Iran War?

[Legbiter]

Britain is going to hurry in Ukrainian experts to the Gulf to help deal with the drone swarms.

https://x.com/Tendar/status/2028230160701342014

[Valmy]

How many times do we have to play this old record?  Crowds cheering the fall of Saddam, the fall of Qadaffi.  And then what. What makes it even less optimistic is that there is literally no armed or organized opposition force on the ground, as distinct from the US Army in Iraq and powerful armed militias in Syria and Libya.  There is literally nothing on the ground to take advantage of any regime weakness.

It's just nuts watching these MAGA people spend years lecturing the old Bush neocons on how naive they were to think they could blow stuff up in the Middle East and hope that something magical will happen only to rally around and cheer they same thing all over again, only less organized and thought through.

I think my wake up moment was when they interviewed one of the dudes who ripped down the Saddam statue and was all over the news back in 2003. And he lamented that things were actually better before we overthrew Saddam. Damn we even lost the statue ripping down guy.

[Sophie Scholl]

Diaspora Persians often have quite different views than on the ground Iranians, too. See also: Cubans.

[Tamas]

Doesn't make them wrong.

[Valmy]

Doesn't make them wrong.

It is not a question of them being wrong. It is a question as to whether killing this horrible man will actually do any good. History suggests no.

But maybe this time...

[Sheilbh]

Incidentally it looks like these strikes have been targeting Basij HQs too which definitely suggests they're hoping for some form of regime change/revolution after this.

Also striking that Iran's retaliation has included strikes on Oman and Qatar who are the most friendly Gulf States - Oman has hosted many of the talks with Iran over the years. Iran's Foreign Minister has said the strike on Oman was not their choice and they have told the armed forces to be careful about the targets they choose. But the armed forces are currently independent, somewhat isolated and acting based on general instructions given to them in advance.

[DGuller]

Ahmadinejad is back from the dead for now, according to Wiki.

[crazy canuck]

Yeah, we have a close friend who's Persian. Her response was basically "today I'm getting out the Champagne to celebrate that that asshole is dead! Tomorrow I'll worry about what happens next."

Here is the scene from North Vancouver.

And yes, now the worry is what will happen next.

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DVWXK1gjuiF/?igsh=MXhpMHBwaTR2eHlncQ==

[crazy canuck]

Diaspora Persians often have quite different views than on the ground Iranians, too. See also: Cubans.

What information do you have regarding the views of most Iranians on the ground in Iran?

[crazy canuck]

And for context, here are some Iranians on the ground.  Looks similar to the Iranians in North Vancouver.

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DVUwUASji9w/?igsh=MWNnNXJwc2RkbDhkYw==

[crazy canuck]

Here is Tehran

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DTVmxF1k6og/?igsh=MTJhenJvcHE3NmNpZQ==

[HisMajestyBOB]

Ahmadinejad is back from the dead for now, according to Wiki.

Ahmadinebackfromthedead?

[Syt]

https://apnews.com/article/iran-israel-us-03-02-2026-cb42936de1d8c261be8f30f11c6665fa

[...]

Gulf Arab states have warned that they could retaliate against Iran after strikes that hit key sites and killed at least five civilians, and U.S. President Donald Trump promised Washington would "avenge" the deaths of three American troops who were killed in Kuwait.

"Sadly, there will likely be more before it ends," Trump said. "That's the way it is."

[...]

[...]

Trump has urged Iranians to "take over" their government and, while he has also signaled he would be open to dialogue with new leadership there following the death of Khamenei, suggested Sunday there was no end in sight to the military operations.

"Combat operations continue at this time in full-force, and they will continue until all of our objectives are achieved," he said in a video message. "We have very strong objectives," he added, without elaborating.

[...]

So I guess they just asked the military to draw up a list of strategic targets and are now working down the list? I mean, I get it in a "We're tired of their shit and want to cripple them for good" way ... but this is not a video game.

[The Brain]

Is the Peace Prize really a strong objective?

[Legbiter]

Saudi Aramco refinery was just hit with shahed drones. At this point the asymmetry in cost between 70k drones and Pac-3 missiles (several million per missile) becomes obvious. You need cheap, plentiful radar-guided ack-ack like the Ukrainians employ.

https://x.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/2028369512119046632