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Iran War?

Started by Jacob, February 16, 2025, 02:00:06 PM

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HVC

How realistic is it to build up a large enough stockpiles of LNG to ride out storms ( ie americas mood swings)?although I guess at this point you've got a horse and barn door scenario.
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

The Minsky Moment

The EU is currently consuming about 13 billion cubic meters of LNG per month.

I asked Gemini how much it costs to store 1 billion cubic meters (so treat the results with a grain of salt)
Answer is $150 million per month for on the water storage, or about $3 billion to construct permanent storage tanks.   Which translates to about $2 billion in monthly cost for each month of consumption covered or close to $40 billion for a permanent storage solution.  Again, that covers just a single month's usage.
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

crazy canuck

I'm not aware of any long-term LNG storage facilities anywhere in the world. The system is designed to compress the natural gas into a liquid form for transport, and store it temporarily so that it is available when the ships pull in to load it and send it to its destination, or alternatively to send it down a pipeline to end users.

And user storage is similarly short-term in nature.

It's literally a flow through system.
Awarded 17 Zoupa points

In several surveys, the overwhelming first choice for what makes Canada unique is multiculturalism. This, in a world collapsing into stupid, impoverishing hatreds, is the distinctly Canadian national project.

The Minsky Moment

It does seem like living with the spot price fluctuations is the only option.  In theory you could try a financial hedge but the scale is so big it would tough to find a reliable counterparty and the costs would be very high.

EU is already pursuing lowering total gas demand because of Russia.  If there is any blame to throw out in terms of preparation it would be not pushing nuclear harder.
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

HVC

I see, thanks. I recall Canada recently started shipping LNG out of BC. Wonder why it took so long, and why we don't ship out to Europe. Probably valid reasons, but I'll bring out the classic and blame Quebec with or without reason :P . I actually worked for a company that produced portable chilling units to facilitate  the trapping of  gasses from oil extraction instead of burning it off.

I joke with sheilbh, but given the shit going down south of the border we (Canada) really should have invested in our export infrastructure.
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

HVC

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on Today at 10:24:34 AMIf there is any blame to throw out in terms of preparation it would be not pushing nuclear harder.

See Norge, it's always the greens fault :P
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: HVC on Today at 10:26:21 AMSee Norge, it's always the greens fault :P

Except that without the greens, renewable capacity would be much lower, and then you'd really be screwed . . .
You just need more pro-nuclear radical environmentalists.  Surely you can cobble a political majority on that platform.
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

HVC

The Green Party in Ontario has recently changed their tune regarding nuke power I believe. But I don't follow that end of the political spectrum enough to know why and how entrenched the new view is.
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

Valmy

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on Today at 10:27:44 AM
Quote from: HVC on Today at 10:26:21 AMSee Norge, it's always the greens fault :P

Except that without the greens, renewable capacity would be much lower, and then you'd really be screwed . . .
You just need more pro-nuclear radical environmentalists.  Surely you can cobble a political majority on that platform.

Germany led the world in solar panels right up until solar panels became a mainstream and successful technology...when they promptly gave up completely and let the Chinese take over. I never understood that, you subsidize this tech for decades right up until it becomes profitable than just...stop?
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

HVC

Quote from: Valmy on Today at 10:30:38 AM
Quote from: The Minsky Moment on Today at 10:27:44 AM
Quote from: HVC on Today at 10:26:21 AMSee Norge, it's always the greens fault :P

Except that without the greens, renewable capacity would be much lower, and then you'd really be screwed . . .
You just need more pro-nuclear radical environmentalists.  Surely you can cobble a political majority on that platform.

Germany led the world in solar panels right up until solar panels became a mainstream and successful technology...when they promptly gave up completely and let the Chinese take over. I never understood that, you subsidize this tech for decades right up until it becomes profitable than just...stop?

Russian fossil fuel lobby (bribe) money, maybe ?
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: Valmy on Today at 10:30:38 AMI never understood that, you subsidize this tech for decades right up until it becomes profitable than just...stop?

it wasn't profitable at the prices charged by the cheap Chinese imports.
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

Valmy



Morale might be kind of low for this war.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Valmy

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on Today at 10:42:35 AM
Quote from: Valmy on Today at 10:30:38 AMI never understood that, you subsidize this tech for decades right up until it becomes profitable than just...stop?

it wasn't profitable at the prices charged by the cheap Chinese imports.

Seems weird to give up though after decades of subsidies. And for Germany, a country that desperately has needed alternative energy for at least a century. What happened to fortress Europe keeping out the cheap stuff?
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

DGuller

Quote from: Legbiter on Today at 07:50:40 AMKuwait shot down...3 F-15's today. Friendly fire.
With friends like these...

Valmy

Quote from: DGuller on Today at 10:53:52 AM
Quote from: Legbiter on Today at 07:50:40 AMKuwait shot down...3 F-15's today. Friendly fire.
With friends like these...

Fortunately the crews were all recovered safely.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."