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Obama to double down if Brown wins.

Started by jimmy olsen, January 19, 2010, 07:25:17 AM

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jimmy olsen

While on a personal level I'd find this kind of fortitude admirable if he actually goes through with it, I don't think it's smart politics. If he couldn't sell his plan to the liberal population of Massachusetts what makes him so confident that he can successfully recalibrate and sell his message to the voters while at the same time convincing spooked blue dogs and/or disgusted progressives to vote for the current health care bill?

Of course one could also argue that to retreat and pull back would be a fatal mistake in and of itself. He'd be blasted for wasting a year and doing nothing to help end the recession, except of course for the stimulus and bailouts that a lot of voters didn't like. So given that, one could argue he has no choice but to gamble. Better to go down swinging then to retreat and be defeated anyways.

What do you guys think?
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0110/31629.html

QuotePresident Obama plans combative turn

By MIKE ALLEN | 1/18/10 7:05 PM EST

President Barack Obama plans a combative response if, as White House aides fear, Democrats lose Tuesday's special Senate election in Massachusetts, close advisers say.

"This is not a moment that causes the president or anybody who works for him to express any doubt," a senior administration official said. "It more reinforces the conviction to fight hard."

A defeat by Martha Coakley for the seat held by the late Edward M. Kennedy would be embarrassing for the party — and potentially debilitating, since Democrats will lose their filibuster-proof, 60-vote hold on the Senate.

A potential casualty: the health care bill that was to be the crowning achievement of the president's first year in office.

The health care backdrop has given the White House a strong incentive to strike a defiant posture, at least rhetorically, in response to what would be an undeniable embarrassment for the president and his party.

There won't be any grand proclamation that "the era of Big Government is over" — the words President Bill Clinton uttered after Republicans won the Congress in the 1990s and he was forced to trim a once-ambitious agenda.

"The response will not be to do incremental things and try to salvage a few seats in the fall," a presidential adviser said. "The best political route also happens to be the boldest rhetorical route, which is to go out and fight and let the chips fall where they may. We can say, 'At least we fought for these things, and the Republicans said no.'"

Whatever words Obama chooses, however, will have trouble masking the substantive reality: A Massachusetts embarrassment would strongly increase the pressure Obama was already facing to retreat or slow down the "big bang" agenda he laid out a year ago.

Democratic operatives on Capitol Hill have made clear that enthusiasm is cooling for tackling controversial cap-and-trade legislation to curb carbon emissions as the party heads into an election year. The same is true for the always-sensitive issue of immigration reform. On the fiscal front, massive deficits were already pushing Obama toward more austerity on spending.

Perceptions among the pundit class would also be brutal. An upset by Republican Scott Brown would be covered in many quarters as a repudiation of Obama, especially after Obama's last-ditch campaign appearance with Coakley 36 hours before the polls opened.

But the president's advisers plan to spin it as a validation of the underdog arguments that fueled Obama's insurgent candidacy.

"The painstaking campaign for change over two years in 2007 and 2008 has become a painstaking effort in the White House, too," the official said. "The old habits of Washington aren't going away easy."

The White House rallying cry, according to one Obama confidant, will be, "Buckle up — let's get some stuff done."

The kind of stuff, however, will be different than what Obama emphasized when he roared into office a year ago Wednesday. White House strategists will be looking for modest victories that can be pulled off at a time when endangered Democrats will be even more gun-shy of tough votes than they were last year.

Aides say that in his State of the Union address on Jan. 27 and in his budget on Feb. 1, Obama will unflinchingly roll out real fiscal austerity measures that they say will draw flak from both sides of the aisle.

Already Obama's rhetoric is reflecting what aides acknowledge is a strong undercurrent of populist anger. By these lights, impatience with the status quo — rather than any rightward turn in the mood of the electorate — is what would fuel a Brown victory.

Reflecting his new tone, Obama last week announced a new fee on big banks by vowing, "We want our money back, and we're going to get it.". At a House Democratic retreat a few hours later, he said leaders need to be "fighting for the American people with the same sense of urgency that they feel in their own lives."

In his weekly address on Saturday, he declared: "We're not going to let Wall Street take the money and run." Saluting Martin Luther King Jr. in remarks to a Baptist congregation the next day, Obama railed against "an era of greed and irresponsibility that sowed the seeds of its own demise."

At the rally for Coakley, he added: "Bankers don't need another vote in the United States Senate. They've got plenty."

White House senior adviser David Axelrod told reporters that Democrats will not allow the midterm elections to become "a referendum on this administration" but, instead, will force Republicans to defend the role they have played in the economic crisis.

And press secretary Robert Gibbs said a key theme of 2010 will be asking voters "whether the people they have in Washington are on the side of protecting the big banks, whether they're on the side of protecting the big oil companies, whether they're on the side of protecting insurance companies or whether they're on the people's side."

Democrats looking for shards of hope in a grim week say they take some consolation in having their political straits exposed early in the midterm election year, in contrast to their much later wake-up call before the Republican revolution of 1994.

And one Democrat pointed out: "It's not as if having 60 votes in the Senate has made life a walk in the park."

The narrower majority will force more White House engagement with Republicans, which could actually help restore a bit of the post-partisan image that was a fundamental ingredient of his appeal to voters.

"Now everything that gets done in the Senate will have the imprimatur of bipartisanship," another administration official said. "The benefits of that will accrue to the president and the Democratic Senate. It adds to the pressure on Republicans to participate in the process in a meaningful way, which so far they have refused to do."

More defensively, Obama advisers plan to argue that Coakley's lackluster campaign contributed at least as much to the loss as the national environment.

"You can say it's a rejection of the agenda," a top Democrat said. "But it's just as valid to say it's frustration with the way things are going in the country and that people still want change."

