2016 elections - because it's never too early

[derspiess]

Rubio is now the favored establishment candidate.  I'm sure they'd love to have Kasich instead, but he needs to win something.

Also FWIW the leftists in Ohio think Kasich is as much a fascist as Trump.  Which amuses me.

[The Minsky Moment]

Also FWIW the leftists in Ohio think Kasich is as much a fascist as Trump.  Which amuses me.

Us old-timers remember when Kasich was one of Gringrich's leading bomb-throwing shock troops in the Clinton years.  Seems like he's mellowed a bit but old grudges carry.

[The Minsky Moment]

Jeb Bush: "Please clap"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DdCYMvaUcrA

But it's good to see him gunning for the big New Hampshire orthodox Jewish vote.

[derspiess]

Also FWIW the leftists in Ohio think Kasich is as much a fascist as Trump.  Which amuses me.

Us old-timers remember when Kasich was one of Gringrich's leading bomb-throwing shock troops in the Clinton years.  Seems like he's mellowed a bit but old grudges carry.

Most of it here in Ohio is over him "gutting education", though I rarely hear specifics.  Most of the ire seems to come from Millenial-ish types.  Among older Democrats around here he seems to be viewed as more of a consensus-builder.

[Berkut]

Also FWIW the leftists in Ohio think Kasich is as much a fascist as Trump.  Which amuses me.

Us old-timers remember when Kasich was one of Gringrich's leading bomb-throwing shock troops in the Clinton years.  Seems like he's mellowed a bit but old grudges carry.

Most of it here in Ohio is over him "gutting education", though I rarely hear specifics.  Most of the ire seems to come from Millenial-ish types.  Among older Democrats around here he seems to be viewed as more of a consensus-builder.

Breaking the teachers any public sector union is never going to be popular with communists. Or socialists. Or Democrats.

[alfred russel]

The last tracking poll in New Hampshire is:

Trump: 36
Rubio: 15
Cruz: 14
Bush: 8
Kasich: 7
Christie: 5

If that holds up, it is a 3 person race. Probably the person best positioned to break in is Bush, but only because he could conceivably turn an upset #2 finish into future primary competitiveness as he has the money to do so. I don't think Kasich and Christie have the funding.

[Admiral Yi]

Everyone knows Iowa Republicans are dumb as bricks but I thought New Hampshire was a little smarter than that.

[Razgovory]

My criticism of your antics has nothing to do with you posting articles from certain places, but that you post them without any serious commentary a la Tim.  You'd realize that if you read what I wrote rather than reading what you want to think I wrote.

I do that all the time, because I think it trite to write something immediately afterword.  Examples:

http://languish.org/forums/index.php/topic,13645.msg939238.html#msg939238
http://languish.org/forums/index.php/topic,13618.msg936892.html#msg936892
http://languish.org/forums/index.php/topic,13610.msg935847.html#msg935847
http://languish.org/forums/index.php/topic,13389.msg916179.html#msg916179

Yet you get bent out of shape over this one?  Seems odd, unless one considers your political position.

[alfred russel]

Everyone knows Iowa Republicans are dumb as bricks but I thought New Hampshire was a little smarter than that.

Are you talking about the state that went for Pat Buchanan?

[Admiral Yi]

Are you talking about the state that went for Pat Buchanan?

hmm

[Barrister]

It was reported that Rubio had a "3-2-1" strategy - come in 3rd in Iowa, 2nd in New Hampshire, then 1st in either Nevada or South Carolina.  Looks like he might be able to pull it off.

We also seem to be seeing the destruction of the myth that NEw Hampshirites are really jealous of their "first primary in the nation" status and reward candidates who spend the most time there.  Guys like Christie and Kasich, who devoted all of their efforts into New Hampshire, aren't getting much results for their hard work.

[Habbaku]

I do that all the time, because I think it trite to write something immediately afterword.
Yet you get bent out of shape over this one?  Seems odd, unless one considers your political position.

I didn't realize it was my responsibility to respond to every single one of your posts.  My mistake.  I'll just stop responding to any of them, since you insist on consistent dishonesty.

[Valmy]

It was reported that Rubio had a "3-2-1" strategy - come in 3rd in Iowa, 2nd in New Hampshire, then 1st in either Nevada or South Carolina.  Looks like he might be able to pull it off.

We also seem to be seeing the destruction of the myth that NEw Hampshirites are really jealous of their "first primary in the nation" status and reward candidates who spend the most time there.  Guys like Christie and Kasich, who devoted all of their efforts into New Hampshire, aren't getting much results for their hard work.

We'll see.

[Habbaku]

Everyone knows Iowa Republicans are dumb as bricks but I thought New Hampshire was a little smarter than that.

Same.  I'm hoping this turns out to be another Iowa, where a significant portion of the voters are either just lying to pollsters or aren't captured in the polling numbers.

[Barrister]

It was reported that Rubio had a "3-2-1" strategy - come in 3rd in Iowa, 2nd in New Hampshire, then 1st in either Nevada or South Carolina.  Looks like he might be able to pull it off.

We also seem to be seeing the destruction of the myth that NEw Hampshirites are really jealous of their "first primary in the nation" status and reward candidates who spend the most time there.  Guys like Christie and Kasich, who devoted all of their efforts into New Hampshire, aren't getting much results for their hard work.

We'll see.

Of course.  Nothing I said should be seen as a prediction.

Trump still leads the national polls quite handily.  Looking just at poll numbers you'd have to think he's the overwhelming favourite.  It's only when you say "hey - surely people are not that dumb as to vote for this clown) that you downgrade his odds.