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Economic exploitation of space

Started by Razgovory, November 23, 2011, 01:09:00 PM

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Neil

Quote from: Siege on November 23, 2011, 05:17:20 PM
Quote from: Barrister on November 23, 2011, 01:18:24 PM
The trouble with taking advantage of anything economically in space is that the transportation costs are absolutely enormous.  As such anything you'd need to do would have to be extremely high value / weight.
The Space Elevator (tm) will solve this problem.
Except in the sense that it won't, because it won't get built.
I do not hate you, nor do I love you, but you are made out of atoms which I can use for something else.

Josquius

One - Yes, towards the end of the century perhaps. There are some pretty darn valuable asteroids out there.

Two- No, that's silly. People often forget  there are broad uninhabited swathes of the earth infinitely more colonisable than space;
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Neil

Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 06:41:27 PM
One - Yes, towards the end of the century perhaps. There are some pretty darn valuable asteroids out there.
I think you're underestimating the cost of space travel and asteroid exploitation, especially when the priority is going to be creature comforts.
I do not hate you, nor do I love you, but you are made out of atoms which I can use for something else.

Ideologue

#18
Quote from: jimmy olsen on November 23, 2011, 05:48:55 PM
Quote from: Razgovory on November 23, 2011, 05:42:35 PM
Quote from: Siege on November 23, 2011, 05:17:20 PM
Quote from: Barrister on November 23, 2011, 01:18:24 PM
The trouble with taking advantage of anything economically in space is that the transportation costs are absolutely enormous.  As such anything you'd need to do would have to be extremely high value / weight.


The Space Elevator (tm) will solve this problem.

What do you intend to make it out of?
Carbon nanotubes.

You son of a bitch.  I'm not going through this again.

Anyway, afaik solar-to-microwave power satellites have been demonstrated to be sort-of feasible.  Otherwise, barring the discovery of a nearby extrasolar terrestrial planet (and even then it's difficult to overstate the difficulties), nada.

As time marches on, the exploitation of outer space will become more and more economical/necessary as the world becomes more and more uninhabitable.  This is, of course, for our descendents in the deep future, and their not being human will certainly help.
Kinemalogue
Current reviews: The 'Burbs (9/10); Gremlins 2: The New Batch (9/10); John Wick: Chapter 2 (9/10); A Cure For Wellness (4/10)

fhdz

and the horse you rode in on

Josquius

Quote from: Neil on November 23, 2011, 06:59:54 PM
Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 06:41:27 PM
One - Yes, towards the end of the century perhaps. There are some pretty darn valuable asteroids out there.
I think you're underestimating the cost of space travel and asteroid exploitation, especially when the priority is going to be creature comforts.

Exploiting the asteroids means more creature comforts.

And no, I:m well aware of the cost of space travel. That is why I wouldn't see this happening until the end of the century- when technology should be good enough we can make much of what is needed on site.
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Neil

Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 08:03:06 PM
Quote from: Neil on November 23, 2011, 06:59:54 PM
Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 06:41:27 PM
One - Yes, towards the end of the century perhaps. There are some pretty darn valuable asteroids out there.
I think you're underestimating the cost of space travel and asteroid exploitation, especially when the priority is going to be creature comforts.
Exploiting the asteroids means more creature comforts.
Perhaps once it starts, but it would mean sacrificing them to get to the point where you can do that.
I do not hate you, nor do I love you, but you are made out of atoms which I can use for something else.

Razgovory

Quote from: Ideologue on November 23, 2011, 07:06:18 PM


You son of a bitch.  I'm not going through this again.

Anyway, afaik solar-to-microwave power satellites have been demonstrated to be sort-of feasible.  Otherwise, barring the discovery of a nearby extrasolar terrestrial planet (and even then it's difficult to overstate the difficulties), nada.

As time marches on, the exploitation of outer space will become more and more economical/necessary as the world becomes more and more uninhabitable.  This is, of course, for our descendents in the deep future, and their not being human will certainly help.

I find it so strange that Tim is so excited about Science but has like a comic book knowledge of it. 

