US Election Week 2020

[katmai]

That ticker was in hindsight a little too good. It's now panic stations as across the field it looks bad.

What are you talking about?

isn't this the question to everyone of his posts?

[OttoVonBismarck]

So Georgia Secretary of State literally said minutes ago that they actually have 47,000 votes left to be counted. But the data feed has it down to 27,000. I have a lot of ideas as to why there could be discrepancies, and it all kinda comes together in my mind to make me say Georgia probably isn't worth following vote by vote right now. It's going to be real close, and we won't know until they clean up their shit and clearly tell us what's left, which probably will be days.

[Valmy]

Ok those potential votes are back. Yeah!

[DGuller]

WTF is wrong with some people: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/missouri-poll-worker-positive-covid-19-still-worked-shift-died-n1246620.

[alfred russel]

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?

We are getting married in May and have been together almost 4 years. 

[Eddie Teach]

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?

We are getting married in May and have been together almost 4 years. 

I haven't received my invitation yet.

[DGuller]

Looking at the feed site, one question pops out at me:  who the fuck thought it was helpful to display time stamps as "one day ago"?  Seriously, this shit is all over the Internet, and so often destroys useful information.  What, is it not obvious how long ago 10 pm on November 4 was?  If you need a precise answer, I'm sure you possess the ability to figure it out.

[Zoupa]

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?

We are getting married in May and have been together almost 4 years. 

That woman is a saint.

[Sheilbh]

Sheilbh - a problem with thinking the Fox and AP people "know something" is that the whole world is looking at this right now. It seems less likely that they have the greatest expertise and more likely that isolated thinking/pride is causing them to stick to their guns. Still seems like Arizona goes D but...

I've no idea if the know something (for example Fox did a story about doing polling () on the breakdown of types of vote), or if it's pride or whatever else. But none of us do and I just think we can't be any more certain that they should be withdrawing those calls or sticking to them. Even other modellers looking at this won't be looking at the same information being interpreted in the same way.

All we know is they've been given chances to withdraw them and they haven't. Tomorrow we'll know if they should have pulled the calls or not.

[katmai]

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?

We are getting married in May and have been together almost 4 years. 

that still doesn't answer my question of odds, mr betting man

[katmai]

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?

We are getting married in May and have been together almost 4 years. 

That woman is a saint.

that's one way to look at it.

[alfred russel]

All we know is they've been given chances to withdraw them and they haven't. Tomorrow we'll know if they should have pulled the calls or not.

Not really. 

I mean, the betting odds have Biden 79% likely to win Arizona. If those odds are at all reflective of what is going on, it is ridiculous to have the state "called".

In Florida in 2000, the networks first called it for Gore, and then called it for Bush, and then pulled it back. Anyone saying, "well we were wrong about the call on Gore but got it right the second time because Bush won (arguably)" is not right. They aren't supposed to be predicting who will win, but telling you, "this one is in the bag, you can ignore it from now on because the losing candidate has no reasonable path to victory".

[derspiess]

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?

We are getting married in May and have been together almost 4 years. 

Then you should probably let that Arizona thing go.  And tell her you're sorry.  Especially if you turn out to be right.

[katmai]

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?

We are getting married in May and have been together almost 4 years. 

Then you should probably let that Arizona thing go.  And tell her you're sorry.  Especially if you turn out to be right.

shut up spicy, I'm trying to win a bet.

[FunkMonk]

what are the odds she doesn't dump your ass in less than five years?

We are getting married in May and have been together almost 4 years. 

Congrats