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Russo-Ukrainian War 2014-25

Started by mongers, August 06, 2014, 03:12:53 PM

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Syt

Habeck said in summer last year that he'd be in favor of supplying defensive weapons to Ukraine. He said that while the Greens have a strong pacifist tradition, this doesn't mean being defenseless against aggressors.
I am, somehow, less interested in the weight and convolutions of Einstein's brain than in the near certainty that people of equal talent have lived and died in cotton fields and sweatshops.
—Stephen Jay Gould

Proud owner of 42 Zoupa Points.

Habbaku

The medievals were only too right in taking nolo episcopari as the best reason a man could give to others for making him a bishop. Give me a king whose chief interest in life is stamps, railways, or race-horses; and who has the power to sack his Vizier (or whatever you care to call him) if he does not like the cut of his trousers.

Government is an abstract noun meaning the art and process of governing and it should be an offence to write it with a capital G or so as to refer to people.

-J. R. R. Tolkien

Habbaku

The medievals were only too right in taking nolo episcopari as the best reason a man could give to others for making him a bishop. Give me a king whose chief interest in life is stamps, railways, or race-horses; and who has the power to sack his Vizier (or whatever you care to call him) if he does not like the cut of his trousers.

Government is an abstract noun meaning the art and process of governing and it should be an offence to write it with a capital G or so as to refer to people.

-J. R. R. Tolkien


Tamas


The Minsky Moment

Quote from: Habbaku on April 14, 2022, 09:19:00 AM
Quote from: Iormlund on April 14, 2022, 04:53:18 AMThe front fell off.

A wave hit it? At sea?

It's a training exercise, a planned maneuver to facilitate cleaning the ship while at sea. 
The explosions were fireworks set off in celebration of the success of the exercise.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Jacob

Quote from: Syt on April 14, 2022, 08:43:55 AM
Quote from: Admiral Yi on April 14, 2022, 08:25:52 AM
Quote from: celedhring on April 14, 2022, 08:19:30 AMAFD gotta AFD.

WTF?  How can a crypto-Nazi party be against beating up Russians?

Just reinforces my view that the modern far right doesn't believe in anything at all except being against whatever you're for.

Many far-right parties over here are. FPÖ had very close ties to Moscow and a cooperation agreement with Putin's party. Strongman Putin, standing for traditional values, vs decadent left-green West is pretty attractive to such types.

It probably also helps that Putin has been willing to fund such parties and politicians.

Barrister

Quote from: Sheilbh on April 14, 2022, 07:08:15 AMIncidentally this is still based on early reports, but this is an example of Ukrainian smarts that we've seen in this war.

Reportedly it was during a bit of a storm so there was reduced visibility which meant the ship might not have seen ground preparations by Ukrainian forces. The Ukrainians used Bayraktars to distract the Moskva (and presumably also to provide targeting information) and then hit them with a missile (Neptun, which I think is domestic) while their radar and attention was distracted dealing with the Bayraktars.

If it's true that's not the most complicated plan in the world but it shows the adaptability and using natural advantages and clever opportunism that seems to run through all the way Ukraine's operated in this war. Which is exactly what I think a "weaker" party needs in a war like this.

The couple other details I've seen (and again - Twitter, who knows how accurate):

-the Moskva's radar has a 180 degree field of view, which is why the distraction by the Bayraktar could be so important
-the Ukrainian Neptun is brand new, and they only had the one vehicle, with I think 4 missiles.  So the Ukrainians had the patience and discipline while their nation was under full assault to wait a month and a half for the perfect opportunity to use it.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

The Larch

Quote from: Admiral Yi on April 14, 2022, 08:25:52 AM
Quote from: celedhring on April 14, 2022, 08:19:30 AMAFD gotta AFD.

WTF?  How can a crypto-Nazi party be against beating up Russians?

Just reinforces my view that the modern far right doesn't believe in anything at all except being against whatever you're for.

Current far righters have little to do with their WW2 counterparts.

