Russo-Ukrainian War 2014-26

[The Minsky Moment]

Munich from 1938 called, they want their imminent world war back.

I think that's too harsh on Chamberlain and on the call at Munich. Chamberlain has a sense of what he was dealing with but was concerned about the relative lack of preparation; he did use the interim period to gear up for war.

Trump and Witkoff are straight up Quislings, cat's paws for Putin.

[The Minsky Moment]

The US can recognize anything it wants, it doesn't change the facts on the ground. Two weeks ago Trump was wanting to send tomahawks, asking Zelensky to strike Moscow. It's best not to focus too much on the imperial death throes in Washington. They've provided less than 1% of the aid Ukraine received in 2025, confirming their irrelevancy.

This.

It's the reality show Presidency in Washington.  Torrents of words and posturing and mugging for the cameras, no content.  Just ignore it all, Zelensky seems to have figured it out.  Ignore it all, and if the US drops something nice to you at some point, great; otherwise, it's business as usual.

[Josquius]

The US can recognize anything it wants, it doesn't change the facts on the ground. Two weeks ago Trump was wanting to send tomahawks, asking Zelensky to strike Moscow. It's best not to focus too much on the imperial death throes in Washington. They've provided less than 1% of the aid Ukraine received in 2025, confirming their irrelevancy.

Materiel and financial.
US intelligence remains important. I don't think Europe can replicate us satelite coverage

[Jacob]

The materiel is all paid for (primarily by Europe, I believe). It matters, of course, but it's not donations as I understand it.

[Zoupa]

The US can recognize anything it wants, it doesn't change the facts on the ground. Two weeks ago Trump was wanting to send tomahawks, asking Zelensky to strike Moscow. It's best not to focus too much on the imperial death throes in Washington. They've provided less than 1% of the aid Ukraine received in 2025, confirming their irrelevancy.

Materiel and financial.
US intelligence remains important. I don't think Europe can replicate us satelite coverage

It can and has.

[Jacob]

So apparently the key pillar of Trump's peace plan is to make Trump and his friends a lot of money...

I'm not sure how reliable a source Daily Beast is, but sounds believable: https://www.thedailybeast.com/trumps-2-trillion-plan-to-cash-in-on-ukraine-peace-leaks/

[crazy canuck]

The US can recognize anything it wants, it doesn't change the facts on the ground. Two weeks ago Trump was wanting to send tomahawks, asking Zelensky to strike Moscow. It's best not to focus too much on the imperial death throes in Washington. They've provided less than 1% of the aid Ukraine received in 2025, confirming their irrelevancy.

A very good summary

[Legbiter]

Pokrovsk.

Warhammer 40k stuff.   

Contains a carpet of dead zetniks

[The Minsky Moment]

So apparently the key pillar of Trump's peace plan is to make Trump and his friends a lot of money...

I'm not sure how reliable a source Daily Beast is, but sounds believable: https://www.thedailybeast.com/trumps-2-trillion-plan-to-cash-in-on-ukraine-peace-leaks/

Based on reporting in the WSJ which seems solid.  Totally on brand for both sides.

The combination of corruption, stupidity, and gullibility is just so deadly.  Trump is the worst kind of gullible person; the kind whose own self-identity is based on the idea of being street-smart.  He is truly a dream come true for Putin and the FSB.

There is such a long and very well-developed history of western companies and investors getting ripped off trying to play in post-Soviet Russia you'd think there couldn't possibly be any rubes left whose greediness so overwhelms their judgment. But no, mar-a-lago to the rescue.