US Election Week 2020

[garbon]

Why would you take out 15% of the country out of your calculations? 

For dishonest reasons.

Are you talking about me and California? I phrased myself badly, as usual. I was sitting around and thinking that the entire popular vote difference can be explained by California. Horribly enough it actually seems quite even in the rest of the US.

Surely you could also just grab a whole collection of different states to say something similar right for your 2nd sentence? I'm also not sure your third sentence seems accurate.

Here's a list in descending order of Biden states and the gap. I've listed just those with 10% or higher gap (as shown in bold font).

Vermont 66-31 +35
California 65-32 +33
Massachusetts 66-33 +33
Hawaii 64-34 +30
Maryland 63-36 +27
Washington 60-38 +22
Rhode Island 59-39 +20
Delaware 59-40 +19
Oregon 58-40 +18
Conneticut 57-41 +16
NY 55-43 +12
Colorado 55-42 +13
Illinois 55-43 +12
New Mexico 54-43 +11

[Solmyr]

[Josquius]

Looks like arizona may not flip afterall?
Though encouraging signs from PA.

[Sheilbh]

Apparently Trump is starting to see it slip away from him and "feeling down" - although apparently he is starting to talk with friends and contacts on a 2024 run

[Maladict]

Apparently Trump is starting to see it slip away from him and "feeling down" - although apparently he is starting to talk with friends and contacts on a 2024 run

Oh yes please.

[Syt]

Apparently Trump is starting to see it slip away from him and "feeling down" - although apparently he is starting to talk with friends and contacts on a 2024 run

Is it too much to hope that when the final results are certified that he'll have a Valentinian I moment?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valentinian_I#Death

[The Larch]

[Tamas]

[Liep]

[Solmyr]

Apparently Trump is starting to see it slip away from him and "feeling down" - although apparently he is starting to talk with friends and contacts on a 2024 run

Is he going to be alive and non-demented in 2024?

[Tamas]

Apparently Trump is starting to see it slip away from him and "feeling down" - although apparently he is starting to talk with friends and contacts on a 2024 run

Is he going to be alive and non-demented in 2024?

It won't matter either to him or his fans.

[Solmyr]

[Josquius]

I'm predicting/hoping for some bodies under the white house lawn being discovered by the Biden administration that make trump a less then viable 2024 candidate (who runs anyway and loses)

[Sheilbh]

I really wonder if evertything holds up - I don't know how he'll deal with loss.

And I don't think he's an idiot (unlike his kids) - so he knows he's bullshitting when he says this election is stolen, just like he knew he was bullshitting about the inauguration crowd size and the 3.5 million illegal Hilary voters that gave her the popular vote. He'll bluster and bullshit - but he'll know he lost and he's been rejected and the entire world is watching it happen over days and weeks. I really don't know how he'll respond to that.

Also this is the perfect result for McConnell and the establishment GOP: Trump lost, they kept the Senate and they've got 6-3 on the Supreme Court. It was all worth it.

[Sheilbh]