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Élection présidentielle française

Started by Zanza, April 23, 2017, 04:08:31 AM

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Valmy

For once anyway. They had a good run.

When is the next big election?
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Grey Fox

Colonel Caliga is Awesome.

Zanza

Quote from: Valmy on May 08, 2017, 12:48:25 PM
For once anyway. They had a good run.

When is the next big election?
I'll take what I can get. One election at a time.

Valmy

Quote from: Grey Fox on May 08, 2017, 01:03:49 PM
UK in a month.

Oh right. Well barring the biggest scandal since our President got a blowjob in the White House I think the Tories are going to win big.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Josquius

Well that's odd. The markets seem unhappy about the result. The euro is losing ground :hmm:
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celedhring

Quote from: Tyr on May 09, 2017, 03:14:44 AM
Well that's odd. The markets seem unhappy about the result. The euro is losing ground :hmm:

You really need to stop paying so much attention to day to day currency trading.

The euro was trading high these months without not that much reason for it, it will slide slowly unless there's a change in the fundamentals. Whatever effect Macron might have had was already priced in since it's been clear for a while that he was carrying this one.

Josquius

Quote from: celedhring on May 09, 2017, 03:23:03 AM
Quote from: Tyr on May 09, 2017, 03:14:44 AM
Well that's odd. The markets seem unhappy about the result. The euro is losing ground :hmm:

You really need to stop paying so much attention to day to day currency trading.

The euro was trading high these months without not that much reason for it, it will slide slowly unless there's a change in the fundamentals. Whatever effect Macron might have had was already priced in since it's been clear for a while that he was carrying this one.
Brexit and Trump were two pretty good reasons.
Europe was also posting pretty solid growth numbers, confirming even more that the euro zone crisis is over.
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Duque de Bragança

Quote from: Tyr on May 09, 2017, 03:43:57 AM
Quote from: celedhring on May 09, 2017, 03:23:03 AM
Quote from: Tyr on May 09, 2017, 03:14:44 AM
Well that's odd. The markets seem unhappy about the result. The euro is losing ground :hmm:

You really need to stop paying so much attention to day to day currency trading.

The euro was trading high these months without not that much reason for it, it will slide slowly unless there's a change in the fundamentals. Whatever effect Macron might have had was already priced in since it's been clear for a while that he was carrying this one.

Brexit and Trump were two pretty good reasons.
Europe was also posting pretty solid growth numbers, confirming even more that the euro zone crisis is over.

Macron also means hard Brexit.

celedhring

Quote from: Tyr on May 09, 2017, 03:43:57 AM
Quote from: celedhring on May 09, 2017, 03:23:03 AM
Quote from: Tyr on May 09, 2017, 03:14:44 AM
Well that's odd. The markets seem unhappy about the result. The euro is losing ground :hmm:

You really need to stop paying so much attention to day to day currency trading.

The euro was trading high these months without not that much reason for it, it will slide slowly unless there's a change in the fundamentals. Whatever effect Macron might have had was already priced in since it's been clear for a while that he was carrying this one.
Brexit and Trump were two pretty good reasons.
Europe was also posting pretty solid growth numbers, confirming even more that the euro zone crisis is over.

And those two were just short term reactions, while we await the exact consequences of those votes, which will still take some time.

Fact is that the ECB is still at 0%, while the Fed is raising rates. Heck, if the US Congress passes a border adjustment tax as part of Trump's tax reform, the dollar will appreciate significantly.

MadImmortalMan

#309
Quote from: Oexmelin on May 07, 2017, 06:19:55 PM
Seen on Twitter:

"It's the first time in recorded history that a French President will speak better English than an American President"

The state of world English has gotten so bad that I frankly don't think it can go back.


Using "grow" as a transitive verb. (Growing the economy is like learning your son to read.)

Gender to refer to people rather than words.

Hell, when I was a kid, people didn't pronounce the "t" in often.

Crazy, right?  :P
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Eddie Teach

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on May 10, 2017, 01:42:03 AM
Hell, when I was a kid, people didn't pronounce the "t" in often.

I blame that Dishwalla song.
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

The Minsky Moment

The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

celedhring

Seems his makeshift party is polling quite well for next the June 8th legislative elections. We can use non-crazy stable governments in France and Germany by the end of the year, given how things are turning out in the anglo world.

Zanza

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on June 02, 2017, 07:56:10 AM
Hey Macron haters - want to trade?
He speaks better English than The Donald, too.

Zanza

QuoteFrance's Macron set for biggest majority since De Gaulle: poll

Emmanuel Macron's party is set to win the biggest parliamentary majority for a French president since Charles de Gaulle's 1968 landslide, a survey of voter intentions for the coming legislative elections showed on Tuesday.

Such a majority would give Macron's government a strong mandate to push ahead with economic reforms, starting with a pro-business overhaul of France's labor code, a notoriously difficult area of policy to agree with trade unions.

Macron's centrist Republic On The Move (LREM) party, which launched in April last year and has revolutionized the French political scene, was seen scoring 29.5 percent of the vote in the June 11 first round, the Ipsos Sopra-Steria poll found.

With a solid lead ahead of other parties, LREM would go on to win 385-415 seats out of 577 in the lower house of parliament in a June 18 second round of voting, the poll showed.

The projected majority fits with a Cevipof survey for Le Monde on Friday, and would be the strongest since voters rallied behind former president and wartime hero De Gaulle in 1968 after student revolts and nationwide general strikes.

The conservative Republicans and their allies were seen at 23 percent, with the National Front on 17 percent, the hard-left France Unbowed 12.5 percent and the Socialists 8.5 percent.

LREM's first round lead has narrowed from 31 percent the last time the poll was conducted a week ago after Macron's former campaign chief - now a cabinet minister - came under investigation for past financial dealings.

The investigation into the activities of Richard Ferrand took a new turn on Tuesday as a media report said investigators had raided a business headquarters linked to their inquiries.

But that has so far done little to dent Macron's popularity after he beat the National Front's leader Marine Le Pen. Sixty percent of those surveyed said they were satisfied with Macron.

And, after the first round eliminates any candidate who gathers less than 12.5 percent of the vote, Macron's candidates will be strongly placed across the country to win the decisive second round, pollsters say.

In the second round, the poll projected that The Republicans party would win just 105-125 seats in parliament, the Socialists 25-35 seats, France Unbowed 12-22 seats and the National Front 5-15 seats.

The poll, conducted on June 2-4 for France Televisions and radiofrance with a sample of 2,103 people, also found that 68 percent of those surveyed had definitely made up their minds about whom they would vote for.

That rose to 75 percent for those backing Macron's party.

Vive la France! Vive la République! :frog: