NFL Postseason Megathread: Playoffs in the Post-Orton Era

Started by CountDeMoney, December 29, 2014, 02:08:07 PM

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Sophie Scholl

#450
Quote from: CountDeMoney on January 20, 2015, 11:40:36 AM
Word on the street is the Ravens will introduce Adam Gase as the new OC today, even though Harbaugh apparently wanted to talk to Marc Trestman.

I think, between the two, I would rather have Trestman.  :mellow:
I'm was hoping Del Rio nabbed Trestman for Oakland.  Looks like your boys got him while Oakland got Bill Musgrave.  Meh. <_<
"Everything that brought you here -- all the things that made you a prisoner of past sins -- they are gone. Forever and for good. So let the past go... and live."

"Somebody, after all, had to make a start. What we wrote and said is also believed by many others. They just don't dare express themselves as we did."

CountDeMoney


Ed Anger

Quote from: derspiess on January 20, 2015, 12:13:06 PM
Now Ed's gonna have to get another Dalton Pro Bowl jersey to go with the 2012 one.

Pro bowl....what's that?
Stay Alive...Let the Man Drive

dps

Yeah, the NFL Pro Bowl has gone from irrelevant to a complete joke.

11B4V

"there's a long tradition of insulting people we disagree with here, and I'll be damned if I listen to your entreaties otherwise."-OVB

"Obviously not a Berkut-commanded armored column.  They're not all brewing."- CdM

"We've reached one of our phase lines after the firefight and it smells bad—meaning it's a little bit suspicious... Could be an amb—".

jimmy olsen

#455
    A good sign! :w00t:

http://www.businessinsider.com/las-vegas-super-bowl-point-spread-2015-1#ixzz3PPegnD1l

QuoteLas Vegas Screwed Up The Point Spread For The Super Bowl — And It Could Cost Millions

Cork Gaines

 

       
  • Jan. 20, 2015,  9:37 AM
With 12 days to go before the Super Bowl, there is no favorite to win the big game. But it didn't start out that way, and that could spell disaster for Las Vegas sportsbooks.

Shortly after the New England Patriots completed their destruction of the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Championship game, the 2015 Super Bowl opened with the Seattle Seahawks as 2.5- or 3-point favorites, depending on where you looked.

However, in the first 24 hours of betting, the line fell all the way to a pick 'em (no favorite), a surprisingly big move for a point spread and a rare miss by Las Vegas.
Bill Simmons of ESPN discussed the point spread on his podcast, saying that "Vegas really screwed up with that line" and that it is rare for them to miss by that many points.

Keep in mind, point spreads are not designed to predict the winner. Rather, the purpose of a point spread is to find a number where equal amounts of money are being bet on both sides. When this happens, Vegas wins, as losing bets typically have to pay an extra 10% (i.e., a person placing a $100 bet is actually betting $110 to win $100).

In the case of the Super Bowl, that didn't happen. About 80% of the bets on the big game in the first 24 hours were on the Patriots, according to PreGame.com.

What is even more intriguing about this big swing is that the early betting action is typically done by the more seasoned and often professional gamblers making big bets (aka "sharps"), while Joe Public typically waits until a day or two before the game or even until game day.

This means that the usually smarter gamblers felt the opening line with the Seahawks favored was a terrible line and immediately put a ton of money on the Patriots,
including at least one "six-figure" bet at the MGM Casino, according to ESPN.com.

So when the Super Bowl kicks off there will likely be a lot more money riding on New England — which means if the Pats win, Vegas is going to lose big time.
[/list]
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
1 Karma Chameleon point

Admiral Yi

The Super Duper Bowl always attracts the most stupid money.

alfred russel

    Quote from: jimmy olsen on January 20, 2015, 07:53:33 PM
    So when the Super Bowl kicks off there will likely be a lot more money riding on New England — which means if the Pats win, Vegas is going to lose big time.
    [/list]

    Or if Seattle wins, Vegas will win big time.

    Tim may think this is a good sign for the Patriots, but the ostentation of the Vegas Strip indicates that Vegas tends to win these things.
    They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

    There's a fine line between salvation and drinking poison in the jungle.