It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
1 Karma Chameleon point

Caliga

:mellow:

Whether or not Brown wins has nothing to do with health care and everything to do with the very poor campaign Coakley has run.
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

Admiral Yi

In short, if Brown wins Obama is fucked.

Grallon

This constant wondering about "Will Obama lasts - Is it Obama's death breat - Whaaa, when will somebody save us from Obama!" is getting really tiresome.  The man was elected fair and square so deal with it you whiny bitches.  <_<




G.
"Clearly, a civilization that feels guilty for everything it is and does will lack the energy and conviction to defend itself."

~Jean-François Revel

Caliga

Quote from: Grallon on January 19, 2010, 07:44:15 AM
This constant wondering about "Will Obama lasts - Is it Obama's death breat - Whaaa, when will somebody save us from Obama!" is getting really tiresome.  The man was elected fair and square so deal with it you whiny bitches.  <_<
Do you see anyone disputing that fact? :blink:

If you're referring to the 'birther' movement, that's a fringe lunatic movement and there are no posters on Languish who ascribe to it, not even Hansie (I know, it seems like something that would draw him in).

I think you might be confusing the 2008 election with the 2000 election.
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

Admiral Yi

Quote from: Caliga on January 19, 2010, 07:47:35 AM
I think you might be confusing the 2008 election with the 2000 election.
I think he is confusing seperation of powers with a parliamentary system.

Grallon

Quote from: Caliga on January 19, 2010, 07:47:35 AM


If you're referring to the 'birther' movement, that's a fringe lunatic movement and there are no posters on Languish who ascribe to it, not even Hansie (I know, it seems like something that would draw him in).

I think you might be confusing the 2008 election with the 2000 election.


I'm not refering to the legality of his election, which raised valid concerns in 2000, I'm talking about the constant voicing of doubts about the legitimacy of Obama's presidency.  And it comes from more than just the fringe lunatics... 



G.
"Clearly, a civilization that feels guilty for everything it is and does will lack the energy and conviction to defend itself."

~Jean-François Revel

Admiral Yi

Quote from: Grallon on January 19, 2010, 07:52:13 AM
I'm not refering to the legality of his election, which raised valid concerns in 2000, I'm talking about the constant voicing of doubts about the legitimacy of Obama's presidency.  And it comes from more than just the fringe lunatics... 
No one in this thread has said a single thing about legitimacy.  We're talking about pure power.

Razgovory

Quote from: Caliga on January 19, 2010, 07:47:35 AM
Quote from: Grallon on January 19, 2010, 07:44:15 AM
This constant wondering about "Will Obama lasts - Is it Obama's death breat - Whaaa, when will somebody save us from Obama!" is getting really tiresome.  The man was elected fair and square so deal with it you whiny bitches.  <_<
Do you see anyone disputing that fact? :blink:

If you're referring to the 'birther' movement, that's a fringe lunatic movement and there are no posters on Languish who ascribe to it, not even Hansie (I know, it seems like something that would draw him in).

I think you might be confusing the 2008 election with the 2000 election.

Apperently, Republicans.  http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/acorn.html

Seems 52% of them think that Acorn stole the election for Obama.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Faeelin

Quote from: Caliga on January 19, 2010, 07:40:52 AM
:mellow:

Whether or not Brown wins has nothing to do with health care and everything to do with the very poor campaign Coakley has run.

I wonder. It's a bit much to say that Obama's policies have had nothign to do with the Democrat loss in Massachussetts, and New Jersey, and Virginia.

dps

Quote from: Razgovory on January 19, 2010, 08:01:20 AM
Quote from: Caliga on January 19, 2010, 07:47:35 AM
Quote from: Grallon on January 19, 2010, 07:44:15 AM
This constant wondering about "Will Obama lasts - Is it Obama's death breat - Whaaa, when will somebody save us from Obama!" is getting really tiresome.  The man was elected fair and square so deal with it you whiny bitches.  <_<
Do you see anyone disputing that fact? :blink:

If you're referring to the 'birther' movement, that's a fringe lunatic movement and there are no posters on Languish who ascribe to it, not even Hansie (I know, it seems like something that would draw him in).

I think you might be confusing the 2008 election with the 2000 election.

Apperently, Republicans.  http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/acorn.html

Seems 52% of them think that Acorn stole the election for Obama.

I'd like to see how that question was actually worded.

And I bet that a good number of those who said that Acorn stole the election just said it as a "take that" against the MoveOn types.

Admiral Yi

Quote from: dps on January 19, 2010, 08:53:41 AM
I'd like to see how that question was actually worded.
We had this before.  The question was worded pretty straight.  "Do you think ACORN stole (helped to steal?)  the election for Obama."

Neil

I wonder if this will be like the Pittburgh Steelers 'unleashing hell' in December?
I do not hate you, nor do I love you, but you are made out of atoms which I can use for something else.

Faeelin

Hrmm.

QuoteForty-nine percent say the president has done too much for the banks, and 37 percent think he's done too much for U.S. auto makers. At the same time, 54 percent say he's done too little for the middle class, six in 10 think he's done too little for small businesses and a plurality says he's done too little for homeowners.

http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2010/01/18/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry6113290.shtml

DGuller

Quote from: Faeelin on January 19, 2010, 08:04:16 AM
I wonder. It's a bit much to say that Obama's policies have had nothign to do with the Democrat loss in Massachussetts, and New Jersey, and Virginia.
While I can't say anything definitive on two of those states besides stuff everyone else already knows, I can assure you that Obama had nothing to do with New Jersey result.  Corzine was deeply unpopular on his own merits for far longer than Obama has been a president.  I think we let the morons on cable news networks dictate too much of a narrative.