Romney: 47% of Americans are losers, don't care about 'em

[Jacob]

My point was that the chart you posted is rather misleading.

Not really.

[garbon]

My point was that the chart you posted is rather misleading.

Not really.

I think it is. By itself and even for most of that article it seems to suggest that the majority of people that Romney described as Obama-voters actually vote for the GOP.  The update points out that actually a sizable portion of those individuals likely not to pay income tax in Red states actually break for Obama.

[Admiral Yi]

I think Obama will win.  I'm offering pricing at 70% chance (never figured out the fractional odds).  Basically, I win $30 if he wins, and lose $70 if he loses.

I think more or less the same.  I would need the odds sweetened a bit to take Mitt.

[DGuller]

I think Obama will win.  I'm offering pricing at 70% chance (never figured out the fractional odds).  Basically, I win $30 if he wins, and lose $70 if he loses.

I think more or less the same.  I would need the odds sweetened a bit to take Mitt.

How about 75%?  That's a nice 7.5% premium on Intrade odds.

[Admiral Yi]

How about 75%?  That's a nice 7.5% premium on Intrade odds.

It's so nice you should be willing to take the other side of the bet, right?

[Admiral Yi]

I take that back.  I accept your offer of 75 to 25.

[Phillip V]

Can I also take the offer?

[crazy canuck]

Jacob cares way too much about US politics.

I wish the same could be said for many Americans.

[DGuller]

I take that back.  I accept your offer of 75 to 25.

Deal.  For the sake of clarity, I win $25 if Obama wins, and lose $75 if Romney wins.

[DGuller]

Can I also take the offer?

No.  This is a regular customer offer only.  

[Phillip V]

Can I also take the offer?

No.  This is a regular customer offer only.  

What past transactions have you and Yi had?

[DGuller]

Can I also take the offer?

No.  This is a regular customer offer only.  

What past transactions have you and Yi had?

I've had about half a dozen by now.  The latest one was the bet on Supreme Court decision on Obamacare, which I had in the bag until Roberts caved. 

[Jacob]

I think it is. By itself and even for most of that article it seems to suggest that the majority of people that Romney described as Obama-voters actually vote for the GOP.  The update points out that actually a sizable portion of those individuals likely not to pay income tax in Red states actually break for Obama.

Or it could meant that Romney was right - there are a bunch of shifty, freeloading Democrats in those states, so that makes everyone else vote full out Republican in response.

[Jacob]

I take that back.  I accept your offer of 75 to 25.

You can always hedge it on intrade, right?

[DGuller]

I take that back.  I accept your offer of 75 to 25.

You can always hedge it on intrade, right?

Yes, he can, if he has an account there.  I don't, and I'd rather not risk it.