US Election Week 2020

[DGuller]

Regardless of how this ends, it's still tragic that it's even remotely this close.  It's still clearly dark times for democracy.

[jimmy olsen]

49% in Ohio, Biden up by 400k
41% in Texas, Biden up by 200k
Third of Kansas in, Biden up 10%

[jimmy olsen]

50% in NC, Biden up 261k

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2020/nov/03/us-election-2020-live-results-donald-trump-joe-biden-who-won-presidential-republican-democrat

[DGuller]

49% in Ohio, Biden up by 400k
41% in Texas, Biden up by 200k
Third of Kansas in, Biden up 10%

Doesn't tell us much unless we compare it with what's expected.

[The Larch]

Arkansas called for Trump.

[Valmy]

Christ, NYT also tilting Trump in NC

Weird I was just sort of amazed how fast the vote shifted our way there. But maybe it did not shift our way enough.

[DGuller]

Christ, NYT also tilting Trump in NC

Weird I was just sort of amazed how fast the vote shifted our way there. But maybe it did not shift our way enough.

Now more than any other time, what matters is whether you're +/- on expected.  We know Biden would be starting ahead pretty much everywhere, what matters is if he's ahead enough.

[DGuller]

I guess Senate is definitely out now, so it's already a defeat.  I guess we're now hoping for just a defeat and not a crushing defeat.

[jimmy olsen]

NC 65% of the vote in, Biden up 294k

[fromtia]

Regardless of how this ends, it's still tragic that it's even remotely this close.  It's still clearly dark times for democracy.

Its pretty grim so far, much worse than anticipated. People like us who read and things like that might have to admit that we have this all wrong. I predicted agonizingly close Biden win, looks like its more likely to be razor thin Trump win. Hopefully we still get a Biden win, but we aren't getting the Biden triumph, and that's what I think we needed to arrest the present madness and hopefully push the Republican party back a bit at least to the center. That is looking very very unlikely now.

[fromtia]

Sorry everyone. Especially AR who might lose a bunch of money.

[Valmy]

Christ, NYT also tilting Trump in NC

Weird I was just sort of amazed how fast the vote shifted our way there. But maybe it did not shift our way enough.

Now more than any other time, what matters is whether you're +/- on expected.  We know Biden would be starting ahead pretty much everywhere, what matters is if he's ahead enough.

He certainly did not start ahead in North Carolina

[Zoupa]

Jesus you guys are doom and gloom. I think Biden still wins.

[derspiess]

I guess Senate is definitely out now, so it's already a defeat.  I guess we're now hoping for just a defeat and not a crushing defeat.

What key Senate races have been called?

[derspiess]

Jesus you guys are doom and gloom. I think Biden still wins.

Agree.