I did look up Space farming.  Apparently there some ideas floating around for permanent stations on Mars or the moon, but not as a serious economic activity. 
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Ideologue

#23
Farming seems like it would be pretty difficult/pointless in space, short of organisms that could incorporate basically raw carbon and sunlight (algae may suffice?).  I thought it was especially retarded in Harsh Mistress where they were lifting soil and fertilizer and such to the moon, then shooting it back at Earth.  Sensible.  In fairness, the economic realities of the moon were secondary to the point of the novel, which was libertarians chucking rocks at Earth liberals.

I also don't get asteroid mining.  OMG WE'VE STRUCK IRON!  Seriously, is there any material on an asteroid that isn't readily available (or more available) on Earth?  Possibly some of those weird metals that China buys up to make electronic components?

As for Tim, I like space elevators too, I like reading about them.  I enjoy Tim's optimism, but he just goes off half-cocked like he knows the first thing about materials science.  I don't know the first thing about materials science, really, but I do know that scalability of the properties of macromolecules is not necessarily a linear process and that there are serious production/purity issues involved--even aside from the economic feasibility and engineering concerns.
Kinemalogue
Current reviews: The 'Burbs (9/10); Gremlins 2: The New Batch (9/10); John Wick: Chapter 2 (9/10); A Cure For Wellness (4/10)

Razgovory

Quote from: Ideologue on November 23, 2011, 09:06:44 PM
Farming seems like it would be pretty difficult/pointless in space, short of organisms that could incorporate basically raw carbon and sunlight (algae may suffice?).  I thought it was especially retarded in Harsh Mistress where they were lifting soil and fertilizer and such to the moon, then shooting it back at Earth.  Sensible.  In fairness, the economic realities of the moon were secondary to the point of the novel, which was libertarians chucking rocks at Earth liberals.


You know thinking about it, it's a good metaphor for all those farmers who bitch about government but get very generous subsidies from the same government.  Rebelling against the very system that makes their lives possible due to a misplaced sense of grievance.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Josquius

Quote from: Neil on November 23, 2011, 08:12:59 PM
Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 08:03:06 PM
Quote from: Neil on November 23, 2011, 06:59:54 PM
Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 06:41:27 PM
One - Yes, towards the end of the century perhaps. There are some pretty darn valuable asteroids out there.
I think you're underestimating the cost of space travel and asteroid exploitation, especially when the priority is going to be creature comforts.
Exploiting the asteroids means more creature comforts.
Perhaps once it starts, but it would mean sacrificing them to get to the point where you can do that.
:huh:
I don't see how.
Rich people invest in things, they don't just spend the money they have on more shiny things. Its what they do.
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Neil

Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 09:53:17 PM
Quote from: Neil on November 23, 2011, 08:12:59 PM
Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 08:03:06 PM
Quote from: Neil on November 23, 2011, 06:59:54 PM
Quote from: Tyr on November 23, 2011, 06:41:27 PM
One - Yes, towards the end of the century perhaps. There are some pretty darn valuable asteroids out there.
I think you're underestimating the cost of space travel and asteroid exploitation, especially when the priority is going to be creature comforts.
Exploiting the asteroids means more creature comforts.
Perhaps once it starts, but it would mean sacrificing them to get to the point where you can do that.
:huh:
I don't see how.
Rich people invest in things, they don't just spend the money they have on more shiny things. Its what they do.
They invest in things that will show a return.  There's no return on space travel.
I do not hate you, nor do I love you, but you are made out of atoms which I can use for something else.

Razgovory

Bingo.  It's not like Neil Armstrong, and Buzz Aldrin came back from laden with moon spices.  Space tourism is a novelty for the rich, and it's so expensive and difficult to send anything up, you really can't do much to take things back down.  You do sciency stuff, communication, and weapons and that's about it.  And nobody does weapons by treaty.  Or at least admits to it.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Josquius

Quote from: Neil on November 23, 2011, 11:10:50 PM
They invest in things that will show a return.  There's no return on space travel.
There's a huge return on space. Satellites are big business and a lot of work is going into commercial spaceflight from several companies.

Asteroid mining- well yes, there:s no way to make money from that yet. As I said though I don't see it happening till towards the end of the century. The odds are good that by then technology will have improved thus bringing the cost way down, and the price of minerals will have gone up, making it more worthwhile to get them.
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Razgovory

Well Satellites are subsidized aren't they?  If they weren't would there be so many of them?
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017