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US Election Week 2020

Started by Barrister, November 03, 2020, 01:17:04 PM

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The Larch

New York called for Biden, Louisiana called for Trump.

Grinning_Colossus

Quote from: Solmyr on November 03, 2020, 09:07:35 PM
How do states get called when zero votes are counted?

Exit polls + voter turnout + conventional wisdom.
Quis futuit ipsos fututores?

Barrister

Quote from: Solmyr on November 03, 2020, 09:07:35 PM
How do states get called when zero votes are counted?

Exit polling.  If it's just so overwhelming they just call it right off the bat.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

DGuller

Quote from: Solmyr on November 03, 2020, 09:07:35 PM
How do states get called when zero votes are counted?
Exit polling.  Calling a state is a statistical thing, it's not like you call a state only when the margin exceeds the votes yet to count.

Solmyr

Conventional wisdom means jack shit in these times.  :P

DGuller

How do you keep 538 updating automatically?  I think caching in Google Chrome is really playing havoc with it.

Maladict

Odds are now even, unless Biden takes Ohio. That would be an autowin.

DGuller

The constant ads on NBC for a six-part podcast on Kamal Harris sound a little premature now, don't they?

DGuller

Am I transitioning to the next stage of grief, or does it sound like the mood is shifting a little towards Biden?

Liep

Quote from: Maladict on November 03, 2020, 09:22:23 PM
Odds are now even, unless Biden takes Ohio. That would be an autowin.


Odds here now have Trump as clear favorite at 1,40.
"Af alle latterlige Ting forekommer det mig at være det allerlatterligste at have travlt" - Kierkegaard

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The Larch


HisMajestyBOB

Quote from: DGuller on November 03, 2020, 08:26:45 PM
Regardless of how this ends, it's still tragic that it's even remotely this close.  It's still clearly dark times for democracy.
:yes:
Trumpism isn't going aaway and QAnon Republicanism is going to go big. We'll get a four year respite before the deluge.
Three lovely Prada points for HoI2 help

jimmy olsen

I think even if Biden loses Ohio, it's obviously much closer than in 2016.

Assuming that correlates with other midwestern states, a shift of just a couple of points wins MI, WI and PA.

That's enough to win even if Trump wins all the other swing states.
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
1 Karma Chameleon point

Eddie Teach

Quote from: DGuller on November 03, 2020, 09:28:57 PM
The constant ads on NBC for a six-part podcast on Kamal Harris sound a little premature now, don't they?

She would be the presumptive front runner in '24.
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

mongers

Quote from: jimmy olsen on November 03, 2020, 09:38:55 PM
I think even if Biden loses Ohio, it's obviously much closer than in 2016.

Assuming that correlates with other midwestern states, a shift of just a couple of points wins MI, WI and PA.

That's enough to win even if Trump wins all the other swing states.

Tim, for god sake lay of The Taint, you've done enough with that post to near guarantee a Trump win.  :mad:
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"