Brexit and the waning days of the United Kingdom

Started by Josquius, February 20, 2016, 07:46:34 AM

Previous topic - Next topic

How would you vote on Britain remaining in the EU?

British- Remain
12 (11.9%)
British - Leave
7 (6.9%)
Other European - Remain
21 (20.8%)
Other European - Leave
6 (5.9%)
ROTW - Remain
35 (34.7%)
ROTW - Leave
20 (19.8%)

Total Members Voted: 99

Legbiter

Quote from: Razgovory on May 16, 2025, 09:58:33 AMIs that Icelandic?  It's not English.

I have always loved and respected you Raz and I always will. Dosen't matter if you have a bad day or not. I've always liked having you around. You picked me up back in EUOT when I needed it. :hug: 
Posted using 100% recycled electrons.

Sheilbh

Total aside form the main stories/topics here - but WTF is going with the prisons.

Just seen latest prison governor convicted over a relationship with an inmate. I think that involved, as these cases often do, smuggling of contraband. But I think that's the fourth or fifth story I've seen this year of prison staff being arrested/charged/convicted for inappropriate relationships with prisoners - that's even aside from the video that went viral :blink:
Let's bomb Russia!

HVC

#30767
They love them bad boys :D

Wait, you call prison guards goveners?
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

Sheilbh

No just the latest scandal is the prison governor (person in charge of the prison) - the previous ones have been prison guards.
Let's bomb Russia!

Sheilbh

By the by just on the "you can't talk about" - away from the level of political discourse I think this is a pretty timely article from the Economist and a bad trend:
QuoteBritain's police are restricting speech in worrying ways
Muddled laws give them wide discretion
May 15th 2025

THE POLICE arrived at Maxie Allen's door at midday on January 29th. None of the six officers seemed to know much about why they were there, recalls Mr Allen. But they read out a list of charges and searched the house, before arresting him and his partner and taking them to the police station, where they were held for eight hours. The couple's alleged crime? Disparaging emails and WhatsApp messages about their daughter's primary school.

Free speech in Britain has been put under the spotlight. J.D. Vance, America's vice-president, frequently cites cases involving religious activists. Elon Musk, a tech mogul, has claimed that thousands are being locked up for social-media posts. It would be nice if Brits could simply dismiss such attacks as ill-informed and staggeringly hypocritical from an administration that now strives to stifle dissent. Yet the Americans are right in one crucial respect: Britain does have a serious problem.

Speech is being restricted, particularly online, in alarming ways and at an increasingly alarming rate. The number of arrests—more than a thousand a month for online posts—shows this is no longer about a few rogue cases. The root cause can be found in the country's speech laws, which are a mess and ill-suited to the digital age: Brits are prosecuted for the sorts of conversations they would have had in the pub. And things are set to get worse.

Mr Vance, who reiterated his criticism at an event on May 7th, has focused on Britain's "backslide away from conscience rights", and sees religious lives stifled by woke conformity. But the difference in how America and Europe deal with difficult speech has less to do with recent wokery than with the evolution of laws and attitudes over centuries.
America's First Amendment provides by far the strongest free-speech protections in the world; its founding fathers wrote into the constitution that "Congress shall make no law" limiting freedom of expression. This protection has been tested and expanded, especially in the 20th century. Europeans, meanwhile, codified such a right only in the mid-20th century—and even then it had clear limits. Lawmakers have long sought to balance the right to free expression and the harm it may cause.

Mr Musk is closer to the mark in focusing on how Britain handles online speech. He seems to have been radicalised by the government's response to riots last summer, in which thugs reacted to a heinous stabbing spree by targeting mosques and asylum hotels. But his claim that several thousand Britons were locked up for posts where there was "no explicit link to actual violence" was overblown; around 450 people were sentenced, the vast majority for violent disorder.

A few dozen were prosecuted for online posts. Among them were people who said things like "blow the mosque up" and "set fire to all the fucking hotels full of the bastards". That probably would have been legal in America, says Gavin Phillipson of Bristol University, since it falls short of presenting a clear and imminent danger. Under laws in Britain and much of Europe, it is likely to be seen as inciting violence.

