737 Max grounded after second deadly crash by new airplane

Started by jimmy olsen, March 11, 2019, 07:48:23 AM

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The Minsky Moment

1972 was the year before the first big OPEC crisis.  American industry has changed a lot since then, for better or for worse, and there is no way to turn the clock backwards.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

viper37

Quote from: Zanza on March 12, 2019, 04:33:58 PM
The European Air Safety Authority has grounded the 737 Max in Europe. https://www.easa.europa.eu/newsroom-and-events/news/easa-suspends-all-boeing-737-max-operations-europe
hmm, I wonder if they would have acted so quickly with Airbus?

Anyway, Canada&USA have not grounded the planes so far.  I remember after the last accident, some changes were made to the planes in Canada and pilots had to train for the new software.  Maybe that's why they aren't grounded yet over here.
I don't do meditation.  I drink alcohol to relax, like normal people.

If Microsoft Excel decided to stop working overnight, the world would practically end.

viper37

Quote from: alfred russel on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
Quote from: frunk on March 12, 2019, 03:51:17 PM
That's not three orders of magnitude, or even close, so I'm not sure what you are talking about.  If you were talking about elevator deaths (one of the safest methods of travel ever created) then you would have a point.

If we were operating on the death rate of 1970 we would have ~22,000 deaths in 2017, instead of the 44 that we actually had.  I'm pretty sure that the airlines made back the extra costs of the airplanes just on the reduced insurance.

I was using 1990 as the baseline earlier, because almost all the safety improvements came previous to that point and presumably the "computer scientists from MIT" needed to fly the plane in lieu of pilots came later. In 1970 I agree that flying wasn't that safe.

I didn't use 1990 as the cost basis of airlines because i googled for historic prices and the first link was the 1972 price list I linked to.
isn't it a bit... wrong, to use different starting point to compare the effectiveness of a measure?
I don't do meditation.  I drink alcohol to relax, like normal people.

If Microsoft Excel decided to stop working overnight, the world would practically end.

Zoupa

Quote from: viper37 on March 12, 2019, 05:52:02 PM
Quote from: Zanza on March 12, 2019, 04:33:58 PM
The European Air Safety Authority has grounded the 737 Max in Europe. https://www.easa.europa.eu/newsroom-and-events/news/easa-suspends-all-boeing-737-max-operations-europe
hmm, I wonder if they would have acted so quickly with Airbus?

Anyway, Canada&USA have not grounded the planes so far.  I remember after the last accident, some changes were made to the planes in Canada and pilots had to train for the new software.  Maybe that's why they aren't grounded yet over here.

Many companies operating flights in Canada have grounded their Max 8.

alfred russel

Quote from: viper37 on March 12, 2019, 05:53:34 PM
Quote from: alfred russel on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
Quote from: frunk on March 12, 2019, 03:51:17 PM
That's not three orders of magnitude, or even close, so I'm not sure what you are talking about.  If you were talking about elevator deaths (one of the safest methods of travel ever created) then you would have a point.

If we were operating on the death rate of 1970 we would have ~22,000 deaths in 2017, instead of the 44 that we actually had.  I'm pretty sure that the airlines made back the extra costs of the airplanes just on the reduced insurance.

I was using 1990 as the baseline earlier, because almost all the safety improvements came previous to that point and presumably the "computer scientists from MIT" needed to fly the plane in lieu of pilots came later. In 1970 I agree that flying wasn't that safe.

I didn't use 1990 as the cost basis of airlines because i googled for historic prices and the first link was the 1972 price list I linked to.
isn't it a bit... wrong, to use different starting point to compare the effectiveness of a measure?

Yeah, and i'll update the analysis if you can find 1990 price lists for aircraft.  :P

I'm certain I've put more thought into defending the president's dumbass tweets than he did before making them.
They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

There's a fine line between salvation and drinking poison in the jungle.

I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
-garbon, February 23, 2014

crazy canuck

Quote from: Zanza on March 12, 2019, 04:33:58 PM
The European Air Safety Authority has grounded the 737 Max in Europe. https://www.easa.europa.eu/newsroom-and-events/news/easa-suspends-all-boeing-737-max-operations-europe

If only they would listen to Dorsey and his theory that it is all related to the condition of the toilets in the domestic departures area of the airport in Ethiopia.  No one would worry about the concerns about the software.

