German Federal Election 23rd February 2025

[Zanza]

Did my part. Hard to pick this time.

Me too some time ago. Voting from abroad is a bit of a hassle (have to declare my intent with the last Meldeamt I was registered at who then send me the mail voting stuff - no option to do any of this through the embassy , rinse and repeat every federal election).

The German ambassador in London wrote that he did not get his mail-in ballot in time. Awkward.

[Josquius]

A) So basically Merz of CDU breaks the Brandmauer (firewall) and cooperates with AfD, sparking possible riots from the very worst people you could ever imagine aside from Islamists.

Not sure why neo-nazis would riot in such a scenario.

"Hurray we won. We can do whatever we want now. Let's burn some Muslims"?

[Zanza]

Result is as expected, but it is not clear whether BSW and FDP passed the five percent cut-off.

[Zanza]

Turnout is at 84%, the highest since German reunification.

[Threviel]

What's the probable government? CDU+SPD?

[Zanza]

What's the probable government? CDU+SPD?

Unclear. Depends on which parties get in. If FDP and BSW are not in, CDU+SPD is likely. If they are in, who knows.

[Maladict]

What's the probable government? CDU+SPD?

Unclear. Depends on which parties get in. If FDP and BSW are not in, CDU+SPD is likely. If they are in, who knows.

Will they have enough for a majority if FDP and BDW don't make it?

[Zanza]

Yes

[Josquius]

Exit polls looking promising?
Sure nazis in second place technically.... But add the two far lefts together and it's them.
Mainstream parties first and third.

[Maladict]

Exit polls looking promising?
Sure nazis in second place technically.... But add the two far lefts together and it's them.
Mainstream parties first and third.

Yeah, extreme parties take roughly half the vote but everything is fine.

[Duque de Bragança]

Exit polls looking promising?
Sure nazis in second place technically.... But add the two far lefts together and it's them.
Mainstream parties first and third.

Yeah, extreme parties take roughly half the vote but everything is fine.

Alles klar. Alles in Ordnung!

[Josquius]

Exit polls looking promising?
Sure nazis in second place technically.... But add the two far lefts together and it's them.
Mainstream parties first and third.

Yeah, extreme parties take roughly half the vote but everything is fine.

Extremes that cancel each other out.
And the German Greens from what I've seen seem rather good except for the anti nuclear stuff.
Even the left, as disagreeable as you may find them, aren't anti democracy the way the fasc are.

[Threviel]

Extreme parties below 30%. 20 on the right and 10 on the left.

It's about par for Europe these days.

[Zanza]

The Left Party success is the most surprising result of this election. Will be interesting how they will evolve in the next years after being reinvigorated in this election.

I don't have a clear impression of what they stand for these days and how radical or moderate they are these days. A lot of their crazies went to the BSW.

[Zanza]

At the moment it looks like the FDP might not make it, but BSW might. That's just about worst case as it means there is no viable centrist coalition, as the conservatives and the Greens are unlikely to find common ground.