How large will Clinton win over Trump in the popular vote?

[CountDeMoney]

if people can't be bothered to elect a can of paint over one of the incarnations of the devil, then they deserve what they get.

[OttoVonBismarck]

I don't want to tempt fate.  I have experienced a recent Provincial election here that was badly misjudged by the pollsters.

I'm assuming a typical yokel Canuck pollster just drives by the local lumber mill and hollers "Who ya votin for eh?" and vaguely judges a response before driving on. Here in America we kinda know what we're doing with polls.

[Admiral Yi]

Hacksaw in the crotch looks unpleasant.  Never noticed it before.

[Eddie Teach]

Otto's method discounts the vital maple syrup farmer vote.

[Zoupa]

I don't want to tempt fate.  I have experienced a recent Provincial election here that was badly misjudged by the pollsters.

I'm assuming a typical yokel Canuck pollster just drives by the local lumber mill and hollers "Who ya votin for eh?" and vaguely judges a response before driving on. Here in America we kinda know what we're doing with polls.

Nate Silver constantly underrated Trump during the Republican primaries. You also have a lot of partisan polling research, which seems pretty illogical.

Your polling's not all that.

[Admiral Yi]

Speaking of polling, has that dude with the Arab name gone out of business?  Don't think I can remember his company being mentioned this election.

[Crazy_Ivan80]

if people can't be bothered to elect a can of paint over one of the incarnations of the devil, then they deserve what they get.

hah, Bosch would have approved I guess

[OttoVonBismarck]

I don't want to tempt fate.  I have experienced a recent Provincial election here that was badly misjudged by the pollsters.

I'm assuming a typical yokel Canuck pollster just drives by the local lumber mill and hollers "Who ya votin for eh?" and vaguely judges a response before driving on. Here in America we kinda know what we're doing with polls.

Nate Silver constantly underrated Trump during the Republican primaries. You also have a lot of partisan polling research, which seems pretty illogical.

Your polling's not all that.

Silver underestimated Trump in his editorials/prognostications about the "race at large", he has issued a mea culpa for that. But when it came to his state-by-state projections for both primaries, 538 got the vast majority right, or rather the candidates who had a "high probability" of victory in the primary states in the last 538 rating before the elections, generally won. The GOP I think they missed a few, and the Dems I think they only missed 1 or 2.

[Fate]

Speaking of polling, has that dude with the Arab name gone out of business?  Don't think I can remember his company being mentioned this election.

Zogby?

[Admiral Yi]

Zogby?

Yup.

[OttoVonBismarck]

Looks like Zogby is still around, but reduced immensely. Sold off most (all?) of his old polling firm and his role appears to be to give numbers to outfits like the Washington Examiner and Newsmax. I remember him being a lot bigger the last couple elections, I guess he was simply far too wrong far too often to keep himself relevant.

[Martinus]

How the fuck is "Zogby" an Arab name? 

[crazy canuck]

I don't want to tempt fate.  I have experienced a recent Provincial election here that was badly misjudged by the pollsters.

I'm assuming a typical yokel Canuck pollster just drives by the local lumber mill and hollers "Who ya votin for eh?" and vaguely judges a response before driving on. Here in America we kinda know what we're doing with polls.

One more thing I don't understand about Americans.

[OttoVonBismarck]

I don't want to tempt fate.  I have experienced a recent Provincial election here that was badly misjudged by the pollsters.

I'm assuming a typical yokel Canuck pollster just drives by the local lumber mill and hollers "Who ya votin for eh?" and vaguely judges a response before driving on. Here in America we kinda know what we're doing with polls.

One more thing I don't understand about Americans.

That post was literally designed to draw you out.

[Caliga]

How the fuck is "Zogby" an Arab name? 

Sounds Albanian to me.