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Ukraine's European Revolution?

Started by Sheilbh, December 03, 2013, 07:39:37 AM

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Syt

I am, somehow, less interested in the weight and convolutions of Einstein's brain than in the near certainty that people of equal talent have lived and died in cotton fields and sweatshops.
—Stephen Jay Gould

Proud owner of 42 Zoupa Points.

celedhring

Doesn't look enough to warrant an autonomous region. Wonder if they are even a majority in whatever territory they claim.

Tamas

Quote from: celedhring on May 19, 2014, 04:41:19 AM
Doesn't look enough to warrant an autonomous region. Wonder if they are even a majority in whatever territory they claim.

no they are not, AFAIK. And I haven't heard about any loud autonomy movements there. It is just Orban being a careless destructive dick to raise the number of his votes by 0.1%, as usual.

grumbler

Quote from: Tamas on May 19, 2014, 04:45:12 AM
Quote from: celedhring on May 19, 2014, 04:41:19 AM
Doesn't look enough to warrant an autonomous region. Wonder if they are even a majority in whatever territory they claim.

no they are not, AFAIK. And I haven't heard about any loud autonomy movements there. It is just Orban being a careless destructive dick to raise the number of his votes by 0.1%, as usual.
Yes, he does seem to be a remarkably feckless statesman.  He seems to have his nose so far up Putin's ass that his ears are blocked as well. 
The future is all around us, waiting, in moments of transition, to be born in moments of revelation. No one knows the shape of that future or where it will take us. We know only that it is always born in pain.   -G'Kar

Bayraktar!

Queequeg

Quote from: Tamas on May 19, 2014, 04:45:12 AM
Quote from: celedhring on May 19, 2014, 04:41:19 AM
Doesn't look enough to warrant an autonomous region. Wonder if they are even a majority in whatever territory they claim.

no they are not, AFAIK. And I haven't heard about any loud autonomy movements there. It is just Orban being a careless destructive dick to raise the number of his votes by 0.1%, as usual.
Is Victor Orban the biggest dick in Europe west of the Dniester? 
Quote from: PDH on April 25, 2009, 05:58:55 PM
"Dysthymia?  Did they get some student from the University of Chicago with a hard-on for ancient Bactrian cities to name this?  I feel cheated."

alfred russel

Quote from: Queequeg on May 19, 2014, 12:03:01 PM
Is Victor Orban the biggest dick in Europe west of the Dniester?

Hortlund is still out there somewhere.
They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

There's a fine line between salvation and drinking poison in the jungle.

I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
-garbon, February 23, 2014

Valmy

Quote from: alfred russel on May 19, 2014, 12:16:59 PM
Quote from: Queequeg on May 19, 2014, 12:03:01 PM
Is Victor Orban the biggest dick in Europe west of the Dniester?

Hortlund is still out there somewhere.

Do not speak of the Prime Minister of Sweden in such a way.

Or dogcatcher...or wherever his glorious political career ended up.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Viking

Quote from: alfred russel on May 19, 2014, 12:16:59 PM
Quote from: Queequeg on May 19, 2014, 12:03:01 PM
Is Victor Orban the biggest dick in Europe west of the Dniester?

Hortlund is still out there somewhere.

First Maxim - "There are only two amounts, too few and enough."
First Corollary - "You cannot have too many soldiers, only too few supplies."
Second Maxim - "Be willing to exchange a bad idea for a good one."
Second Corollary - "You can only be wrong or agree with me."

A terrorist which starts a slaughter quoting Locke, Burke and Mill has completely missed the point.
The fact remains that the only person or group to applaud the Norway massacre are random Islamists.

Sheilbh

QuotePutin has more admirers than the west might think
Russia has found out who its friends are recently – and thanks to some old resentments, that includes India and China
Timothy Garton Ash
Timothy Garton Ash
The Guardian, Thursday 17 April 2014

Tell me your Ukraine and I will tell you who you are. The Ukrainian crisis is a political Rorschach test, not just for individuals but also for states. What it reveals to us is not encouraging for the west. It turns out that Vladimir Putin has more admirers around the world than you might expect for someone using a neo-Soviet combination of violence and the big lie to dismember a neighbouring sovereign state. When I say admirers, I don't just mean the governments of Venezuela and Syria, two of his most vocal supporters. Russia's strongman garners tacit support, and even some quiet plaudits, from some of the world's most important emerging powers, starting with China and India.

During a recent visit to China I was frequently asked what was going on in Ukraine, and I kept asking in return about the Chinese attitude to it. Didn't a country which has so consistently defended the principle of respecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of existing states (be they the former Yugoslavia or Iraq), and which itself has a couple of prospective Crimeas (Tibet, Xinjiang), feel uneasy about Russia simply grabbing a chunk of a neighbouring country?

Well, came the reply, that was a slight concern, but Ukraine was a long way away – and, frankly speaking, the positives of the crisis outweighed the negatives for China. What's more, the United States would have another strategic distraction (after al-Qaida, Afghanistan and Iraq) to hinder its "pivot" to the Asia-Pacific region, and divert its attention from China. And, cold-shouldered by the west, Russia would be more dependent on a good relationship with Beijing. As for Ukraine – which already sells China higher-grade military equipment than Russia has been willing to share with its great Asian ally – its new authorities had already quietly assured the Chinese authorities that Beijing's failure to condemn the annexation of Crimea would not affect their future relations. What's not to like in all that?

