Russo-Ukrainian War 2014-23 and Invasion

[crazy canuck]

Cannot it simply be a first sign of Putin losing his absolute grip on power and the dukes of his realm starting to fight out future succession?

This seems the most likely explanation

[celedhring]

Is Dugin a duke, though? He comes across to me as more of a courtier

[Tamas]

Is Dugin a duke, though? He comes across to me as more of a courtier

He can still be an important player who really upset the wrong guy in the game.

[Solmyr]

Dugin is not actually that important for Putin's regime, he mostly created this image of himself in the West as some major ideologist. His daughter mostly produced some propaganda.

[Sheilbh]

Is Dugin a duke, though? He comes across to me as more of a courtier

I don't think Dugin matters that much at all. If anything I think he's probably more vulnerable than people with actual influence who I suspect would have some form of security?

[Legbiter]

Kamil Galeev provides excellent context to her assassination on his twitter feed. He makes the Russian "experts" in Western media look like retards.

[Crazy_Ivan80]

Kamil Galeev provides excellent context to her assassination on his twitter feed. He makes the Russian "experts" in Western media look like retards.

linkie for those too lazy?
but yeah: he's got some good stuff

[Razgovory]

Who the fuck is the National Republican Army?

[Josephus]

Yup so Russia is planning on retaliating for the car bombing, saying it was a Ukrainian hit. As most of you have said, it doesn't really makes sense. There's no strategic value for the Ukrainians to do this and it wouldn't be an assassination for its own sake. But Putin's obviously gonna make the best PR out of it.

[Sheilbh]

Also it's Ukrainian Independence Day on Wednesday.

[crazy canuck]

A theory that it is Putin putting fear into the hearts of the ruling class. 

From the NYT

"Rublyovka is shivering," a pro-Kremlin political analyst, Sergei Markov, wrote on the Telegram social network. "This act of terror is a message for them: Be afraid, you could be next."

[Iormlund]

Unconfirmed reports that an ammo convoy was blown up crossing the bridge at Kherson, which was severely damaged.

If that bridge has indeed fallen there's about 30 BTGs at the wrong side of their supply chain...

[Josquius]

Also it's Ukrainian Independence Day on Wednesday.

Yes, seems to be an issue here. Ukraine did seem to be preparing for a big triumphant independence day. Convenient timing with the assassination and the prompt response on Russian media.

[DGuller]

Did they?  My impression was that they were planning to hanker down, discouraging any crowd gathering, because they expect some shit to go down on that day.

[Josquius]

Did they?  My impression was that they were planning to hanker down, discouraging any crowd gathering, because they expect some shit to go down on that day.

Thats the latest update.
A few days ago I read about planned parades of wrecked Russian tanks and my colleagues in Ukraine sounded rather excited for it.