What does a TRUMP presidency look like?

[Barrister]

Isn't it at least possible that the USSC runs out the clock, until the VP acting as President issues a presidential pardon?

I don't think you need to get to the USSC, or the VP.

If Trump wins, he arguably has the power to A: Order the DOJ to cease any ongoing prosecutions of him, and B: pardon himself.  Both would lead to constitutional crises, but what does Trump care?

[crazy canuck]

At that point democracy in the US is dead and replaced by totalitarian rule.

So I am not sure the finer points will matter.

[garbon]

At that point democracy in the US is dead and replaced by totalitarian rule.

So I am not sure the finer points will matter.

Sounds like a Republican talking point about Dictatir Joe.

[grumbler]

Your statement was:

Not that any legal rulings will stand in the way of the USSC overturning that clause if it benefits Trump.

LIke I said - you can disagree with Kavanaugh, Coney-Barrett on the extent of executive privilege, but I would reject the notion that the USSC conservative majority will automatically vote in favour of Trump's interests.

Like I said: not that any legal rulings will stand in the way of the USSC overturning that clause if it benefits Trump.  I never said that "the USSC conservative majority will automatically vote in favour of Trump's interests" so your rejection does not contradict my statement at all.

[crazy canuck]

At that point democracy in the US is dead and replaced by totalitarian rule.

So I am not sure the finer points will matter.

Sounds like a Republican talking point about Dictatir Joe.

Makes me more concerned given their penchant for accusing the Dems of the very thing they want to do

[Jacob]

Makes me more concerned given their penchant for accusing the Dems of the very thing they want to do

Indeed.

[The Minsky Moment]

Looking strictly in terms of legal jeopardy, the documents case poses great difficulties for Trump because the evidence appears to be devastating and there seems to be no viable legal defense.  Certainly no one in the Trump camp has raised one.  The best that can be said in Trump is he got a favorable judicial draw and venue.

Although the evidence in this Jan 6 case is also quite impressive, the legal theories are not all as solid.  The US code provisions at issue are written generally and there isn't much direct precedent for many of the unusual and specific facts of this case.  So one can expect that the main line of defense is going to be challenging whether the conduct alleged constitutes a crime, as well as exploring issues of intent and a potential advice of counsel defense.  Such questions of law are effective grounds for appeal, and why I think this case is a good candidate for an eventual hearing by the Supreme Court.

One exception to the above analysis is the Raffensperger call.  A reasonable juror could conceivably interpret that exchange in context as a demand to fraudulently add votes on a threat to bring bogus criminal charges if the demand were rejected.  That scenario is unquestionably a criminal act, and on that allegation, the defense will have to be more in the nature of a traditional "reasonable doubt" defense as to meaning and intent.

[CountDeMoney]

Nothing will happen.
Nothing, except his inauguration.

[mongers]

Nothing will happen.
Nothing, except his inauguration.

This.

Sadly.

[jimmy olsen]

Nothing will happen.
Nothing, except his inauguration.

The average election since the Dobbs decision has been a 5-10 shift to the left compared to expectations. He's the person responsible for that decision and it's going to sink him.

[Tonitrus]

I think that definitely helped in tamping down the expectations for the mid-terms...but for '24, I have the feels that the Trump/GOP electorate is going to be more energized, in terms of turn out, than their opponents.

[Richard Hakluyt]

It will be the biggest and best inauguration ever.

[jimmy olsen]

I think that definitely helped in tamping down the expectations for the mid-terms...but for '24, I have the feels that the Trump/GOP electorate is going to be more energized, in terms of turn out, than their opponents.

20 million elderly voters have died since 2016 and because of Covid these leaned further right than the general elderly population. 32 million voters turned 18 since 2016.

[crazy canuck]

Nothing will happen.
Nothing, except his inauguration.

You wisely did not mention the need to win an election first.

[Iormlund]

The jury has to be unanimous to convict, right?

Could the judge (legally) disqualify every potential juror who has ever been a registered voter or member of a party?