Zanza

It has now been grounded in Eurasia and Oceania...
Quote from: viper37 on March 12, 2019, 05:52:02 PM
Quote from: Zanza on March 12, 2019, 04:33:58 PM
The European Air Safety Authority has grounded the 737 Max in Europe. https://www.easa.europa.eu/newsroom-and-events/news/easa-suspends-all-boeing-737-max-operations-europe
hmm, I wonder if they would have acted so quickly with Airbus
All the Asians and the Australians grounded it before the Europeans.

jimmy olsen

Thanks a bunch Trump

https://qz.com/1570266/ethiopian-airlines-crash-us-shutdown-delayed-boeing-737-max-fixes/

QuoteStraightforward safety upgrades to the jets' software to fix the automated safety feature, were originally expected in January according to multiple reports. But they were delayed until April, the Wall Street Journal reported Feb. 10, because of "engineering challenges," "differences of opinion" between federal and Boeing officials, and the 35-day government shutdown, during  which "consideration of the fixes was suspended."
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
1 Karma Chameleon point

alfred russel

Quote from: crazy canuck on March 12, 2019, 07:09:13 PM
Quote from: Zanza on March 12, 2019, 04:33:58 PM
The European Air Safety Authority has grounded the 737 Max in Europe. https://www.easa.europa.eu/newsroom-and-events/news/easa-suspends-all-boeing-737-max-operations-europe

If only they would listen to Dorsey and his theory that it is all related to the condition of the toilets in the domestic departures area of the airport in Ethiopia.  No one would worry about the concerns about the software.

They aren't grounded in the US.

Here is a deal offer: if one crashes in the US, I'll admit I was wrong and you were right. If one doesn't crash, you will admit you are wrong and I was right.
They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

There's a fine line between salvation and drinking poison in the jungle.

I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
-garbon, February 23, 2014

crazy canuck

#40
Quote from: alfred russel on March 12, 2019, 10:00:53 PM
Quote from: crazy canuck on March 12, 2019, 07:09:13 PM
Quote from: Zanza on March 12, 2019, 04:33:58 PM
The European Air Safety Authority has grounded the 737 Max in Europe. https://www.easa.europa.eu/newsroom-and-events/news/easa-suspends-all-boeing-737-max-operations-europe

If only they would listen to Dorsey and his theory that it is all related to the condition of the toilets in the domestic departures area of the airport in Ethiopia.  No one would worry about the concerns about the software.

They aren't grounded in the US.

Here is a deal offer: if one crashes in the US, I'll admit I was wrong and you were right. If one doesn't crash, you will admit you are wrong and I was right.

They are now grounded in Canada.  The US may be the one hold out and the concern is the reason the US doesn't ground them is more motivated by Boeing's well being than concerns about public safety.  Now what were you saying about corruption in government causing an unsafe environment?  :P

edit: here is the reason given by the Canadian government

QuoteGarneau said the decision to issue the safety notice was made after his department received new data suggesting a similarity between the Ethiopian Airlines crash and another deadly crash off Indonesia in October.

I daresay, similarity of bathroom facilities at the airports was not the concern.  Rather it probably has something to do with the plane itself.


Barrister

I'm quite surprised we broke with the FAA on this one and grounded the 737-MAX.

Not saying it's the right or wrong call - it's well outside my expertise.  But since Transport Canada has the same information the FAA does it's surprising.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

crazy canuck

Quote from: Barrister on March 13, 2019, 11:59:33 AM
I'm quite surprised we broke with the FAA on this one and grounded the 737-MAX.

Not saying it's the right or wrong call - it's well outside my expertise.  But since Transport Canada has the same information the FAA does it's surprising.

I agree.  I think they must have seen something that got them concerned.  We always follow the Americans on these things. It could also be yet another sign of how much we and the rest of the world are losing confidence in decisions made by American governmental agencies under the Trump regime.

DGuller

At this point it could also be that perception becomes reality.  If people are genuinely anxious about flying on the Max planes, then regardless of how well-founded the anxiety is, it could be simpler to just go with the flow, even if there is no new informaion.  It's also one of those calls where you're not punished for being unreasonably careful, but you're going to get a lot of shit for appearing to be not careful enough.

Barrister

Quote from: DGuller on March 13, 2019, 12:09:14 PM
At this point it could also be that perception becomes reality.  If people are genuinely anxious about flying on the Max planes, then regardless of how well-founded the anxiety is, it could be simpler to just go with the flow, even if there is no new informaion.  It's also one of those calls where you're not punished for being unreasonably careful, but you're going to get a lot of shit for appearing to be not careful enough.

Both of our airlines have quite a few 737-MAX planes flying with them, so grounding this airplane is going to cause significant disruption.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.