US Election Week 2020

[alfred russel]

What the hell is with jorgensen voters. So many

Jo Jorgenson could hand Georgia to Biden 

I suspect libertarians pull more votes from Republicans than Democrats at this point. It is at least a mixed bag.

[Sheilbh]

Michigan lead is 19k now. Wouldn't it be fun if it all came down to Nevada flipping red at the last minute?

No way that will happen. Nevada has a massive hispanic population.

Also from the department responsible:

Nevada Elections
@NVElect
Here's what is left to count:

-Mail ballots received on Election Day
-Mail ballots that will be received over the next week
-Provisional ballots

Ballots outstanding is difficult to estimate in Nevada because every voter was sent a mail ballot. Obviously, not all will vote.

There's nothing there that seems likely to be disproportionately Republican.

[Josquius]

I'm pleasantly surprised at nevada. Las Vegas seems to be just so trump.

[Maladict]

Wouldn't it be fun if it all came down to Nevada flipping red at the last minute?

I'd prefer an outright coup if we're going for laughs.

[Caliga]

I'm pleasantly surprised at nevada. Las Vegas seems to be just so trump.

What do you base that on?

[The Minsky Moment]

Trump campaign sending emails again.

https://twitter.com/geoplace/status/1323946863221968897

Let's get some perspective.
By any normal measure Biden is decisively beating Trump by millions of votes.
We are only still watching because of this antiquated 18th century system of voting for state Electors

[celedhring]

I know it's the increasingly old fart in me yelling at a cloud but:

CLARE MALONE
NOV. 4, 9:35 AM
Sarah Ellison over at The Washington Post has a good TikTok about Fox's decision to project Arizona for Biden pretty early in the night. (ABC News, I need to note here, has not yet made a projection in the state.) The tension between Fox's decision desk and its opinion anchors and the pressure that the pro-Trump network was getting from the Trump campaign were all very 2020 in its dynamics.

TikTok as a journalism outlet 

[The Minsky Moment]

@JR I thought you lived in NY? 

Pretty close but there is this little river in the way.

[fromtia]

Florida passed a minimum wage hike to  $10.

This country is ripe for Strasserism.

Fret not sweet Timmay, Republicans will use the courts to get rid of this pronto. It will become something like a $10 minimum wage for self employed alligators on Tuesdays only when they are done with it.

[Syt]

Trump campaign sending emails again.

https://twitter.com/geoplace/status/1323946863221968897

Let's get some perspective.
By any normal measure Biden is decisively beating Trump by millions of votes.
We are only still watching because of this antiquated 18th century system of voting for state Electors

See, this is why I'm not convinced that demographic change will eventually force the GOP to adapt or leave, as long as conservative rural areas wield disproportionate power.

[The Minsky Moment]

I know it's the increasingly old fart in me yelling at a cloud but:

CLARE MALONE
NOV. 4, 9:35 AM
Sarah Ellison over at The Washington Post has a good TikTok about Fox's decision to project Arizona for Biden pretty early in the night. (ABC News, I need to note here, has not yet made a projection in the state.) The tension between Fox's decision desk and its opinion anchors and the pressure that the pro-Trump network was getting from the Trump campaign were all very 2020 in its dynamics.

TikTok as a journalism outlet 

I mostly watched Fox's coverage last night - there are a LOT of problems with that network but overall the coverage last night really was old school fair and balanced.

[alfred russel]

There's nothing there that seems likely to be disproportionately Republican.

There was the theory that late arriving ballots could be disproportionately republican. Mainly based on the trend that early mailers were democratic out of proportion to those that got mail in ballots - so maybe republicans were procrastinating (and causing the late mail in vote to be republican).

Biden's lead is just under 8,000. I guess the question is how many votes are outstanding. If it is 10k: obviously Trump is cooked. If it is 150k...I'd still bet Biden of course but it is getting worrying.

Recorded vote totals are already in excess of what was cast in Nevada in 2016, although Nevada is a growing state and this is a high turnout election.

[Caliga]

I mostly watched Fox's coverage last night - there are a LOT of problems with that network but overall the coverage last night really was old school fair and balanced.

Meanwhile I watched mostly MSNBC where the nonstop theme was "don't panic, we got this people".

They had James Carville on and he had a bottle of Pappy on a shelf behind him and repeatedly talked about it.  Thanks for the free publicity James.

[fromtia]

A big thumbs up from the Fromtia Wild Eyed Panic Bunker to all of you. I had resolved not to look at my phone or read any news outlets through all of this and instead chose to rely on all of you for some generally thoughtful and insightful commentary on events as they unfold, and you have delivered, as you have done in times past. Thanks. 

[celedhring]

I know it's the increasingly old fart in me yelling at a cloud but:

CLARE MALONE
NOV. 4, 9:35 AM
Sarah Ellison over at The Washington Post has a good TikTok about Fox's decision to project Arizona for Biden pretty early in the night. (ABC News, I need to note here, has not yet made a projection in the state.) The tension between Fox's decision desk and its opinion anchors and the pressure that the pro-Trump network was getting from the Trump campaign were all very 2020 in its dynamics.

TikTok as a journalism outlet 

I mostly watched Fox's coverage last night - there are a LOT of problems with that network but overall the coverage last night really was old school fair and balanced.

I read an article in the NYT a few weeks ago about the dude that makes their calls. He's a hyper-wonk and seemed completely walled off from outside pressure, very respected among his peers apparently.