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ECB and Inflation

Started by The Minsky Moment, November 06, 2013, 02:06:33 PM

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Zanza

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on January 15, 2015, 10:24:30 AM
The Swiss dropped their Euro exchange rate limit this morning and now CHF is moving a lot. What's the thinking there? Are they anticipating the ECB?

The Euro has been losing value against all currencies, especially the dollar, for several months now. And because of the different economic development and monetary policy in the US and the Eurozone, this trend will likely continue. The Swiss had to build hundreds of billions in assets over the last years to keep the value of the Franc at a stable level compared to the Euro. These assets were becoming more and more risky and had lost a lot of value already. So it was now with high losses or later with even higher losses.

Their tourism and export industries will be hurt. A lot. Tourism becomes prohibitively expensive for all their neighbors. About 60% of their exports go to the Eurozone, so raising prices by 20% across the board will hurt competitiveness.

They already have a deflation and this is like to accelerate. The main interest rate of the SNB is already at -0.75%, so there is also little they can do to fire up inflation.

Zanza

This must suck for those Eastern Europeans that still have mortgages denominated in CHF. Their own currencies are probably roughly in sync with the Euro, so they might have seen their mortgage growing by 20% in a day.

CountDeMoney

Quote from: The Brain on January 06, 2015, 01:16:00 AM
Quote from: Monoriu on January 05, 2015, 07:26:32 PM
I don't care about the resale value of my bonds because I always hold until maturity.

If only Ed had done this.


MadImmortalMan

Quote from: Zanza on January 15, 2015, 01:08:45 PM
This must suck for those Eastern Europeans that still have mortgages denominated in CHF. Their own currencies are probably roughly in sync with the Euro, so they might have seen their mortgage growing by 20% in a day.


Oh damn. A lot of people are probably pissed off right now.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Ed Anger

Quote from: Ed Anger on January 05, 2015, 05:57:05 PM
Quote from: Ed Anger on January 03, 2015, 05:49:03 PM
I'm now losing value on my Normandy holdings. Plz fix Euro.

FIX NOW.

9000 dollars in lost value.  :cry:

18000 now.  :mad:

Also, I laughed Seedy.
Stay Alive...Let the Man Drive

Liep

The Danish krone seems to be next in line after the Swiss. Apparently the national bank is under "attack" from foreign investors forcing them to buy foreign assets to keep the krone level to the euro.
"Af alle latterlige Ting forekommer det mig at være det allerlatterligste at have travlt" - Kierkegaard

"JamenajmenømahrmDÆ!DÆ! Æhvnårvaæhvadlelæh! Hvor er det crazy, det her, mand!" - Uffe Elbæk

MadImmortalMan

Is this going to be a domino effect? I mean, none of the small currencies can hope to have the firepower to keep parity with the euro for long.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Sheilbh

Let's bomb Russia!

MadImmortalMan

"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Sheilbh

Let's bomb Russia!

Jacob

Quote from: Sheilbh on February 03, 2015, 06:53:51 PM
Some Danesplaining:
https://ello.co/guan/post/2vJyUspQhHPHopAetAnHiw

Looks like it's good for Danish house owners, as they can refinance their mortgages at very low rates.

Sheilbh

UK government just sold bonds at negative interest :mellow:
Let's bomb Russia!

Liep

Quote from: Sheilbh on February 04, 2015, 10:11:07 AM
UK government just sold bonds at negative interest :mellow:

We've been doing that for a while, what's new here is that banks are starting to charge customers negative interests on bank accounts. OH HELLS NO, WHERE'S MY MATTRESS?!

"Af alle latterlige Ting forekommer det mig at være det allerlatterligste at have travlt" - Kierkegaard

"JamenajmenømahrmDÆ!DÆ! Æhvnårvaæhvadlelæh! Hvor er det crazy, det her, mand!" - Uffe Elbæk

Sheilbh

I don't really understand how it's possible. Some Euro-companies have issued negative interest rate debt too :mellow: :blink:
Let's bomb Russia!

celedhring

Our inflation-tied bonds are inching towards negative yield too. Deflation ahoy!