The EU thread

[Duque de Bragança]

Things must look really bad if they expect Iberian reinforcements for Bornholm instead of Germany, Sweden and Poland, for Bornholm is part of their Baltic hinterland. 

[Jacob]

I think Iberians were mentioned to make a rhetorical point about the risk of fracturing EU and NATO cohesion.

As in, the person making the point thinks the Iberians are least likely to offer support in case of war. I don't know how true it is, though?

[Duque de Bragança]

I understand that, if only for logistical reasons. Even land movement is a problem with different rail gauges; the Catalonian high-speed link is under-used and not for heavy freight trains anyways. Not applicable directly to Bornholm, anyways.

Besides, spending is barely at 2% not likely to increase, namely for Spain"Russia won't reach the Pyrenees" (How is the P line these days? https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Línea_P).

The Portuguese prime minister stated his intention to increase spending, unlike the Spanish PM, however.

[Jacob]

That said, presumably the Spanish and Portuguese could deploy some naval and air force assets to the Baltic theatre if the situation called for it.

[Duque de Bragança]

That's the extent of it I believe, plus some marines, if needed.

By the time they arrive, it could be too late, however, assuming the Russians somehow circumvent or secure Swedish Gotland first.