Grim predictions say 9 more years of Texas drought possible

Started by jimmy olsen, September 30, 2011, 12:56:21 AM

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jimmy olsen

DOOM :(

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44725170/ns/weather/

QuoteGrim predictions say 9 more years of Texas drought possible

State's worst recorded drought lasted from 1950 through 1957 By Jim Forsyth
updated 9/29/2011 8:53:25 PM ET 2011-09-30T00:53:25

SAN ANTONIO — A devastating Texas drought that has browned city lawns and caused more than $5 billion in damages to the state's farmers and ranchers could continue for another nine years, a state forecaster said on Thursday.

"It is possible that we could be looking at another of these multiyear droughts like we saw in the 1950s, and like the tree rings have shown that the state has experienced over the last several centuries," State Climatologist John Nielson-Gammon told Reuters.

Some 95 percent of the state is listed as being in either "severe" or "exceptional" drought by the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Drought Monitor, and Nielson-Gammon said the last 12 months have been the driest one-year period on record in the Lone Star State.

The state's worst recorded drought lasted from 1950 through 1957 and prompted the creation of artificial lakes all across Texas to supply water to a state that at the time had a population of 15 million - a whopping 10 million fewer than today.

The long-term weather patterns, including La Nina currents in the oceans, mirror records from the early 1950s, Nielsen-Gammon said. The current drought, which he said began in earnest in 2005, could wind up being a 15-year stretch if patterns hold, he said.

"We're very lucky that we had 2007 and 2010, which were years of plentiful rain," he said. "2010 was the wettest year in record. Were it not for last year, we would be in much worse shape even than we are today."

Conditions in Texas now are far from good. The drought has dried up many lakes built after the drought of the 1950s, and more than 23,000 separate wildfires fueled by dried brush and trees have destroyed 3.8 million acres and with that 2,800 homes, according to the Texas Forest Service.

Nielson-Gammon said Texas was now 10 to 20 inches of rainfall behind where it should be at the end of September, usually one of the state's wettest months.

Rather than being the exception, severe drought could become the rule in Texas going forward, with wet years being more noteworthy.

"We've had five of the last seven years in drought, and it looks like it is going to be six out of eight," he said.

The month is going out the same way it came in, with Texas firefighters on edge. Friday will be another extremely dangerous day for wildfires, with conditions similar to those over the Labor Day weekend when 60 fires erupted across the state, Holly Huffman of the Texas Forest Service said.

On Sept. 4, a gust of wind blew a dead pine tree into power lines east of Austin, sparking the deadly Bastrop Complex Fire. That blaze killed two people, destroyed 1,600 homes, and is now the costliest fire in terms of lost property in Texas history.

The Forest Service this week called in two air tankers from Canada to fight wildfires that continue to burn around Texas, citing a shortage of enough planes to fight the state's fires.
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Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
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Razgovory

I guess it could also go for over a hundred years.  Or end tomorrow.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

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Caliga

Soon Valmy will have to trade his horse for a camel and put his wife in a burqa. :cool:
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Valmy

This shit isn't very funny for us.  Fires decimated central texas this year and frankly we got off lightly.  Real privation and serious economic damage are going to hit hard with one more year of this.  The Agriculture sector has suffered a blow that would take years of good rain to recover from.

If it really goes on for 9 years...well we will all be ruined.  It will be the worst disaster since the Dust Bowl.
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Neil

You know, I don't have much of an idea what the economy of Texas is based on.  Houston is something of a business centre, and I would imagine that there's some agriculture and some resource exploitation going on, but I don't really know what else the state does.  Is the whole state a sweatshop that produces Bibles and Cowboys merchandize?
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The Brain

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Valmy

Quote from: The Brain on September 30, 2011, 12:22:39 PM
They chose to live in a desert.

Well no but I might have to choose whether or not I stay in one. :(
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

The Brain

Quote from: Valmy on September 30, 2011, 12:25:07 PM
Quote from: The Brain on September 30, 2011, 12:22:39 PM
They chose to live in a desert.

Well no but I might have to choose whether or not I stay in one. :(

Can't you just deny climate change?
Women want me. Men want to be with me.

viper37

Quote from: Valmy on September 30, 2011, 12:25:07 PM
Quote from: The Brain on September 30, 2011, 12:22:39 PM
They chose to live in a desert.

Well no but I might have to choose whether or not I stay in one. :(
Quebec is always looking for new immigrants.  No drought here.  Plenty of water.  Even in your basement.
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Habbaku

Condolences, Valmy.  Georgia went through a fairly prolonged drought which we solved by getting more rain and winning court cases against Tennessee and Alabama over water rights.

Can you fuck over Oklahoma in some fashion?
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