2016 elections - because it's never too early

Started by merithyn, May 09, 2013, 07:37:45 AM

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Caliga

Quote from: Peter Wiggin on March 09, 2016, 06:08:42 AM
Heh, well I dislike Cruz just as much as Trump.  :sleep:
Yeah. :(

It sucks that the #2 guy right now is someone who scares the shit out of me too.
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

garbon

"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

Legbiter

Posted using 100% recycled electrons.

Capetan Mihali

It's insulting when people compare Trump with Mussolini.

Mussolini was a blacksmith's son who worked and studied hard, to become a prominent journalist, combat veteran, mesmerizing public speaker, and deep reader of philosophical and political thought -- all prior to seizing power before the age of 40.

Born into wealth, an evader of military service, prone to hour-long rambling stump speeches, and the author of egotistical self-help books, Trump at almost 70 years old has got a failed casino, some very tall luxury apartment buildings, and a popular reality show to his name...that's all I can honestly think of, feel free to add to the list.
"The internet's completely over. [...] The internet's like MTV. At one time MTV was hip and suddenly it became outdated. Anyway, all these computers and digital gadgets are no good. They just fill your head with numbers and that can't be good for you."
-- Prince, 2010. (R.I.P.)

Lettow77

 There's no need to provoke him like that. He's very sensitive about his line of steaks, magazines, water and champagne. He assures us Trump University will be opening its door again after the lawsuit as well.

Also, his hands aren't so small. Really, they are not. Could small hands do so well in golf? I ask you.
It can't be helped...We'll have to use 'that'

Eddie Teach

Compare Mussolini at Trump's age/death rather than 40 and he doesn't come off so well.
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

alfred russel

Quote from: Martinus on March 09, 2016, 01:28:56 AM
I am beginning to wonder if Languish is really the best source for news, though.

Whenever I come to this thread, there is at least a handful of people arguing why Trump is on his way to lose again and it is inevitable now for someone to pull away and get the Republican nomination. The same is happening right now after yesterday's voting.

Yet... every single proper news source (from left to right) which I then visited is talking about another big win for Trump and him solidifying his chances to be the nominee. I am starting to think Dorsey is biased in reporting on Trump's lead.  :hmm:

Last night was a good night for Trump. But he still hasn't won delegates at a fast enough clip to secure the nomination without a contested convention (he needs 50% of delegates, right now he is under 50% of those that have been awarded).

It should be easier for him to pick up the pace starting next week when the winner take all contests start. With Rubio collapsing, I have to think Trump will win in Florida and Illinois.

The problem he could have is that if this becomes a 1-1 contest with him and Cruz, polling indicates that Cruz is the one with over 50%. In that case, Trump could start to fail to get any delegates at all from winner take all states.
They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

There's a fine line between salvation and drinking poison in the jungle.

I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
-garbon, February 23, 2014

derspiess

Quote from: Martinus on March 09, 2016, 03:36:21 AM
but there is a distinct support among these groups for Trump based on Schadenfreude and the fact that this will piss off immensely all the Anitas Sarkesian, Macklemores and similar people.

:)
"If you can play a guitar and harmonica at the same time, like Bob Dylan or Neil Young, you're a genius. But make that extra bit of effort and strap some cymbals to your knees, suddenly people want to get the hell away from you."  --Rich Hall

Capetan Mihali

Quote from: Peter Wiggin on March 09, 2016, 09:42:46 AM
Compare Mussolini at Trump's age/death rather than 40 and he doesn't come off so well.

Mussolini 1945 > Trump 2030
"The internet's completely over. [...] The internet's like MTV. At one time MTV was hip and suddenly it became outdated. Anyway, all these computers and digital gadgets are no good. They just fill your head with numbers and that can't be good for you."
-- Prince, 2010. (R.I.P.)

Eddie Teach

To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

DGuller

Quote from: alfred russel on March 09, 2016, 10:00:18 AM
Quote from: Martinus on March 09, 2016, 01:28:56 AM
I am beginning to wonder if Languish is really the best source for news, though.

Whenever I come to this thread, there is at least a handful of people arguing why Trump is on his way to lose again and it is inevitable now for someone to pull away and get the Republican nomination. The same is happening right now after yesterday's voting.

Yet... every single proper news source (from left to right) which I then visited is talking about another big win for Trump and him solidifying his chances to be the nominee. I am starting to think Dorsey is biased in reporting on Trump's lead.  :hmm:

Last night was a good night for Trump. But he still hasn't won delegates at a fast enough clip to secure the nomination without a contested convention (he needs 50% of delegates, right now he is under 50% of those that have been awarded).

It should be easier for him to pick up the pace starting next week when the winner take all contests start. With Rubio collapsing, I have to think Trump will win in Florida and Illinois.

The problem he could have is that if this becomes a 1-1 contest with him and Cruz, polling indicates that Cruz is the one with over 50%. In that case, Trump could start to fail to get any delegates at all from winner take all states.
I think 538 tracker is designed to account for that, in what it considers to be "on pace" or "not on pace".  It's not as simple as "does he have 50% of delegates now or not", for reasons that you described.

Barrister

Quote from: Martinus on March 09, 2016, 01:28:56 AM
I am beginning to wonder if Languish is really the best source for news, though.

Whenever I come to this thread, there is at least a handful of people arguing why Trump is on his way to lose again and it is inevitable now for someone to pull away and get the Republican nomination. The same is happening right now after yesterday's voting.

Yet... every single proper news source (from left to right) which I then visited is talking about another big win for Trump and him solidifying his chances to be the nominee. I am starting to think Dorsey is biased in reporting on Trump's lead.  :hmm:

Yes.  Don't listen to Dorsey.  Trump has the nomination in the bag.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: jimmy olsen on March 09, 2016, 02:14:20 AM
I think this is a large part of the Donald's appeal

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/07/donald-trump-why-americans-support


Except - everything that Donald has actually done with this life is part of the problem that Guardian claims to be identifying.  Knocking down old line department stores to build luxury condos.  Bulldozing old working class neighborhoods to build highly leveraged casinos that go bust.  Even his reality show is the ultimate expression of the winner-take-all ethos: dozens compete for a single job opening, where "success" entails deferential toadying to the big boss.

I can get why working class people would go to Bernie over Hillary.  But Trump?  At risk of being the arrogant ivory tower elitist, that is just false consciousness.  Yuge, yuge, false consciousness.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Valmy

False consciousness is all my middle class Languish buds supporting Sanders  :mad:
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Martinus

Supporting any other Republican candidate is at least as much if not more false consciousness for working class Americans as Trump. What's the alternative? Harvard graduate Cruz? Rich Wall-Street-Jew-bought Rubio? Union busting Kasich?

At least Trump is authentic and could play a "I was one of them so I know how to bust them" card.