Brexit and the waning days of the United Kingdom

[Sheilbh]

It wasn't in 1981 1981 was the nadir.

By the time of the Falklands, Thatcher's polling is already strongly recovering and after launching in 1981 with a lot of defections the momentum for the SDP has already stuttered and gone into reverse. It's there with right to buy etc in helping but the tide had already turned.

Incidentally the SDP/Alliance story is part of why I think momentum matters for parties trying to breakthrough so think this byelction matters.

Edit: But also I think the relevance of 1981 isn't that it was a mid-term government that recovered from dreadful polling - but rather that it was a new party out to break the mould that failed (for those other reasons). And I think that is the big question: are Reform and the Greens on the Labour Party trajectory or the SDP?