H-1B visa: It's everywhere you want to be! For now

Started by CountDeMoney, January 08, 2017, 08:14:29 PM

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LaCroix

Quote from: dps on January 09, 2017, 07:15:12 PMIf immigrants or people on work visas are taking jobs from Americans, it's because they're doing jobs American are too lazy to do or aren't qualified to do.

or they're doing the same jobs and are "more qualified" (however that's defined in a given circumstance) than qualified american applicants

alfred russel

Quote from: Berkut on January 09, 2017, 07:16:10 PM
I don't think there is any doubt that the availability of H1B workers depresses salaries. That is just basic economics.

Um no. You don't get any more basic than supply and demand curves. H1B visas may shift the supply curve to the right, but they can also shift the demand curve to the right. The effect on price is ambiguous.
They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

There's a fine line between salvation and drinking poison in the jungle.

I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
-garbon, February 23, 2014

DGuller

Quote from: alfred russel on January 09, 2017, 07:42:30 PM
Quote from: Berkut on January 09, 2017, 07:16:10 PM
I don't think there is any doubt that the availability of H1B workers depresses salaries. That is just basic economics.

Um no. You don't get any more basic than supply and demand curves. H1B visas may shift the supply curve to the right, but they can also shift the demand curve to the right. The effect on price is ambiguous.
I don't think that lack of independence between supply and demand curves is the most basic thing.  It's not at all basic, from what I know.  The most basic economic concept is that curves shift independent of one another.

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: Berkut on January 09, 2017, 07:16:10 PM
I don't think there is any doubt that the availability of H1B workers depresses salaries. That is just basic economics.

I think there is some doubt.  The numbers aren't large enough to have a big impact.  There is reason to believe that some of those jobs would just be geographically outsourced.  Many of the program participants -- Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon - are paying program workers salaries above the median for the job category.  The big consulting groups pay less but probably because they generally pay less. 

The other consideration is that if even one or two of those guys contributes to some idea or helps start a new business line that itself employs more people there could be a net positive impact.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Admiral Yi

Quote from: alfred russel on January 09, 2017, 07:42:30 PM
Um no. You don't get any more basic than supply and demand curves. H1B visas may shift the supply curve to the right, but they can also shift the demand curve to the right. The effect on price is ambiguous.

How would they shift the demand curve?  Do Indian tech workers all need assistant tech workers?

alfred russel

Quote from: Admiral Yi on January 09, 2017, 08:05:05 PM
Quote from: alfred russel on January 09, 2017, 07:42:30 PM
Um no. You don't get any more basic than supply and demand curves. H1B visas may shift the supply curve to the right, but they can also shift the demand curve to the right. The effect on price is ambiguous.

How would they shift the demand curve?  Do Indian tech workers all need assistant tech workers?

By allowing the US to become a global tech leader.
They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

There's a fine line between salvation and drinking poison in the jungle.

I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
-garbon, February 23, 2014

11B4V

Quote from: Admiral Yi on January 09, 2017, 08:05:05 PM
Quote from: alfred russel on January 09, 2017, 07:42:30 PM
Um no. You don't get any more basic than supply and demand curves. H1B visas may shift the supply curve to the right, but they can also shift the demand curve to the right. The effect on price is ambiguous.

How would they shift the demand curve?  Do Indian tech workers all need assistant tech workers?

No, but don't they need tech assistance. :huh:
"there's a long tradition of insulting people we disagree with here, and I'll be damned if I listen to your entreaties otherwise."-OVB

"Obviously not a Berkut-commanded armored column.  They're not all brewing."- CdM

"We've reached one of our phase lines after the firefight and it smells bad—meaning it's a little bit suspicious... Could be an amb—".

CountDeMoney

Quote from: 11B4V on January 09, 2017, 08:11:28 PM
No, but don't they need tech assistance. :huh:

They don't, but you do, pal.  Please unplug your router, wait 30 seconds and then plug it back in.

Admiral Yi


The Minsky Moment

The availability of quality staff is a key consideration for a tech company in deciding where to locate facilities.  It is the single most determining factor in identifying successful "technology clusters" of which the Valley is the most prominent.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Berkut

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on January 09, 2017, 08:03:56 PM
Quote from: Berkut on January 09, 2017, 07:16:10 PM
I don't think there is any doubt that the availability of H1B workers depresses salaries. That is just basic economics.

I think there is some doubt.  The numbers aren't large enough to have a big impact.  There is reason to believe that some of those jobs would just be geographically outsourced.  Many of the program participants -- Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon - are paying program workers salaries above the median for the job category.  The big consulting groups pay less but probably because they generally pay less. 

The other consideration is that if even one or two of those guys contributes to some idea or helps start a new business line that itself employs more people there could be a net positive impact.

I think you are wrong about the doubt. Having more people willing to come do complex engineering work at half the cost certainly depresses salaries for American workers. I know this because *I HIRE THESE PEOPLE*. And I certainly consider the costs of a foreign worker when deciding what I am willing to pay.

Now, I agree that it is a net positive effect overall - indeed, I would argue it is a HUGE positive effect, in fact. For one, the numbers are not that large. They are large enough to notice in that it isn't such a barrier in numbers that you don't consider it. And there are other costs involved in hiring these workers as well - legal costs, hassle costs, cultural integration costs (although if you hire a bunch of them, it perversely actually starts working the other way, and if you hire a bunch of them AND outsource work to India as well, you get some really interesting cultural dynamics working you would not expect).

But I have zero doubt that this depresses wages among technology workers. I also have little doubt that the demand for technology workers is great enough that they are still making a lot more than nearly everyone else, so I am not terribly worried about that small depression of prices.
"If you think this has a happy ending, then you haven't been paying attention."

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Phillip V

Please send me resumes of US Citizens with the following qualifications (no degree required):

•   Hands-on experience with MySQL, Tomcat, and Linux or equivalent
•   Competency in writing SQL queries and executing Linux commands
•   Experience reviewing raw log files (i.e. firewall, network flow, DLP, IDS, system logs)
•   Ability to travel at least 25%-50% of the time
•   Willing to relocate to Atlanta, New York City, or Washington DC metro areas

Berkut

If I am travelling half the time, why do I need to live in one of those areas?
"If you think this has a happy ending, then you haven't been paying attention."

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CountDeMoney

Quote from: Berkut on January 09, 2017, 08:21:15 PM
I think you are wrong about the doubt. Having more people willing to come do complex engineering work at half the cost certainly depresses salaries for American workers. I know this because *I HIRE THESE PEOPLE*.

In that cutting edge bustling tech hub of Rochester, NY? No wonder they're depressed.  Probably the wages, too.

QuoteAnd I certainly consider the costs of a foreign worker when deciding what I am willing to pay.

QuoteEmployers depress salaries, not immigrants.