US Election Week 2020

[DGuller]

So long as it doesn't change the election outcome, i want Arizona to go to Trump.

My girlfriend has for days been refusing to discuss the possibility of Arizona being up in the air, because it has been "called". She is dismissive as though I'm a madman for thinking the AP experts would be wrong, or that Fox would do something unjustified that was pro democrat.

Arizona would force her to recognize my genius, just as covid-19 will force you guys once it becomes clear how awesome my takes were.

I'm not sure your expectations of how people react to being proven wrong are grounded in reality.

[Valmy]

Are democrats going to lose the house?

Only if these mail in votes in California suddenly go very red.

[PDH]

I'm not sure your expectations of how people react to being proven wrong are grounded in reality.

"In a family argument, if it turns out you are right, apologize at once."

[PDH]

Are democrats going to lose the house?

Only if these mail in votes in California suddenly go very red.

Maybe I shouldn't have voted a straight Peace and Freedom ticket...

[Sheilbh]

So just saw this:

Chris Wallace says the Fox Decision Desk is sticking with their AZ call, and that Biden picking up Nevada would put him at 270 under their tally.

The fact that this has come up multiple times and Fox are discussing it suggests to me that their Decision Desk team must be seeing/know something that is making them not withdraw their call.

[Valmy]

Oh bunch of expected Georgia votes went away

[DGuller]

So just saw this:

Chris Wallace says the Fox Decision Desk is sticking with their AZ call, and that Biden picking up Nevada would put him at 270 under their tally.

The fact that this has come up multiple times and Fox are discussing it suggests to me that their Decision Desk team must be seeing/know something that is making them not withdraw their call.

Know something enough to be 99.5% sure? 

[DGuller]

Oh bunch of expected Georgia votes went away

I hope it's a feed issue.

[Eddie Teach]

They know Murdoch put his foot down?

[Sheilbh]

I don't know - maybe, maybe not. They've been challenged, they've been given off-ramps and they're sticking to it - and earlier we were praising them in particular as very good and walled off from editorial pressure.

It could be pride, or vanity, for sure. But I just think it's striking they've not taken any of those off-ramps or points when you could legitimately say "well the information's changed so we've re-evaluated."

[Josquius]

That ticker was in hindsight a little too good. It's now panic stations as across the field it looks bad.

[alfred russel]

Oh bunch of expected Georgia votes went away

I hope it's a feed issue.

I don't want to be pessimistic but what Fulton County has been saying in interviews has consistently been less than what the secretary of state says.

Sheilbh - a problem with thinking the Fox and AP people "know something" is that the whole world is looking at this right now. It seems less likely that they have the greatest expertise and more likely that isolated thinking/pride is causing them to stick to their guns. Still seems like Arizona goes D but...

[katmai]

Are democrats going to lose the house?

uh. Wut?

[DGuller]

That ticker was in hindsight a little too good. It's now panic stations as across the field it looks bad.

What are you talking about?

[katmai]

So long as it doesn't change the election outcome, i want Arizona to go to Trump.

My girlfriend has for days been refusing to discuss the possibility of Arizona being up in the air, because it has been "called". She is dismissive as though I'm a madman for thinking the AP experts would be wrong, or that Fox would do something unjustified that was pro democrat.

Arizona would force her to recognize my genius, just as covid-19 will force you guys once it becomes clear how awesome my takes were.

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?