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Baseball 2014

Started by The Minsky Moment, January 09, 2014, 04:47:49 PM

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The Minsky Moment

#720
October 30, 2014, 03:20:17 PM
BTW Brian Burke estimates the breakeven success for Gordon to go at 30 percent:
http://www.advancedfootballanalytics.com/index.php/home/research/other-sports/106-should-the-royals-have-sent-gordon
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Sophie Scholl

#721
October 30, 2014, 03:22:22 PM
Quote from: The Minsky Moment on October 30, 2014, 03:19:50 PM
What you are describing is evidence that he was pitching very well indeed; his delivery and movement was deceptive enough to get batters chasing and the umpires to widen the zone.  That's the very definition of successful pitching, unless you are just going to blow people away with gas or use a trick pitch (knuckler, cutter).
Not his first inning.  He definitely took a bit to settle in.
"Everything that brought you here -- all the things that made you a prisoner of past sins -- they are gone. Forever and for good. So let the past go... and live."

"Somebody, after all, had to make a start. What we wrote and said is also believed by many others. They just don't dare express themselves as we did."

derspiess

#722
October 30, 2014, 03:23:48 PM
"If you can play a guitar and harmonica at the same time, like Bob Dylan or Neil Young, you're a genius. But make that extra bit of effort and strap some cymbals to your knees, suddenly people want to get the hell away from you."  --Rich Hall

The Minsky Moment

#723
October 30, 2014, 03:24:54 PM
Quote from: Benedict Arnold on October 30, 2014, 03:22:22 PM
Not his first inning.  He definitely took a bit to settle in.

True he didn't look sharp that first inning in.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

CountDeMoney

#724
November 02, 2014, 10:53:09 AM
Quote from: derspiess on October 30, 2014, 03:23:48 PM
Nate Silver's take: http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/send-alex-gordon/

Meh, I dunno.  Those are some pretty iffy projections.  While there was some serious bootage in the outfield to get Gordon into position, by the time he would've been given the green light for home, Brandon Crawford already had the ball in shallow center/left. 
He wouldn't have been just gunned down at home, he would've been executed.

And with the new rules regarding catcher collisions, 220 lbs of the Gordon Express, knowing he's toast, plowing into the very catcher whose injury caused the rules change in order to force the ball loose would've been an Ole Miss kind of ending.
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