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Flashpoint Latvia

Started by Jacob, November 17, 2016, 04:42:14 PM

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Eddie Teach

One needn't be a "hawk" to support NATO.
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

Martinus

Quote from: Grey Fox on November 18, 2016, 10:55:50 AM
While I agree with the gallery & we all should honour of Nato commitment to the Baltic States.

Other States have to start spending money too, not just the USA.

& especially Germany.

Actually, unless I am mistaken, Latvia is one of the four NATO states that fulfill their NATO spending commitments (the other three being USA, UK and Poland).

Martinus

Quote from: Eddie Teach on November 18, 2016, 10:57:09 AM
One needn't be a "hawk" to support NATO.

Well, I didn't want to call Ide a communist traitor outright.

celedhring

Pretty sure Greece also more than met those targets, unless they have really slashed their defence budget this year.

We are at around 1,3% once you take into account all the defence spending that the government disguises in other parts of the budget (headline defence spending is just 0,9%, but for example the loans to finance our naval program are underwritten by the Ministry of Industry). And it's not going to get an increase anytime soon. We were pretty close to the 2% before the recession.

Martinus

Quote from: celedhring on November 18, 2016, 11:11:57 AM
Pretty sure Greece also more than met those targets, unless they have really slashed their defence budget this year.

We are at around 1,3% once you take into account all the defence spending that the government disguises in other parts of the budget (headline defence spending is just 0,9%, but for example the loans to finance our naval program are underwritten by the Ministry of Industry). And it's not going to get an increase anytime soon. We were pretty close to the 2% before the recession.

Possibly - I wasn't sure whether the four countries include the US or not (i.e. whether the US is fifth) but couldn't remember another one - but now I recall that it might be Greece. These are the countries Trump mentioned during one of his speeches about NATO.

viper37

Quote from: Grey Fox on November 18, 2016, 10:55:50 AM
Other States have to start spending money too, not just the USA.
True.  Canada should spend more.  Oh, wait.  You voted for a guy who promised to spend less...  ;)

http://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/pdf_2016_07/20160704_160704-pr2016-116.pdf

See page 2, bottom graph.

The countries that honour their NATO guideline (2% of their GDP investerd in military expenses) are:
- USA
- United Kingdom
- Greece
- Estonia
- Poland.

That's 5 countries.  Out of 27.

If you specifically look at the Baltic states, while they are lower than 2%, their actual military expenses have risen in the last year.  One could conclude that it is simply a matter of recovering from the economic crisis, and that they are not dragging their feet, as the pro-Trump camp would imply.

The equipment graph also shows you that Baltic states have recently increased their expense in defense material, which means they are modernising their equipments faster than many other NATO countries.

Yes, it is a problem, but it is a problem that is being adressed in many countries.
I don't do meditation.  I drink alcohol to relax, like normal people.

If Microsoft Excel decided to stop working overnight, the world would practically end.

CountDeMoney

Quote from: Martinus on November 18, 2016, 10:54:29 AM
I agree with CdM and the rest of the hawks.

Fuck you, baseball bat bait.

The Brain

Women want me. Men want to be with me.

celedhring

Quote from: Valmy on November 18, 2016, 10:48:22 AM
Quote from: celedhring on November 18, 2016, 10:39:18 AM
No objection. Spain will put forward our creaky, munition-less, and fuel-less Hornets for NATO's service.

Still probably a match for whatever shit the Russians have.

The Spanish Navy is pretty modern, everything else is in a pretty sorry state and with laughable readiness levels. Actually our navy is out of proportion with our real needs, and it was mostly commissioned to be part of NATO task forces. Heavy navy investment (plus some other programs like the Eurofighters we can't afford to fly or the Leopards we can't afford to repair) have eaten into funds available to keep reasonable readiness levels, and the recession has made things worse.

Valmy

Well a modern naval force would be pretty useful in a Baltic based conflict.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

The Brain

Quote from: celedhring on November 18, 2016, 11:43:29 AM
Quote from: Valmy on November 18, 2016, 10:48:22 AM
Quote from: celedhring on November 18, 2016, 10:39:18 AM
No objection. Spain will put forward our creaky, munition-less, and fuel-less Hornets for NATO's service.

Still probably a match for whatever shit the Russians have.

The Spanish Navy is pretty modern, everything else is in a pretty sorry state and with laughable readiness levels. Actually our navy is out of proportion with our real needs, and it was mostly commissioned to be part of NATO task forces. Heavy navy investment (plus some other programs like the Eurofighters we can't afford to fly or the Leopards we can't afford to repair) have eaten into funds available to keep reasonable readiness levels, and the recession has made things worse.

Solution: fly the Leopards?
Women want me. Men want to be with me.

Valmy

#56
Quote from: viper37 on November 18, 2016, 11:22:46 AM
The countries that honour their NATO guideline (2% of their GDP investerd in military expenses) are:
- USA
- United Kingdom
- Greece
- Estonia
- Poland.

That's 5 countries.  Out of 27.

Hollande cares nothing about the honor of France :weep:

Come on Hollande you only need to increase it by .22%.

Edit: Wait Albania is in NATO? Huh. Never noticed.

Anyway now we see if Trump is going to sell us out to the Russians or not. I am theoretically fine with any detente he wants to do with Putin so long as it does not threaten any of our NATO allies or their interests.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

CountDeMoney

Quote from: Valmy on November 18, 2016, 11:56:26 AM
Anyway now we see if Trump is going to sell us out to the Russians or not. I am theoretically fine with any detente he wants to do with Putin so long as it does not threaten any of our NATO allies or their interests.

Cute.

Valmy

#58
Quote from: CountDeMoney on November 18, 2016, 12:02:47 PM
Quote from: Valmy on November 18, 2016, 11:56:26 AM
Anyway now we see if Trump is going to sell us out to the Russians or not. I am theoretically fine with any detente he wants to do with Putin so long as it does not threaten any of our NATO allies or their interests.

Cute.

And may be impossible. Marty, in one of his rare lucid moments, said something about how every President we elect goes into office thinking they can reduce friction with Russia only to end their term concluding Russia is our worst enemy.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Jacob

Quote from: Valmy on November 18, 2016, 10:48:22 AM
Quote from: celedhring on November 18, 2016, 10:39:18 AM
No objection. Spain will put forward our creaky, munition-less, and fuel-less Hornets for NATO's service.

Still probably a match for whatever shit the Russians have.

I started the same conversation on another forum and there's a dude there who is quite into defense politics in the area. He's saying that the St. Petersburg based Russian Baltic navy is pretty shit (with a Vice admiral and his immediate staff recently dismissed for incompetence), and that the Swedes alone could probably defeat it with even the Finns or Danes on their own being able to give them a run for their money (assuming no nukes).

Furthermore, the geography means that naval bombardment could provide excellent precision artillery support for the fraction of the cost of an air campaign, whether that's against "little green men" or a more conventional military offense.

If that's true, then the Crimean playbook may be less viable for the Russians presuming the Scandinavians and Poles get involved - as they very well might.