Jacob

Quote from: The Larch on April 14, 2022, 09:57:10 AM
Quote from: Admiral Yi on April 14, 2022, 08:25:52 AM
Quote from: celedhring on April 14, 2022, 08:19:30 AMAFD gotta AFD.

WTF?  How can a crypto-Nazi party be against beating up Russians?

Just reinforces my view that the modern far right doesn't believe in anything at all except being against whatever you're for.

Current far righters have little to do with their WW2 counterparts.

It's not that surprising. Putin is a far-right darling. Nationalist, bigoted, prioritizes the appearance of strength, leans into anti-woke, prefers bullying to cooperation. All that appeals far right sensibilities. The fact that Russia once was communist doesn't really matter.

OttoVonBismarck

Quote from: Sheilbh on April 14, 2022, 09:16:11 AM
Quote from: The Larch on April 14, 2022, 09:07:07 AMThe Geeens are the most in favour? Now that's a peculiar development.
I love the German Greens :blush:

They're right on this, they were right on the risks around gas policy and Russia for years, they're right on China. I don't agree with them on nuclear but there's enough good stuff there. They're a real, proper governing party with a pretty coherent view in a way that lots of protest vote Greens just aren't.

Anyone against nuclear power is no friend of mine.

Sheilbh

Quote from: Barrister on April 14, 2022, 09:54:28 AM-the Ukrainian Neptun is brand new, and they only had the one vehicle, with I think 4 missiles.  So the Ukrainians had the patience and discipline while their nation was under full assault to wait a month and a half for the perfect opportunity to use it.
Yeah. The UK announced that they're sending harpoon anti-ship missiles and the US I think also announced they're sending anti-ship missiles - but both of those annoucements were in the last week so I wonder if the Ukrainians know they're getting re-stocked felt comfortable using them. Or if it was just too good a chance to turn down.

QuoteCurrent far righters have little to do with their WW2 counterparts.
Yeah and it's conscious in Putin's messaging - especially around the war in Syria. In Syria he's standing with a non Islamist regime to defend Syria's minorities and especially the Christians against Islamist hordes. More broadly, he's standing for European civilisation and its Christian heritage against destructive, decadent liberalism in the West.

It's a message that Moscow used all through the 19th century and pre-Revolution. I think current far-right politics in Europe is generally far, far more motivated by Islamophobia than anything from the WW2 parties or inter-war fascism of revolutionary national renewal etc. That "defending European civilisation" is something that the far-right across Europe has in common - "for a France that stays France", Orban's weird state endorsement of Christianity in a broadly atheist and indifferent country, Salvini meeting ultra-trad anti-Francis cardinals - and it's something that Putin's been messaging on for a while, but taps into very long-standing currents/associations with Russia.
Let's bomb Russia!

Zanza

Quote from: Iormlund on April 14, 2022, 05:03:21 AMGoing back the the Steinmeier thing. I think Germany has to take a hard look at itself and how disastrous its foreign policy has been for the past ... 25 years?

For a country that's supposed to be the core of the European Union, it has sure tried its damnedest to piss off half of the club.

It's not exactly surprising that the consensus in, for example, the Spanish EUOT is that the Germans are a bunch of self-righteous hypocrites and will sell the Ukrainians out at the first opportunity.
The problem for the rest of Europe is that Germany is not "supposed to be the core", but is the core.

Josquius

Reading of all these super yacht seizures.
What are states to do with them?
I imaigne the second hand market is very depressed right now.
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Zoupa

Quote from: Zanza on April 14, 2022, 10:18:38 AM
Quote from: Iormlund on April 14, 2022, 05:03:21 AMGoing back the the Steinmeier thing. I think Germany has to take a hard look at itself and how disastrous its foreign policy has been for the past ... 25 years?

For a country that's supposed to be the core of the European Union, it has sure tried its damnedest to piss off half of the club.

It's not exactly surprising that the consensus in, for example, the Spanish EUOT is that the Germans are a bunch of self-righteous hypocrites and will sell the Ukrainians out at the first opportunity.
The problem for the rest of Europe is that Germany is not "supposed to be the core", but is the core.

Germany is 18% of EU population and 21% of it's GDP. Let's not overstate things here.