Who do you think's going to win the US presidential election?

[Barrister]

It's gonna be a Trump win.  Sadly.

May Heaven help us.

[Josquius]

Don't need more.

Obviously a total wipeout would be best. Both for petty and very real reasons.
But there is a certain beauty in the thought of Trump winning all the swing seats but then Texas unexpectedly turning blue.

[Grey Fox]

It's gonna be a Trump win.  Sadly.

May Heaven help us.

I don't know. Musk can't canvass offline and actually get people to the polling places.

[Grey Fox]

Don't need more.

Obviously a total wipeout would be best. Both for petty and very real reasons.
But there is a certain beauty in the thought of Trump winning all the swing seats but then Texas unexpectedly turning blue.

I joke a lot about it but the last time Texas voted Blue, California voted Red. It'll be quite a surprise.

[Josephus]

I think Harris will have a clear voter majority; but the electoral college is worrisome.

538 has Harris winning 50 out of a hundred times and Trump 49 with no clear winner 1.

[Razgovory]

I'm not worried.  Trump has said he would be a dictator on day one.  American gun owners have been telling us that they need their weapons to keep tyranny at bay.  When a guy comes to power and out right says they will be a dictator all those gun owners will have no choice but to rise up and remove him from power.

[crazy canuck]

Like the pollsters, we got this baldly wrong

[Crazy_Ivan80]

Like the pollsters, we got this baldly wrong

Might have been hope against better judgement too.
Cause clearly all the crap did escape Pandoras box

[crazy canuck]

Like the pollsters, we got this baldly wrong

Might have been hope against better judgement too.
Cause clearly all the crap did escape Pandoras box

Agreed

[Savonarola]

Bad sign today, I saw a car with a #Resist sticker on it.

While I would be happy to be proved wrong, I think Trump will win; though by a very narrow margin.  Judging by the past week, the stock market seems to think so as well.

10 points for Slytherin.  I'm even better than that guy who picked the last 13 (or whatever it was) presidential elections in a row.  (Although I thought the margin would have been much narrower, and that Trump could never win a popular vote.)

[Josquius]

Like the pollsters, we got this baldly wrong

The pollsters got it right this time no?
I do recall the day before they were saying it was near 50-50 to be either a clear Harris or clear Trump victory (albeit with slightly more for Harris).
Which is a bit of a cop out but... Yeah.
In the weeks before hand things were definitely going trumpwards.
 
It was the commentators saying the polls were off and over estimating Trump because x who were wrong.
Though yes. I definitely believed these people. The arguments made sense. And I had too much faith in there being enough sensible Americans, this being the moment for women to step forth , etc...

[Syt]

On polls - I've seen comments that Trump supporters are much more likely to refuse answering polls or give false answers. Any truth to that? Obviously something like that might be hard to quantify/account for?

[crazy canuck]

It a handy excuse for pollsters getting it wrong again. But it is becoming clear that the weighting was off again.

They just didn't see the historic bedrock of Democratic support shifting to Trump.  Workers.

The Dems are going to have to reflect on how they lost that core support.

[Tamas]

It a handy excuse for pollsters getting it wrong again. But it is becoming clear that the weighting was off again.

They just didn't see the historic bedrock of Democratic support shifting to Trump.  Workers.

The Dems are going to have to reflect on how they lost that core support.

The working class no longer sees their economic interests to be served by the Democrats, so they no longer feel they have to put up with the progressive (for DG: woke) stuff the party represents, can vote on cultural grounds.

[garbon]

It a handy excuse for pollsters getting it wrong again. But it is becoming clear that the weighting was off again.

They just didn't see the historic bedrock of Democratic support shifting to Trump.  Workers.

The Dems are going to have to reflect on how they lost that core support.

The working class no longer sees their economic interests to be served by the Democrats, so they no longer feel they have to put up with the progressive (for DG: woke) stuff the party represents, can vote on cultural grounds.

Which is just so bizarre as where is the evidence the Republicans actually care about then vs. "We will bring back manufacturing" empty promises?