Others, however, were prosecuted for milder statements. Jamie Michael posted a 12-minute video on Facebook after the stabbings, in which he ranted about illegal immigration and warned that the country was "under attack". He was arrested and held for 17 days on charges of "stirring up of racial hatred", before being acquitted.

Britain, we have a problem

Consider three more recent examples. A man posted a picture of himself on the way to a Halloween party dressed as the Islamist who carried out a terrorist attack in Manchester in 2017. Another man criticised pro-Palestine protesters, tweeting: "One step away from storming Heathrow looking for Jewish arrivals." Six retired police officers sent racist messages in a WhatsApp group chat called "Old Boys Beer Meet-Wales".

The first man faced up to two years in prison before his case was overturned in April. Police ransacked the house and inspected the bookshelves of the second—bizarrely on suspicion of antisemitism—and questioned him at a police station before releasing him. The former police officers all got suspended sentences and mandated community work.

Such bizarre—and chilling—cases arise because Britain has no idea how to police online speech. Its problems largely stem from two outdated laws: the 1988 Malicious Communications Act and the 2003 Communications Act. The former focused on indecent, offensive, threatening or false information. The latter made it a crime to be "grossly offensive" on any "public electronic communications network".

Under these laws, British police arrest more than 30 people a day for online posts, double the rate in 2017. Some are serious offenders, such as stalkers. Many have simply said something that someone else considers offensive.

The police are coy about what exactly is behind the rise in arrests. But there appear to be several factors. Officers must investigate every post reported to them, and the volume of content they receive has risen sharply. In turn more officers have been assigned to it. In 2010 the Metropolitan Police in London created a small team of 24 officers to monitor unlawful social-media activity, the first of its kind. Now every force in the country has a team sifting through people's posts trying to determine what crosses an undefined threshold. "It is a complete nightmare," one officer admits.

The public might well question why so much time is spent on this, while burglaries routinely go unsolved. Some commentators suggest that a strain of wokeness exists in the police, or that chiefs face pressure to enforce strictures. Neither explanation is convincing if you have met many police officers or home secretaries. A more likely one is that the police have a naturally authoritarian streak when it comes to speech. And with charge rates for crimes overall near an all-time low, they find it hard to resist cases presented with a bow.

Either way, the arbitrariness continues in court. These cases have to be heard in magistrates' courts, meaning they are argued in front of a lay bench with little or no understanding of the case law. Defendants often don't know their rights, either. The Free Speech Union, a not-for-profit, has started to challenge, and successfully overturn, some convictions (including that of the man with the crass costume). Yet Britain is clearly getting the balance wrong.

It is hardly alone. Frustrated by their weak grip over American platforms, European politicians have struggled to come up with a coherent approach. The result is broad and vague laws that provide excessive discretion to public authorities, says David Kaye of the University of California, Irvine. Both Britain and the EU have introduced legislation that has increased the pressure on platforms to remove "illegal" content with the threat of fines. That is likely to lead to a chilling effect. A bust-up is brewing between regulators and Mr Musk's platform, X.

But Britain has the deepest muddle. One particular concern is increasing intrusion into private messages. That stems from the 2003 act; a clause written to prevent pests harassing telephone operators is being used to sift WhatsApp chats. "In English law there is no concept of a private conversation online," says Adam King, a barrister. In addition a 2022 law widened the scope of public-order offences. That has allowed the police to take a draconian approach to pro-Gaza protests; recently they raided the home of a journalist.

Messrs Vance and Musk see a concerted leftist campaign to restrict certain kinds of freedom. In fact, Britain's problem is more one of neglect: MPs fret about online harm while seeing free speech as a secondary issue, worth sacrificing in some circumstances. Attempts to fix bad laws have fizzled out. Of all the recent cases, it is Mr Allen's that best captures the careless erosion of a crucial liberty. At one point during his questioning Mr Allen's partner asked for an example of a WhatsApp message that constituted "malicious communication". The detective had to stop and Google the crime.
Let's bomb Russia!

Josquius

Quote from: Sheilbh on May 16, 2025, 03:01:41 PMTotal aside form the main stories/topics here - but WTF is going with the prisons.

