The World Is Misreading Barack Obama

[jimmy olsen]

Lets keep this simple,  how about adding a line to the losers signature about how they were wrong and having to keep it there for a month?

[Admiral Yi]

I changed my mind Ide.  I take the deal.

[Admiral Yi]

Lets keep this simple,  how about adding a line to the losers signature about how they were wrong and having to keep it there for a month?

Writing a check and putting it in the mail is pretty fucking simple.

[Ideologue]

Lets keep this simple,  how about adding a line to the losers signature about how they were wrong and having to keep it there for a month?

Will they have sig lines in 2024?

[Razgovory]

I'm in.  How much?

Razz: how does your dogmatic mind assess the chances of a strike by Obama against Iran?

Dunno, I have to ask my handlers what I should think.

[Ideologue]

I changed my mind Ide.  I take the deal.

I also just realized it's actually less than 1/1; you could (conceivably; obviously you won't) get cashed out in 2012 while I would have to wait till 2020.  Unless we agree that regardless of winner, cashout occurs in 2020, I think I should modify the odds that reflect prevailing commercial rates.

[jimmy olsen]

Lets keep this simple,  how about adding a line to the losers signature about how they were wrong and having to keep it there for a month?

Writing a check and putting it in the mail is pretty fucking simple.

I'm not betting money on an online forum, sorry.

Ide, the limit would be the last day of Obama's term.

[Admiral Yi]

I also just realized it's actually less than 1/1; you could get cashed out in 2012 while I would have to wait till 2020.  Unless we agree that regardless of winner, cashout occurs in 2020, I want odds that reflect prevailing commercial rates.

Discounting is a bit cumbersome.  How about we set the base year at 2012 and adjust up by the CPI from there.

[Ideologue]

Lets keep this simple,  how about adding a line to the losers signature about how they were wrong and having to keep it there for a month?

Writing a check and putting it in the mail is pretty fucking simple.

I'm not betting money on an online forum, sorry.

Ide, the limit would be the last day of Obama's term.

So I should insist on waiting until it was clear Obama had not assumed lifetime control at the head of a coup?  C'mon.  Disregarding another Bush v. Gore scenario, I think I'd be willing to concede in early November 2012.

That said, if Herman Cain spends December 2012 getting hosed out of the treads of an M1A2, I would want my money back.

Discounting is a bit cumbersome.  How about we set the base year at 2012 and adjust up by the CPI from there.

Fair enough.

[Ideologue]

As for the actual thread, I ain't betting on Obama bombing Iran.  As cool as it would be, I'm not sanguine on the prospects.  7/3 doesn't come close.

[jimmy olsen]

Lets keep this simple,  how about adding a line to the losers signature about how they were wrong and having to keep it there for a month?

Writing a check and putting it in the mail is pretty fucking simple.

I'm not betting money on an online forum, sorry.

Ide, the limit would be the last day of Obama's term.

So I should insist on waiting until it was clear Obama had not assumed lifetime control at the head of a coup?  C'mon.  Disregarding another Bush v. Gore scenario, I think I'd be willing to concede in early November 2012.

I meant January 20th 2013

[Ideologue]

No, I know when he would leave office (if he is not reelected, which is of course preposterous), but I would lose the bet should he lose the election, absent a scenario where American democracy ceased to exist, because that would put paid to my predictions of an uninterrupted Democratic victory streak.

[jimmy olsen]

No, I know when he would leave office (if he is not reelected, which is of course preposterous), but I would lose the bet should he lose the election, absent a scenario where American democracy ceased to exist, because that would put paid to my predictions of an uninterrupted Democratic victory streak.

What? I'm only betting on the attack Iran issue.

[Ideologue]

No, I know when he would leave office (if he is not reelected, which is of course preposterous), but I would lose the bet should he lose the election, absent a scenario where American democracy ceased to exist, because that would put paid to my predictions of an uninterrupted Democratic victory streak.

What? I'm only betting on the attack Iran issue.

Well we're not, so that's not really germane.

[Sheilbh]

I think he could bomb Iran.  If he does I imagine Britain'll join in.  I'd say it's possibly slightly more likely that we see that sort of 'Western' action than an Israeli attack - and that'd be right.