Coronavirus Sars-CoV-2/Covid-19 Megathread

[Richard Hakluyt]

it is like a 2000AD comic strip come to life   

Judge Covid will sort the rebellious students out!

[Syt]

6400+ new cases today. The health minister said today that for 1/3 of new cases the teams are unable to determine the point of transmission, so there's likely lots of infections happenning in public spaces (supermarkets, public transports etc.).

[Syt]

Actually, update on that. % of infections with identified source, calendar week 44 vs 40, per state:

[Tamas]

It might had been a slip of a tongue from Orban on his regular Friday morning radio "interview" when he matter-of-factly said they expect around 4500 covid patients in ICU by 10 December.

That's 10 as many as right now, and, crucially, the estimated total ICU capacity of the country is somewhere between 2500-3000 beds.

Yet he didn't announce any further restrictions (a new set of them was announced earlier in the week) just told what's expected to happen.

EDIT: further on this, in January, so pre-pandemic, the ICU capacity was around 1000 beds and 60-70% of them were in use. Which means there supposed to be over 5000 patients competing for less than 3000 beds in a month or so.

Let's hope Dear Leader will be proven wrong.

[Sheilbh]

Some potentially good news in the UK. The latest ONS survey suggests that infection may have stalled (just before lockdown):


This aligns with the cases on the central dashboard:
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/

And broadly matches the share of positive tests information:
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&country=~GBR&region=World&positiveTestRate=true&interval=smoothed&hideControls=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=7&pickerMetric=location&pickerSort=asc

And it seems to be happening across regions:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/6november2020

My one fear, looking at that ONS data, is that a lot of the decline is basically in high school kids - 24 year olds and I wonder if part of it was driven by school holidays and it will now kick up again?

[Syt]

8241 new cases today. In relation to population, that would be like 60k+ new infections in UK, 77k in Germany, or 303k in the US.

[Duque de Bragança]

60,486 cases yesterday. Records keep on being beaten. Lockdown does not seem to be followed as strictly as during spring, judging by the amount of people during daytime. Nightime is comparable.

[Duque de Bragança]

Semi-lockdown areas in Portugal. Azores and Madeira archipelagos not (yet) included.
Porto and Lisbon (Tagus valley in fact) metro areas being the most afflicted, obviously.

Yes, Bragança is part of the concerned areas.
Algarve is somewhat surprisingly not very much impacted. I guess not having many drunken Brits during the summer helped. 

[Syt]

While Germany posts record numbers of new infections practically daily, people in Leipzig are protesting the lockdown measures.

[Duque de Bragança]

Remember, Leipzig is also the hotbed of hipsterism in Eastern Germany.

[Maximus]

So my Dad tested positive today.

He's in his mid 80s and in the past five years has beaten cancer and for the last two has been living with an undiagnosed lung disease (he's declined to take the biopsies which might have diagnosed it). So who knows what will happen, but there's no way I can go see him even if I could get up there.

It's also the first case in the care home he's in and one of the first in the community so that's going to suck for a lot of people.

[Syt]

I'm sorry, Max, all the best to him.

[The Brain]

[The Larch]

So sorry to hear that, Max.

[viper37]

So my Dad tested positive today.

He's in his mid 80s and in the past five years has beaten cancer and for the last two has been living with an undiagnosed lung disease (he's declined to take the biopsies which might have diagnosed it). So who knows what will happen, but there's no way I can go see him even if I could get up there.

It's also the first case in the care home he's in and one of the first in the community so that's going to suck for a lot of people.

Sorry to hear that