Just seen latest prison governor convicted over a relationship with an inmate. I think that involved, as these cases often do, smuggling of contraband. But I think that's the fourth or fifth story I've seen this year of prison staff being arrested/charged/convicted for inappropriate relationships with prisoners - that's even aside from the video that went viral :blink:

Completely besides the point with the current case but what bemuses me is the total looks mismatch with the crook being an ugly old dude and the governer a fair bit more attractive.
Usually this stuff goes the opposite way. The ugly person in the position of power.
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mongers

Is this still a thing?

Not brakesit *, but some people still having stupid arguments about what it has caused?




* Breaksit?
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

Josquius

Quote from: mongers on May 17, 2025, 05:34:03 AMIs this still a thing?

Not brakesit *, but some people still having stupid arguments about what it has caused?




* Breaksit?

This has moved on to being the general UK political stuff thread.
Brexit was the key event that heralded this error of hyper shit and the poll is about it so Meh, name remains.
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Duque de Bragança

Quote from: Josquius on May 17, 2025, 06:31:05 AM
Quote from: mongers on May 17, 2025, 05:34:03 AMIs this still a thing?

Not brakesit *, but some people still having stupid arguments about what it has caused?




* Breaksit?

This has moved on to being the general UK political stuff thread.
Brexit was the key event that heralded this error of hyper shit and the poll is about it so Meh, name remains.

The Torygraph claims Starmer is trying to reverse it.  :P

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/05/04/all-the-ways-labour-is-rejoining-the-eu-by-stealth/

Paywalled, but you get the idea.

Sheilbh

Quote from: Josquius on May 17, 2025, 01:43:32 AMCompletely besides the point with the current case but what bemuses me is the total looks mismatch with the crook being an ugly old dude and the governer a fair bit more attractive.
Usually this stuff goes the opposite way. The ugly person in the position of power.
Obviously there is a gender element when thinking about power. I think this case is a bit odd - and perhaps the drug smuggling inmate is just very charming.

But I think the position of power thing has actually been called into question with the prison guards. From what I've read (I searched for WTF is going on here and saw a couple of articles) - morale is through the floor, they're not well-paid and they're not well trained either. In all of these cases it's female prison guards who are often pretty new/junior entering into relationships with inmates who are in there for very serious organised criminal offences. So I think the question of power is actually, perhaps, a little more complex and interesting - especially with many of the guards also starting to smuggle in contraband there's an element of recruitment.

Although to be honest until these stories I, perhaps naively, thought that prison guards in men's prisons were men :blush: :ph34r:
Let's bomb Russia!

Sheilbh

I've mentioned it before but just read a piece about Reform planning to set up Reform societies/party associations in universities across the country (like other parties do).

I would add both Labour and the Tories have had to shut down their student associations at various points - in the 80s Norman Tebbit had to shut them down because they were too extreme (for Norman Tebbit?! :blink:) with people like John Bercow singing "hang Nelson Mandela", being very pro-Contra etc. While Labour Students have been successfully infiltrated by basically every Trot group going and there's normally a very involved, exhausting fight through the committees every few years. Both of them tend to be very riven with factionalism and central HQ tends to keep a very short leash for them nowadays. Plus ca change - but I would not be surprised if Reform actually end up slightly regretting pushing into student politics when some 19 year old edge lord in a Reform association says something spectacularly racist.

But it is really striking that Reform are doing old-fashioned things parties do but that the traditional seem less interested in nowadays. So big membership drives around the country, in person political rallies (as opposed to just a lot of door-knocking/canvassing), pushing to recruit for student associations and they've spoken a lot about the need to have offline social/political spaces.

Obviously in part it's because Reform don't have a traditional party infrastructure - but I do think it's interesting given that a lot of this is stuff the traditional parties are less interested in. As I say I think Labour and the Tories very much see political activity as being about door-knocking and canvassing to identify their vote rather than trying what looks a bit more old school (the Labour left in fairness are very big on trying to do this type of politics).
Let's bomb Russia!

