Stuck In Your Parents’ Basement? Don’t Blame The Economy

Started by garbon, May 28, 2016, 09:06:17 AM

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Berkut

Quote from: crazy canuck on May 31, 2016, 10:28:09 PM
Quote from: Camerus on May 31, 2016, 06:53:57 PM
FWIW,the data in the OP seems to apply for the US generally, and not just a small handful of hotspots (clearly experiencing a bubble  ;) ).

However, I do think there's a lot more opportunities in general for a higher quality of life to people who are willing to move around.

Perhaps in the US given your numerous cities.  But in Canada the problem is pretty significant since there are really only two cities where there are reasonably good prospects for young professionals and land prices in those two cities are now unaffordable for most. 

indeed - I heard the same a lot in the UK, where the prices in London are much more of an issue, since it is a smaller country and hence the concentration of professional jobs is much more felt.

I don't think the US is remotely similar in this case. The fact that it is crazy expensive to live in NYC and SF and DC is a problem if you want to live in those places, but that is YOUR problem, or maybe those locations problem if they want those people living there anyway.

It has nothing really to do with the problem the general problem that even outside those places, it is hard for young professionals to afford the same kind of homes they used to be able to afford (assuming that is true, which it seems like is the case).
"If you think this has a happy ending, then you haven't been paying attention."

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The Minsky Moment

In a sense I agree that NYC's housing cost problem or SF Bay's housing costs problems are the problems of those areas, not the nation as a whole.  But then you add in DC, Boston, LA/SD/Socal, and now you are starting to talk about a very significant % of the population of the US.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

garbon

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on June 01, 2016, 11:22:49 AM
In a sense I agree that NYC's housing cost problem or SF Bay's housing costs problems are the problems of those areas, not the nation as a whole.  But then you add in DC, Boston, LA/SD/Socal, and now you are starting to talk about a very significant % of the population of the US.

Yeah just did a quick sum of those cities (+area for Bay Area) and that's 21 million people or so. That's a pretty large chunk of citizens in the US.
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

Jacob

Quote from: garbon on June 01, 2016, 11:32:48 AM
Quote from: The Minsky Moment on June 01, 2016, 11:22:49 AM
In a sense I agree that NYC's housing cost problem or SF Bay's housing costs problems are the problems of those areas, not the nation as a whole.  But then you add in DC, Boston, LA/SD/Socal, and now you are starting to talk about a very significant % of the population of the US.

Yeah just did a quick sum of those cities (+area for Bay Area) and that's 21 million people or so. That's a pretty large chunk of citizens in the US.

Googling, I get 7M for SF, 6M for DC, 20M for NYC, 4.5M for Boston, and 18.5 for LA (all metro areas). That's a total of 56 million.

garbon

Quote from: Jacob on June 01, 2016, 12:13:08 PM
Quote from: garbon on June 01, 2016, 11:32:48 AM
Quote from: The Minsky Moment on June 01, 2016, 11:22:49 AM
In a sense I agree that NYC's housing cost problem or SF Bay's housing costs problems are the problems of those areas, not the nation as a whole.  But then you add in DC, Boston, LA/SD/Socal, and now you are starting to talk about a very significant % of the population of the US.

Yeah just did a quick sum of those cities (+area for Bay Area) and that's 21 million people or so. That's a pretty large chunk of citizens in the US.

Googling, I get 7M for SF, 6M for DC, 20M for NYC, 4.5M for Boston, and 18.5 for LA (all metro areas). That's a total of 56 million.

Yeah I didn't count all metro areas, just cities (apart from Bay area as SF itself is small). But yeah throw in metro areas and that is a rather large chunk of US population. Nothing to be sniffed at.
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

Berkut

But if you are going to expand to metro areas, then you also dilute the problem - if you want to talk about the LA area, or the Boston area, you can certainly find housing in those "areas" that are a tiny fraction of the crazy costs associated with Manhattan and the actual city of San Francisco, or the desirable parts of Boston or San Diego.

You can find an apartment in the LA area, for example, that is 1/3rd the cost of the cheapest Manhattan apartment, and hence you are no longer talking about the crazy costs of living in Manhattan, and is likely much more comparable to the cost of an apartment in Kansas City.
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garbon

Quote from: Berkut on June 01, 2016, 12:24:21 PM
likely much more comparable to the cost of an apartment in Kansas City.

That seems like a rather big stretch but then I don't know much about pricing in KC. Jersey City is cheaper than Manhattan but it is still rather expensive but you've removed it from the problem/equation if you only include NYC proper.
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

The Minsky Moment

Housing costs are definitely a metro area problem in NY, including Brooklyn, much of Long Island, much of Westchester and the Jersey/CT burbs.  It is possible to find some close in areas that are sort of affordable, as long as you are OK with a lousy public school system.

Boston is pretty similar at this point - house prices in the burbs are very elevated until you start getting out to Worcester.  There are some exceptions of course again where the school system has problems. 

So yes you can find some reasonably priced housing here and there if you either accept subpar schools, shell out for private school or don't procreate.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

DGuller

I think metro areas are much more relevant, as that is really the economic unit.  Yes, there is heterogeneity there, but it is everywhere.  It goes without saying that "all else being equal" applies to all comparisons.

garbon

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on June 01, 2016, 12:36:09 PM
There are some exceptions of course again where the school system has problems. 

So yes you can find some reasonably priced housing here and there if you either accept subpar schools, shell out for private school or don't procreate.

Hey, I survived a subpar school! :angry:
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

MadImmortalMan

Rochester/Buffalo seems to be one of the very few places in the US where wages are growing compared to home values.  :hmm:
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Camerus

Quote from: Barrister on May 31, 2016, 11:50:56 PM
Quote from: Camerus on May 31, 2016, 11:00:12 PM
Heh. I'm from Toronto originally and went to university at the U of T, and after graduating have lived in Montreal, Ottawa and Edmonton  (not to mention abroad). I have a home in Edmonton, the likes of which I would not be able to afford as easily in Toronto and a pretty decent standard of living here. Anecdotally I can say there are a lot of other educated folks I've met from elsewhere in Canada doing well here, even after the oil drop. So it definitely can be done if you're willing to think outside the Toronto / Vancouver box.

Hell Camerus - you're in E-town?  I had no idea.

Ever feel like meeting up and having a coffee or beer?

Sure, sounds good Beeb. I'll PM you.

CountDeMoney

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on June 01, 2016, 02:05:58 PM
Rochester/Buffalo seems to be one of the very few places in the US where wages are growing compared to home values.  :hmm:

:lol: Nah, Berkut is an offshoot of the Hamilcar "House Destroyed By A Tornado? Nobody Told You To Live In A State With Tornadoes, Tough Shit For You, Asshole" school of thought.

derspiess

"If you can play a guitar and harmonica at the same time, like Bob Dylan or Neil Young, you're a genius. But make that extra bit of effort and strap some cymbals to your knees, suddenly people want to get the hell away from you."  --Rich Hall

CountDeMoney

Quote from: Berkut on June 01, 2016, 11:00:35 AM
The fact that it is crazy expensive to live in NYC and SF and DC is a problem if you want to live in those places, but that is YOUR problem, or maybe those locations problem if they want those people living there anyway.

I dunno, he's pretty explicit about that.  Nobody says you have to live there.  But that's where the job is going to be?  Sounds like you need a different job then.