Beside this realpolitik, I was told, there is also an emotional component. Chinese leaders such as Xi Jinping, who grew up under Chairman Mao, still instinctively warmed to the idea of another non-western leader standing up to the capitalist and imperialist west. "Xi likes Putin's Russia," said one well-informed observer. Chinese media commentary has become more cautious since Putin moved on from Crimea to stirring the pot in eastern Ukraine. China's nationalist paper Global Times, which last month spoke of "Crimea's return to Russia", now warns: "Ukraine's eastern region is different from the Crimea. Secession of the region from Ukraine strikes a direct blow to territorial integrity guaranteed by international law." (But then, Putin is not aiming at outright secession: just a Finlandised Greater Bosnia – a neutral country with a version of "federalism" so far-reaching that the eastern regions would become Bosnia-style entities, within a Russian sphere of influence.)

However, this growing concern did not apparently cool the warmth of the welcome given to the Russian foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, in Beijing on Tuesday. President Xi said that relations between China and Russia "are at their best" and have played "an irreplaceable role in maintaining world peace and stability". The Chinese foreign ministry pronounced China-Russia to be the "major-country relationship that boasts the richest contents, the highest level and the greatest strategic significance". Cry your eyes out, USA. And Beijing looks forward to welcoming Putin for a major summit next month.

It is not just China. A friend of mine has just returned from India. He notes that, with the likely success of Narendra Modi and the growth of India's own "crony capitalism", liberal Indian friends fear that the world's largest democracy may get its own version of Putinismo. In any case, so far India has in effect sided with Russia, not the west, over Ukraine. Last month Putin thanked India for its "restrained and objective" stance on Crimea.

India's postcolonial obsession with sovereignty, and resentment of any hint of western liberal imperialism, plays out – rather illogically – in support for a country that dramatically violated its neighbour's sovereignty. An Indian satirical magazine even suggested that Putin had been hired as "the chief strategic consultant for India in order to bring a once-and-for-all end to the Kashmir issue". Oh, and by the way, India gets a lot of its arms from Russia.

And it is not just India. Russia's two other partners in the so-called Brics group – Brazil and South Africa – both abstained on the UN general assembly resolution criticising the Crimea referendum. They also joined Russia in expressing "concern" at the Australian foreign minister's suggestion that Putin might be barred from attending a G20 summit in November. The Russian ambassador to South Africa expressed appreciation for its "balanced" attitude.

What the west faces here is the uncoiling of two giant springs. One, which has been extensively commented upon, is the coiled spring of Mother Russia's resentment at the way her empire has shrunk over the past 25 years – all the way back from the heart of Germany to the heart of Kievan Rus.

The other is the coiled spring of resentment at centuries of western colonial domination. This takes very different forms in different Brics countries and members of the G20. They certainly don't all have China's monolithic, relentless narrative of national humiliation since Britain's opium wars. But one way or another, they do share a strong and prickly concern for their own sovereignty, a resistance to North Americans and Europeans telling them what is good for them, and a certain instinctive glee, or schadenfreude, at seeing Uncle Sam (not to mention little John Bull) being poked in the eye by that pugnacious Russian. Viva Putinismo!

Obviously this is not the immediate issue in Ukraine, but it is another big vista opened up by the east European crisis. In this broader, geopolitical sense, take note: as we go deeper into the 21st century, there will be more Ukraines.
Let's bomb Russia!

Valmy

Quote from: Sheilbh on May 19, 2014, 01:10:55 PM
QuotePutin has more admirers than the west might think
Russia has found out who its friends are recently – and thanks to some old resentments, that includes India and China

Only a westerner who has spent the past 100 years under a rock, in a cave, blindfolded, with cotton in his or her ears does not realize that psycho dictators and aggressors are worshipped the world over.  It is just how things always go.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Sheilbh

Well, a westerner in the past 100 years has probably spent a fair amount of time doing the worshipping.
Let's bomb Russia!

Valmy

Quote from: Sheilbh on May 19, 2014, 01:16:36 PM
Well, a westerner in the past 100 years has probably spent a fair amount of time doing the worshipping.

OMG WE ARE NOT SUPERIOR!!!1111

Sure why not?  Anyway Putin certainly has his share of admirers over here.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Razgovory

You know, back in the 1990's it seemed the whole world was moving toward liberal democracy.  The future seemed so much brighter.  Now it looks like large parts of the world are shifting toward dictatorship.  A softer version then the 20th century, but equally as dangerous. :(
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Caliga

Quote from: Valmy on May 19, 2014, 01:20:00 PM
OMG WE ARE NOT SUPERIOR!!!1111

Sure why not?  Anyway Putin certainly has his share of admirers over here.
How could anyone not be a fan of this guy? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekeq4szDmJo
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

Caliga

Quote from: Razgovory on May 19, 2014, 01:26:33 PM
You know, back in the 1990's it seemed the whole world was moving toward liberal democracy.  The future seemed so much brighter.  Now it looks like large parts of the world are shifting toward dictatorship.  A softer version then the 20th century, but equally as dangerous. :(
Democracy isn't the natural order of things, as much as we might like it to be.
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points