[Canada] Canadian Politics Redux

[Barrister]

Oh and I forgot - Liberal Party is unlikely to even be the leader of the opposition.  They're likely to be the third party - or maybe even the fourth party.

That, I'm not so sure of Beeb. We're all in agreement they will lose the election, but I think they will get official opposition. No one takes the other parties seriously enough. I mean, not even I do, and I used to be a diehard NDP-er.

BQ will do well.

In order to be official opposition Liberals would need to get 40+ seats.  With current poll numbers, that seems questionable.

CBC poll tracker puts BQ and Libs within the margin of error of each other for seats.

https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/

And they're a lagging indicator - most recent polls have been even worse for the Liberals.

[Josephus]

Yeah, maybe but a new leader will give them press and a lift, like Kamla did. Not enough to win, but enough to get them the seats they need for Opposition status.

[Barrister]

Yeah, maybe but a new leader will give them press and a lift, like Kamla did. Not enough to win, but enough to get them the seats they need for Opposition status.

Of course.  And never say never - the Libs could win this.

It just seems quite unlikely.