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Was the American Civil War inevitible?

Started by jimmy olsen, October 30, 2014, 01:21:38 AM

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Assuming no changes earlier than 1815, was the American Civil War inevitable?

Yes
14 (58.3%)
No
10 (41.7%)

Total Members Voted: 24

Valmy

Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 10:10:13 AM
Cold Harbor was a pretty ginormous hook.  He even said so himself.

Not going in for the kill at Seven Days, Antietam, Gettysburg etc... resulted in many times the dead than were lost at Cold Harbor.  It was a big mistake but the butcher move would have been to stop because of the casualties and let the war go on.
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PDH

Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 09:14:55 AM

Grant was a butcher (but followed the surest strategy for winning).  Lee suffered high casualties in some battles, but most of the time he had no choice.

Nope.  Outside of a few notable incidents - the assault on the trenches at Vicksburg, the Cold Harbor Assault, and maybe Spottsylvania, Grant was by far a better offensive general than he is given credit for.  The entire Vicksburg campaign was a model of how a Civil War campaign could have been fought, his taking of Western Tennessee was brilliant, and even the Overland Campaign was well planned (though not well executed by subordinates) to move and fight advantageously.

Lee sought decisive offensive battles, and he cost his armies dearly.  Note, much of Lee's butchery was earlier in the war when the defensive tactics were not as well developed.  It took a special kind of butcher to outdo the casualties of the later campaigns when Grant had to face trenches and prepared defenses.
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KRonn

Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 09:14:55 AM
Quote from: PDH on October 30, 2014, 10:06:39 PM
Quote from: Admiral Yi on October 30, 2014, 08:53:42 PM
Quote from: viper37 on October 30, 2014, 08:52:47 PM
Not unlike Grant, I think?

I think Peedy is being ironic.

No, Lee had a far higher casualty % than Grant.  He was overly offensive when he didn't need to be.  Iirc, he had about 1/3 more casualties in overall numbers than Grant - and that was with smaller armies that could ill afford it.  Lee was a butcher.

Grant was a butcher (but followed the surest strategy for winning).  Lee suffered high casualties in some battles, but most of the time he had no choice.

I always figured that the nature of the Civil War, outdated tactics and newer weapons, ensured a heavier casualty toll in the ACW, rather than the Generals being overly harsh about casualties. 

PDH

Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 10:10:13 AM
Quote from: CountDeMoney on October 31, 2014, 09:28:56 AM
Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 09:23:44 AM
Are you letting Grant off the hook, then?

There's no hook to let him off of.

Cold Harbor was a pretty ginormous hook.  He even said so himself.

Yep.  Cold Harbor is the one real incident of butchery he can be credited with.  As mentioned above the Vicksburg assault might rank up there too.  Still, Lee won the Seven Days by repeatedly losing battles and decimating his troops, he won at Chancellorsville by nearly wrecking his army but defeating a stunned Hooker, he lost Gettysburg by taking both the strategic and tactical offensive, he lost thousands in the Fall 1863 campaigns against Meade.

He was stirring, he could get troops to love him, he commanded the loyalty and (mostly) obedience of his subordinates, but he was a butcher far worse than Grant.
I have come to believe that the whole world is an enigma, a harmless enigma that is made terrible by our own mad attempt to interpret it as though it had an underlying truth.
-Umberto Eco

-------
"I'm pretty sure my level of depression has nothing to do with how much of a fucking asshole you are."

-CdM

derspiess

Quote from: PDH on October 31, 2014, 10:15:43 AM
Nope.  Outside of a few notable incidents - the assault on the trenches at Vicksburg, the Cold Harbor Assault, and maybe Spottsylvania, Grant was by far a better offensive general than he is given credit for.  The entire Vicksburg campaign was a model of how a Civil War campaign could have been fought, his taking of Western Tennessee was brilliant, and even the Overland Campaign was well planned (though not well executed by subordinates) to move and fight advantageously.

Comparing the West and East is apples to oranges.  In the West both sides had a lot more room to maneuver and were not hindered by having to defend their respective capitals.  Not that Grant doesn't deserve credit for his success there.  And while the Overland campaign was most definitely the correct strategy it still involved butchery on the part of Grant. 

QuoteLee sought decisive offensive battles, and he cost his armies dearly. Note, much of Lee's butchery was earlier in the war when the defensive tactics were not as well developed.  It took a special kind of butcher to outdo the casualties of the later campaigns when Grant had to face trenches and prepared defenses.

Lee blundered a bit in the Seven Days battle, but he succeeded in effectively booting the Union army from the Peninsula.  From his perspective I'd take a pyrrhic victory over the enemy permanently situated a few miles from his capital.  And days 2 & 3 of Gettysburg, no question that's a huge knock on him.  But apart from that what do you have to call him a butcher?
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DontSayBanana

Quote from: Lettow77 on October 30, 2014, 10:19:13 AMI suppose, setting aside purely the qualms that may exist in invading your neighbors because you hold their domestic policies to be disagreeable

If the domestic policy had been merely disagreeable and not a widespread, institutionalized violation of human rights, you might have a point.
Experience bij!

