2024 US Presidential Elections Megathread

[Razgovory]

And it's not as if the Arab-American vote would have made up the difference either.

Still what dumbfucks. Their "protest" is going to gain them anything.

Edit: forgot the word not

They wouldn't be the first Arabs to destroy themselves because of Israel.

[Sheilbh]

What's really interesting are the tables below the map.  There were 180,000 fewer votes cast across the five counties this year versus 2020.  Basically all those missing votes look to have come out of Harris's total (vice Biden).  Trump was basically flat (he got 2% more votes this time, but there were 3% more registered voters).  The numbers make it seem like Democratic apathy swung this, rather than any Trump appeal.

One thought (I am - can't emphasise this enough - not a data person) is that it'd be interesting to track it against 2016 and previous recent elections. Because in the same way as Biden was an outlier, I think 2020 had a huge turnout compared to other recent American elections while I think this year is more normal.

I wonder if it is a return to the mean - so it'd be interesting maybe to track Democrat and Republican votes against that?

[DGuller]

I agree that I don't think it's helpful to compare against 2020, because it was an outlier year.  I also think the assumption that Trump voters from 2020 turned out at the same rate, but only Biden voters turned out less, is completely unsupported.  Theoretically both parties could've lost the same share voters in the turnout, but Trump just converted some that did turn out.

[Josquius]

A thought. Which is a potential positive out of all this.
So many people saying it's the economy that was their main concern.
I think this is bs for many but not all. Just lack of awareness.

Then there's those who's say they hate trunp but petrol is more expensive than it used to be (isn't it always?)

This is really something for all those woke zealots gloating and spraying their nonsense. People aren't into fascism. They just weirdly believe trump will be better for the economy. Which is hopeful.

There's still the concern though that the Biden recovery continues and really starts hitting normal people. Absolutely a good thing to hope for.... But at the same time likely to be credited to trump if so.

[Grey Fox]

Once the Fascist(s) hold(s) power, they don't let go.

[crazy canuck]

Jos, I am pretty sure people were well aware of what was concerning them when they said the economy was there main concern.

It obviously would not have been for you, but that does not make your priorities better, nor diminish theirs.

That is how democracy works.