Legbiter

Quote from: Sheilbh on May 16, 2025, 07:33:29 PMBy the by just on the "you can't talk about" - away from the level of political discourse I think this is a pretty timely article from the Economist and a bad trend:
QuoteBritain's police are restricting speech in worrying ways
Muddled laws give them wide discretion
May 15th 2025

THE POLICE arrived at Maxie Allen's door at midday on January 29th. None of the six officers seemed to know much about why they were there, recalls Mr Allen. But they read out a list of charges and searched the house, before arresting him and his partner and taking them to the police station, where they were held for eight hours. The couple's alleged crime? Disparaging emails and WhatsApp messages about their daughter's primary school.

Free speech in Britain has been put under the spotlight. J.D. Vance, America's vice-president, frequently cites cases involving religious activists. Elon Musk, a tech mogul, has claimed that thousands are being locked up for social-media posts. It would be nice if Brits could simply dismiss such attacks as ill-informed and staggeringly hypocritical from an administration that now strives to stifle dissent. Yet the Americans are right in one crucial respect: Britain does have a serious problem.

Speech is being restricted, particularly online, in alarming ways and at an increasingly alarming rate. The number of arrests—more than a thousand a month for online posts—shows this is no longer about a few rogue cases. The root cause can be found in the country's speech laws, which are a mess and ill-suited to the digital age: Brits are prosecuted for the sorts of conversations they would have had in the pub. And things are set to get worse.

Mr Vance, who reiterated his criticism at an event on May 7th, has focused on Britain's "backslide away from conscience rights", and sees religious lives stifled by woke conformity. But the difference in how America and Europe deal with difficult speech has less to do with recent wokery than with the evolution of laws and attitudes over centuries.
America's First Amendment provides by far the strongest free-speech protections in the world; its founding fathers wrote into the constitution that "Congress shall make no law" limiting freedom of expression. This protection has been tested and expanded, especially in the 20th century. Europeans, meanwhile, codified such a right only in the mid-20th century—and even then it had clear limits. Lawmakers have long sought to balance the right to free expression and the harm it may cause.

Mr Musk is closer to the mark in focusing on how Britain handles online speech. He seems to have been radicalised by the government's response to riots last summer, in which thugs reacted to a heinous stabbing spree by targeting mosques and asylum hotels. But his claim that several thousand Britons were locked up for posts where there was "no explicit link to actual violence" was overblown; around 450 people were sentenced, the vast majority for violent disorder.

A few dozen were prosecuted for online posts. Among them were people who said things like "blow the mosque up" and "set fire to all the fucking hotels full of the bastards". That probably would have been legal in America, says Gavin Phillipson of Bristol University, since it falls short of presenting a clear and imminent danger. Under laws in Britain and much of Europe, it is likely to be seen as inciting violence.

Others, however, were prosecuted for milder statements. Jamie Michael posted a 12-minute video on Facebook after the stabbings, in which he ranted about illegal immigration and warned that the country was "under attack". He was arrested and held for 17 days on charges of "stirring up of racial hatred", before being acquitted.

Britain, we have a problem

Consider three more recent examples. A man posted a picture of himself on the way to a Halloween party dressed as the Islamist who carried out a terrorist attack in Manchester in 2017. Another man criticised pro-Palestine protesters, tweeting: "One step away from storming Heathrow looking for Jewish arrivals." Six retired police officers sent racist messages in a WhatsApp group chat called "Old Boys Beer Meet-Wales".

The first man faced up to two years in prison before his case was overturned in April. Police ransacked the house and inspected the bookshelves of the second—bizarrely on suspicion of antisemitism—and questioned him at a police station before releasing him. The former police officers all got suspended sentences and mandated community work.

Such bizarre—and chilling—cases arise because Britain has no idea how to police online speech. Its problems largely stem from two outdated laws: the 1988 Malicious Communications Act and the 2003 Communications Act. The former focused on indecent, offensive, threatening or false information. The latter made it a crime to be "grossly offensive" on any "public electronic communications network".

Under these laws, British police arrest more than 30 people a day for online posts, double the rate in 2017. Some are serious offenders, such as stalkers. Many have simply said something that someone else considers offensive.

