The Summer 2016 UK Political and Constitutional Crisis

[Valmy]

Also whoever it is will still probably win a majority when they face off against Jeremy Corbyn in 2020

Labour elected their Bernie Sanders

[Sheilbh]

Also whoever it is will still probably win a majority when they face off against Jeremy Corbyn in 2020

Labour elected their Bernie Sanders

So much worse than Bernie Sanders. So much worse

[mongers]

Sterling now:

£1                     buys                 change        %       
US Dollar           1.33160              -0.15560   -10.46

[Drakken]

With almost 1mil lead in support of Leave, David should be out speaking right now. That he isn't still is, well, staggering. 

[mongers]

With almost 1mil lead in support of Leave, David should be out speaking right now. That he isn't still is, well, staggering. 

Apparently he is planning a 'dawn raid' and could speak in Downing Street within the next two hours, probably before the London market open at 8pm(?)

[Drakken]

Apparently he is planning a 'dawn raid' and could speak in Downing Street within the next two hours, probably before the London market open at 8pm(?)

The hell with a dawn raid, the Pound is crashing in Shanghai and Nikkei right now.

[Sheilbh]

John McDonnell's prediction of BofE intervention may come true. Danny Blanchflower tweeted the only question is whether it'll be a 25 or 50 bp cut

The hell with a dawn raid, the Pound is crashing in Shanghai and Nikkei right now.

Well some of this is because they've been absurdly complacent until now.

[Admiral Yi]

There you go Beeb.  Sterling will continue to sink.

[Jacob]

What are the odds of significant violence returning to Northern Ireland? I see the possibility bandied around, but am uncertain on how solid the analysis is.

Interesting too that Scotland voted heavily for remain... how likely is it that Scottish independence will be revisited?

In any case, Cameron seems to have fucked up more spectacularly than any British PM since... well, I don't even know.

[Phillip V]

Dow Jones now down 700 points after hours!

http://money.cnn.com/data/afterhours/

[Agelastus]

I don't think there's much chance of a general return to violence; Sinn Fein may refuse to sit at Westminster but its' too deeply embedded in the Northern Irish government and gaining too much support in the Republic for the mainstream PIRA to risk it. It's not as if the Ascendancy or Protestant-only cabinets are on the cards.

After all, come what may, the demographics should eventually favour reunion. They don't need the bomb.

Splinter groups? Well, they've never entirely stopped forming.

[11B4V]

Dow Jones now down 700 points after hours!

http://money.cnn.com/data/afterhours/

Bah, it will recover.

[Phillip V]

Dow Jones now down 700 points after hours!

http://money.cnn.com/data/afterhours/

Bah, it will recover.

I was wondering why S&P futures were stuck at -5%.  That is the maximum limit that it is allowed to fall after hours! 

[Razgovory]

In the future, British subjects visiting continental Europe will pretend to be Americans.

[11B4V]

In the future, British subjects visiting continental Europe will pretend to be Americans.