    I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
    -garbon, February 23, 2014

    alfred russel

    I think I will support the Patriots in this thing. Carroll and Wilson are annoying. Especially Carroll. Belichick and Brady have already established superstardom, so they will gain less from a win. Also, a Patriots win has already been tainted due to the cheating.

    Hell, next year Belichick and Brady may even be sentimental favorites. Two guys that have won so much together, but as the clock runs out on their time together, can they get over the hump and win their first legitimate super bowl?
    They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

    There's a fine line between salvation and drinking poison in the jungle.

    I'm embarrassed. I've been making the mistake of associating with you. It won't happen again. :)
    -garbon, February 23, 2014

    Ed Anger

    Quote from: alfred russel on January 20, 2015, 10:08:26 PM
    I think I will support the Patriots in this thing. Carroll and Wilson are annoying. Especially Carroll. Belichick and Brady have already established superstardom, so they will gain less from a win. Also, a Patriots win has already been tainted due to the cheating.

    Hell, next year Belichick and Brady may even be sentimental favorites. Two guys that have won so much together, but as the clock runs out on their time together, can they get over the hump and win their first legitimate super bowl?

    I just revoked the not picking on you for a month award. Fag.
    Stay Alive...Let the Man Drive

    crazy canuck

    Quote from: alfred russel on January 20, 2015, 10:08:26 PM
    I think I will support the Patriots in this thing. Carroll and Wilson are annoying. Especially Carroll. Belichick and Brady have already established superstardom, so they will gain less from a win. Also, a Patriots win has already been tainted due to the cheating.

    Hell, next year Belichick and Brady may even be sentimental favorites. Two guys that have won so much together, but as the clock runs out on their time together, can they get over the hump and win their first legitimate super bowl?

    I didnt think it was possible for someone to sink lower than Timmay. Congratulations. 

    jimmy olsen

    Quote from: alfred russel on January 20, 2015, 10:08:26 PM
    I think I will support the Patriots in this thing. Carroll and Wilson are annoying. Especially Carroll. Belichick and Brady have already established superstardom, so they will gain less from a win. Also, a Patriots win has already been tainted due to the cheating.

    Hell, next year Belichick and Brady may even be sentimental favorites. Two guys that have won so much together, but as the clock runs out on their time together, can they get over the hump and win their first legitimate super bowl?
    :w00t:

    My brothah from anothah mothah! :hug:
    It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

    Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
    Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
    Jet: I see.
    Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
    --------------------------------------------
    1 Karma Chameleon point

    Jacob

    Quote from: jimmy olsen on January 21, 2015, 12:02:31 AM
    Quote from: alfred russel on January 20, 2015, 10:08:26 PM
    I think I will support the Patriots in this thing. Carroll and Wilson are annoying. Especially Carroll. Belichick and Brady have already established superstardom, so they will gain less from a win. Also, a Patriots win has already been tainted due to the cheating.

    Hell, next year Belichick and Brady may even be sentimental favorites. Two guys that have won so much together, but as the clock runs out on their time together, can they get over the hump and win their first legitimate super bowl?
    :w00t:

    My brothah from anothah mothah! :hug:

    So you saying your dad was unfaithful to your mom?

    Sophie Scholl

    So... Tim's article indicates to me that the Seahawks are now guaranteed to win!  The House always wins. :ph34r:
    "Everything that brought you here -- all the things that made you a prisoner of past sins -- they are gone. Forever and for good. So let the past go... and live."

    "Somebody, after all, had to make a start. What we wrote and said is also believed by many others. They just don't dare express themselves as we did."

    jimmy olsen

    #464
    Maybe they were just a bad batch?  Or temperature difference from the locker room where they were weighed to the field? :cry:

    Nah, almost certainly not. I'm just wondering how they pulled it off. The ref inspects and approves the balls, and then they're sent to the sideline right? 
    http://espn.go.com/boston/story/_/id/12202450/nfl-says-new-england-patriots-had-inflated-footballs-afc-championship-game
    It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

    Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
    Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
    Jet: I see.
    Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
    --------------------------------------------
    1 Karma Chameleon point