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What does a TRUMP presidency look like?

Started by FunkMonk, November 08, 2016, 11:02:57 PM

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Eddie Teach

To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

jimmy olsen

Quote from: garbon on January 22, 2018, 11:06:17 PM
Quote from: The Minsky Moment on January 22, 2018, 10:23:44 PM
I'm glad there's a deal, hope it sticks.  I don't agree with holding the entire federal gov't hijack, regardless of who does it. 

I'm kinda tired of the party of honorable losers.


It's only a loss if you believe the GOP would have passed a bill funding CHIP on their own. I see no reason to believe that. The Dems forced them to fund it for 6 years. That's a win.
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
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Grinning_Colossus

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on January 22, 2018, 10:23:44 PM
I'm glad there's a deal, hope it sticks.  I don't agree with holding the entire federal gov't hijack, regardless of who does it. 

Tit-for-tat defection is an optimal strategy for bringing a defecting party in line.
Quis futuit ipsos fututores?

DGuller

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on January 22, 2018, 10:23:44 PM
I'm glad there's a deal, hope it sticks.  I don't agree with holding the entire federal gov't hijack, regardless of who does it.
I don't agree with being the first one to do it.  Just like I don't agree with being the first one to deny a Supreme Court justice to a president, or any other first moves to break the established norms at the cost of making politics permanently worse for everyone down the road. 

However, when the usual enforcement of established norms fails, and the political party that breaks the norms doesn't pay the political price, you're only left with tit-for-tat.  It's not a tactic you want to fall back on, but sometimes you don't get to choose the world you're living in.  It's on GOP to make the first move towards detoxifying the politics, right now the prime responsibility of Democrats to their constituents is to not be a perennial loser.

alfred russel

I've believed for years that the effective supermajority requirement in the senate is terrible. This atmosphere makes it much worse.
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I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
-garbon, February 23, 2014

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: garbon on January 22, 2018, 11:06:17 PM
I'm kinda tired of the party of honorable losers.

Dishonorable losers is not an improvement.

Congress has a moral and constitutional responsibility to keep the doors open.  It is the barest minimum requirement of the job.  It's exceedingly dangerous to reinforce the habit of using the functioning of the government as a routine political chip. Playing tit for tat weakens the institutions all around, creates a sense of routine crisis - that's the road to Weimar or one of the crappier French Republics.

With respect to GC, it's not right to view this as a simple, repeated PD game.  In game theory terms there isn't a properly specified payout matrix because every two years the voters get their say and can upend the table.  So far on a limited sample, the Democrats have done OK making their case to the voters despite their own disarray.  That's how political beefs are supposed to handled.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: alfred russel on January 23, 2018, 10:22:34 AM
I've believed for years that the effective supermajority requirement in the senate is terrible.

I agree, it is contrary to the constitutional setup as well.  It's supposed to be 50%.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: DGuller on January 23, 2018, 10:02:30 AM
Just like I don't agree with being the first one to deny a Supreme Court justice to a president

That first happened in the Washington administration.  The Senate is supposed to have a significant role - their consent is required.  It's not empty language - it's by design to prevent one branch from becoming a adjunct of another.   

It's true that the Constitution doesn't contemplate a 40 vote blocking minority.  Trump, broken clock that he is, happened to be right on that by chance.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

grumbler

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on January 23, 2018, 11:48:30 AM
Quote from: DGuller on January 23, 2018, 10:02:30 AM
Just like I don't agree with being the first one to deny a Supreme Court justice to a president

That first happened in the Washington administration.  The Senate is supposed to have a significant role - their consent is required.  It's not empty language - it's by design to prevent one branch from becoming a adjunct of another.   

It's true that the Constitution doesn't contemplate a 40 vote blocking minority.  Trump, broken clock that he is, happened to be right on that by chance.

Yeah, denying confirmation has happened a bunch of times.  Robert Bork, anyone?

I do oppose the Senate reusing to carry out their constitutional duties in the hope that delay will change the political landscape to one party's advantage.  Voting down a nominee is okay; refusing to even consider confirmation on any candidate is not okay.

There are lots of elements of the operations of both houses of congress that aren't in the constitution.  That's by design. 
The future is all around us, waiting, in moments of transition, to be born in moments of revelation. No one knows the shape of that future or where it will take us. We know only that it is always born in pain.   -G'Kar

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The Minsky Moment

Quote from: grumbler on January 23, 2018, 12:59:48 PM
  Voting down a nominee is okay; refusing to even consider confirmation on any candidate is not okay.

Agreed.  Advice and consent isn't just a Senatorial right, it's a duty.  Refusing consideration of a Presidential nominee was a dereliction of that duty.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

garbon

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on January 23, 2018, 10:48:25 AM
Quote from: garbon on January 22, 2018, 11:06:17 PM
I'm kinda tired of the party of honorable losers.

Dishonorable losers is not an improvement.

Congress has a moral and constitutional responsibility to keep the doors open.  It is the barest minimum requirement of the job.  It's exceedingly dangerous to reinforce the habit of using the functioning of the government as a routine political chip. Playing tit for tat weakens the institutions all around, creates a sense of routine crisis - that's the road to Weimar or one of the crappier French Republics.

With respect to GC, it's not right to view this as a simple, repeated PD game.  In game theory terms there isn't a properly specified payout matrix because every two years the voters get their say and can upend the table.  So far on a limited sample, the Democrats have done OK making their case to the voters despite their own disarray.  That's how political beefs are supposed to handled.

I do, of course agree. -_- I am tired of this notion of holding the entire country hostage over single issues - at least of the size of the ones that have been over which the government has been shutdown. I also, don't like how we keep just pushing the lack of funding date and not actually establishing funding for a reasonable amount of time (just a few weeks is not it...).
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

mongers

Quote from: garbon on January 23, 2018, 02:56:30 PM
Quote from: The Minsky Moment on January 23, 2018, 10:48:25 AM
Quote from: garbon on January 22, 2018, 11:06:17 PM
I'm kinda tired of the party of honorable losers.

Dishonorable losers is not an improvement.

Congress has a moral and constitutional responsibility to keep the doors open.  It is the barest minimum requirement of the job.  It's exceedingly dangerous to reinforce the habit of using the functioning of the government as a routine political chip. Playing tit for tat weakens the institutions all around, creates a sense of routine crisis - that's the road to Weimar or one of the crappier French Republics.

With respect to GC, it's not right to view this as a simple, repeated PD game.  In game theory terms there isn't a properly specified payout matrix because every two years the voters get their say and can upend the table.  So far on a limited sample, the Democrats have done OK making their case to the voters despite their own disarray.  That's how political beefs are supposed to handled.

I do, of course agree. -_- I am tired of this notion of holding the entire country hostage over single issues - at least of the size of the ones that have been over which the government has been shutdown. I also, don't like how we keep just pushing the lack of funding date and not actually establishing funding for a reasonable amount of time (just a few weeks is not it...).

Good job Trumps America doesn't grow bananas*.




*no doubt somewhere in Florida they do.
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