The police are coy about what exactly is behind the rise in arrests. But there appear to be several factors. Officers must investigate every post reported to them, and the volume of content they receive has risen sharply. In turn more officers have been assigned to it. In 2010 the Metropolitan Police in London created a small team of 24 officers to monitor unlawful social-media activity, the first of its kind. Now every force in the country has a team sifting through people's posts trying to determine what crosses an undefined threshold. "It is a complete nightmare," one officer admits.

The public might well question why so much time is spent on this, while burglaries routinely go unsolved. Some commentators suggest that a strain of wokeness exists in the police, or that chiefs face pressure to enforce strictures. Neither explanation is convincing if you have met many police officers or home secretaries. A more likely one is that the police have a naturally authoritarian streak when it comes to speech. And with charge rates for crimes overall near an all-time low, they find it hard to resist cases presented with a bow.

Either way, the arbitrariness continues in court. These cases have to be heard in magistrates' courts, meaning they are argued in front of a lay bench with little or no understanding of the case law. Defendants often don't know their rights, either. The Free Speech Union, a not-for-profit, has started to challenge, and successfully overturn, some convictions (including that of the man with the crass costume). Yet Britain is clearly getting the balance wrong.

It is hardly alone. Frustrated by their weak grip over American platforms, European politicians have struggled to come up with a coherent approach. The result is broad and vague laws that provide excessive discretion to public authorities, says David Kaye of the University of California, Irvine. Both Britain and the EU have introduced legislation that has increased the pressure on platforms to remove "illegal" content with the threat of fines. That is likely to lead to a chilling effect. A bust-up is brewing between regulators and Mr Musk's platform, X.

But Britain has the deepest muddle. One particular concern is increasing intrusion into private messages. That stems from the 2003 act; a clause written to prevent pests harassing telephone operators is being used to sift WhatsApp chats. "In English law there is no concept of a private conversation online," says Adam King, a barrister. In addition a 2022 law widened the scope of public-order offences. That has allowed the police to take a draconian approach to pro-Gaza protests; recently they raided the home of a journalist.

Messrs Vance and Musk see a concerted leftist campaign to restrict certain kinds of freedom. In fact, Britain's problem is more one of neglect: MPs fret about online harm while seeing free speech as a secondary issue, worth sacrificing in some circumstances. Attempts to fix bad laws have fizzled out. Of all the recent cases, it is Mr Allen's that best captures the careless erosion of a crucial liberty. At one point during his questioning Mr Allen's partner asked for an example of a WhatsApp message that constituted "malicious communication". The detective had to stop and Google the crime.

If I was a young, smart brit, I'd move abroad ASAP. Yookay is way too grim and poor to bear at the moment.



Posted using 100% recycled electrons.

Valmy

Quote from: Legbiter on May 18, 2025, 01:38:04 AMIf I was a young, smart brit, I'd move abroad ASAP. Yookay is way too grim and poor to bear at the moment.

I don't know. We seem to be in a weird situation where most of the world seems to be in decline at once. I don't know if there is any escape anywhere.

Might as well stay in your country where you know people and know the culture and do your best.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Josquius

If only there hadn't been a dumb decision made to stop people doing just that...

My plan remains to move at some point. But it's hard with a family in tow.
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Sheilbh

Quote from: Valmy on Today at 02:59:46 PMI don't know. We seem to be in a weird situation where most of the world seems to be in decline at once. I don't know if there is any escape anywhere.
The West is in relative decline. I don't think there's any chance of changing that and decline produces unusual political morbid symptoms (you think of the 1890s for example). China isn't in decline - Asia generally in my experience doesn't feel like it's in decline (there are different political consequences from that situation and arguably the most dangerous is when the two collide).

We've also gone through 30-40 years of neo-liberalism which hollowed out the state and state capacity. As something that was contested in its creation over centuries, it will be difficult to recreate - not least because the people who perhaps would most support that sort of state are also increasingly allergic to the communal imagining (national symbols, myths, narratives) that go with it.

Which points I think to a wider tension that the right enjoy the economic liberalisation of neo-liberalism, but hate its social and cultural consequences; the left admire and embody those social and cultural consequences, but hate the economic order that created them. And I think everything is in flux and what the new order will look like is unclear, but my view is that wing of politics that wins and will set the term for the next generation will be the one most willing to ditch what they love to significantly reform what they don't.
Let's bomb Russia!