Quote"Are we a country that looks out for each other ... or do you go down a path of amplifying anger, division and fear?"
That's how Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau described the stakes in his country's upcoming election in an interview with Vox's Today, Explained this week — outlining the 2025 contest as no ordinary election but a referendum on the very soul of Canada.
This existential framing is an unsubtle shot at Trudeau's rival, Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre, a populist firebrand who is currently outpolling the prime minister by a wide margin. Poilievre rose to party leadership as a champion of the extremist trucker convoy that occupied Ottawa in January 2022, and since then has regularly pandered to far-right voters. He has proposed defunding the CBC (Canada's widely respected public broadcaster) and repeatedly promoted a conspiracy theory in which Trudeau is in league with the World Economic Forum.
There's a reason that Trudeau and many others have directly linked Poilievre to Trump: His political style practically invites it. But how accurate is the comparison? Is Canada really poised to be the next Western country to fall to the far-right populist global wave?
The answer, as best as I can tell, is mixed.
It's true that, by Canadian standards, Poilievre is an especially hard-nosed figure, one far more willing to use extreme rhetoric and attack political opponents in harsh terms.
But on policy substance, he's actually considerably more moderate than Trump or European radicals. Mostly eschewing the demagogic focus on culture and immigration that defines the new global far right, Poilievre is primarily concerned with classic conservative themes of limited government. His biggest campaign promises at present aren't slashing immigration rates or cracking down on crime, but building more housing and repealing Canada's carbon tax.
Quote from: Barrister on April 25, 2024, 04:54:31 PMQuote from: crazy canuck on April 25, 2024, 01:01:56 PMQuote from: Barrister on April 25, 2024, 12:26:37 PMWhat the hell, I'll engage against my better judgment.
I stopped reading after this.
If you want to have a civil discussion. Don't start it by being uncivil.
Thanks for confirming my instincts.
Quote from: Jacob on April 25, 2024, 01:12:53 PMTime will tell. Maybe. If Carney gets into that position.
My thoughts are:
- While Carney may be easy to attack, the operative question is whether he'll be easier to attack than Trudeau.
- If voters care about the economy, someone with significant economic credibility may be an asset; especially since Poilievre still comes across as mostly fluff and little substance on that topic.
- While the Conservative line of attack on Carney might be similar to the line of attack on Ignatieff, the key issue is how well Carney responds to it - and I don't think we have any real evidence there yet.
- There are differences both in the political moment and in the resumes. Ignatieff is an academic and public intellectual, Carney is from the world of finance. That has very different vibes, even if it happened outside of Canada. "Harvard Academic" and "Head of the Bank of England while it weathered a significant crisis" sound very different to my ears (not to mention "Head of the Bank of Canada while it weathered a significant crisis").
- Poilievre's main advantage in my eyes is Trudeau-fatigue, and his main strategy is vibes based attacks and "everything sucks, right? We'll do things differently!" Seems to me that the most useful Conservative line of attack would be attempts to link Carney with Trudeau and claim "more of the same", rather than "this guy is an outsider", which would play right into Carney's likely play of depicting himself as a hard reset for the current Liberal establishment.
That said... isn't it kind of academic at this point? Is there any real chance that Trudeau is going to step down?
Quote from: viper37 on April 25, 2024, 02:12:57 PMQuote from: Jacob on April 25, 2024, 01:12:53 PMThat said... isn't it kind of academic at this point? Is there any real chance that Trudeau is going to step down?Not a chance.
He will be pushed out or he will lose the election.
According to Liberal insiders, what they're aiming at is going into the election with Trudeau, let him lose, then replace him with their favorite candidate.
Could be Carney, could be someone else too.
Quote from: Admiral Yi on April 25, 2024, 05:00:26 PMTell me about your hooligan days Guppy.
Quote from: Josquius on Today at 08:13:55 AMCurious, I seem to recall the flat you almost bought but didn't was also near there.Yeah that place was basically next door. I'm a little further away now.
QuoteI suspect you're actually a secret Millwall fan. Why else would anyone claim to support the blue Liverpool team? :p
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