr

Quote from: HVC on November 12, 2024, 03:35:41 AM
Quote from: The Minsky Moment on November 11, 2024, 02:53:37 PM
Quote from: Tonitrus on November 11, 2024, 02:38:24 PMI- Matt Gaetz
- Tulsi Gabbard
- And...Oliver fucking Stone.


Common element: all pro-Putin.

Where's Otto to tell everyone Trumps not pro Putin?

He still hasn't stopped jizzing.