GOP Primary Megathread!

[Ideologue]

Maybe I'll be Claudius to your Caligula and steal your throne.  OH SURE, HE HAD NOTHING AT ALL TO DO WITH THAT.

Would Robert Graves just make stuff up?  I think not.

[Caliga]

I liked the part in I Claudius when Derek Jacobi started crying hysterically when he found out his wife had been killed.  IRL he was like "k, more wine PLZ"

[Ideologue]

BY JOVE Messalina was hot.

[Neil]

Actually, I think Canada might have won the War on Terror. 

Canada lost little honor when its army routed out of the War on Terror,
for it had but little honor to lose, but it did lose all that it had.

The best way to win was not to fight.

[paraphrased from whom, oh history trivia buffs?]

I think somebody was talking about Italians. 

[Zoupa]

Actually, I think Canada might have won the War on Terror. 

Canada lost little honor when its army routed out of the War on Terror,
for it had but little honor to lose, but it did lose all that it had.

[paraphrased from whom, oh history trivia buffs?]

[Eddie Teach]

I don't remember that line in Snow White. 

[Phillip V]

While the race in Michigan remains a toss-up between Romney and Santorum, there is the possibility that Paul might beat Gingrich for third place.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_republican_presidential_primary-1589.html

[alfred russel]

I don't think Obama is losing to any of these clowns.

But if he did...that would be a pretty huge upset. I am a little afraid of what it would mean for the USA. The nutbars would be validated, and the GOP would be firmly ensconced as the party of the religious right.

I think that unless a scandal breaks or there is some other major misstep, the eventual nominee looks worse today than he ever will. Assuming the nominee is eventually Romney, while he starts to pull away from the competition he will look more like a winner, and there will be many stories about how he weathered the storm and is better for it. Then most republicans will rally around him and pretend he is the next great leader. I'd guess he will move ahead of Obama for a while after that.

[Phillip V]

While everybody is focused on the GOP primary, do not forget that the President is campaigning, too.

The Obama campaign outspent the Romney campaign by several million dollars in the month of January.

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/24/in-january-obama-campaign-outspent-romneys/

Some of Mr. Obama's expenses were the kind that traditionally eat up a lot of campaign cash, like the production and placement of television ads, on which the campaign spent about $3.4 million; mail and postage, which ate up $2.8 million; and telemarketing, which racked up a bill of $1.4 million.

The campaign's single largest expense was for Internet advertising: Mr. Obama spent $4.3 million on Web ads in January, about as much as some of the Republican candidates raised.

[derspiess]

While the race in Michigan remains a toss-up between Romney and Santorum, there is the possibility that Paul might beat Gingrich for third place.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_republican_presidential_primary-1589.html

538 has Romney with an 88% chance to win Michigan.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[Phillip V]

While the race in Michigan remains a toss-up between Romney and Santorum, there is the possibility that Paul might beat Gingrich for third place.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_republican_presidential_primary-1589.html

538 has Romney with an 88% chance to win Michigan.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

67% to win Michigan. 88% to win Arizona.

[FunkMonk]

That graph is not to scale. Newt's head should be much bigger.

[Maximus]

Plus, I don't think Romney is that much taller than Gingrich.

[derspiess]

67% to win Michigan. 88% to win Arizona.

[Gups]

Romney does seem to have the advantage that he does better in the winner take all states than the proportional ones.