Valmy

Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 11:11:20 AM
Lee blundered a bit in the Seven Days battle, but he succeeded in effectively booting the Union army from the Peninsula.

Sure but he lost every battle except one.  I mean sure he knew how to unnerve McClellan but it was a pretty messy series of frontal assaults.

QuoteFrom his perspective I'd take a pyrrhic victory over the enemy permanently situated a few miles from his capital.

Well sure but that does not negate the fact a lot of his victories were Pyrrhic in nature.

QuoteAnd days 2 & 3 of Gettysburg, no question that's a huge knock on him.  But apart from that what do you have to call him a butcher?

Pretty much every time he was on the offensive (well except Second Bull Run, that was a perfectly executed flank attack but Pope was in denial Longstreet's Corps was even there).  He counted on the sheer audacity of the attack to unnerve the Union General and it often worked but man there was a reason those attacks were audacious.  The only difference between Gettysburg and the others is that at Gettysburg the Union Army stopped being rattled by his assaults.
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Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

derspiess

Quote from: Valmy on October 31, 2014, 11:20:16 AM
Sure but he lost every battle except one.  I mean sure he knew how to unnerve McClellan but it was a pretty messy series of frontal assaults.

Yep.  Lee's back was against the wall, so I do cut him a small bit of slack for that.

QuoteWell sure but that does not negate the fact a lot of his victories were Pyrrhic in nature.

In the sense that the South could hardly replace any losses, sure.  But that being the case it's unavoidable unless they just give up.

Quote
Pretty much every time he was on the offensive (well except Second Bull Run, that was a perfectly executed flank attack but Pope was in denial Longstreet's Corps was even there).  He counted on the sheer audacity of the attack to unnerve the Union General and it often worked but man there was a reason those attacks were audacious. 

I wouldn't call Chancellorsville butchery. Besides that we have Gettysburg and Seven Days.  If there's anything else I'm drawing a blank.

QuoteThe only difference between Gettysburg and the others is that at Gettysburg the Union Army stopped being rattled by his assaults.

There were a few other factors.  Not having Jackson anymore/not taking Culp's Hill on Day 1, lack of effective recon, and defensive terrain to name some.
"If you can play a guitar and harmonica at the same time, like Bob Dylan or Neil Young, you're a genius. But make that extra bit of effort and strap some cymbals to your knees, suddenly people want to get the hell away from you."  --Rich Hall

Valmy

Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 11:43:51 AM
I wouldn't call Chancellorsville butchery.

Chancellorsville was a completely crazy and suicidal plan.  Which was why it worked but there was a reason it was considered crazy and suicidal.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Valmy

Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 11:43:51 AM
In the sense that the South could hardly replace any losses, sure.  But that being the case it's unavoidable unless they just give up.

I don't think the South was required to fight the war by launching crazy assaults all the time.  What they needed were battles like Fredericksburg where they maneuvered the North into making the crazy assaults.  You know, like what Joe Johnston was always trying to do.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Valmy

Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 11:43:51 AM
There were a few other factors.  Not having Jackson anymore/not taking Culp's Hill on Day 1, lack of effective recon, and defensive terrain to name some.

Jackson was late and bungled a lot during the Seven Days campaign.  But details like that don't matter when your opponent is being psychologically beaten.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

CountDeMoney


Valmy

Quote from: CountDeMoney on October 31, 2014, 11:57:01 AM
That's one way not to fuck up quotes.

That's weird.  I did that without even noticing.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

derspiess

Quote from: Valmy on October 31, 2014, 11:56:06 AM
Quote from: derspiess on October 31, 2014, 11:43:51 AM
There were a few other factors.  Not having Jackson anymore/not taking Culp's Hill on Day 1, lack of effective recon, and defensive terrain to name some.

Jackson was late and bungled a lot during the Seven Days campaign.  But details like that don't matter when your opponent is being psychologically beaten.

Yeah, Jackson was terrible in the Seven Days, but I was talking about Gettsyburg. 
"If you can play a guitar and harmonica at the same time, like Bob Dylan or Neil Young, you're a genius. But make that extra bit of effort and strap some cymbals to your knees, suddenly people want to get the hell away from you."  --Rich Hall

viper37

Quote from: KRonn on October 31, 2014, 10:19:07 AM
I always figured that the nature of the Civil War, outdated tactics and newer weapons, ensured a heavier casualty toll in the ACW, rather than the Generals being overly harsh about casualties. 
And strangely, we saw more of the same in WW1.  It's as if the higher officers still tought themselves in the Napoleonic era.
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