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Iran War?

Started by Jacob, February 16, 2025, 02:00:06 PM

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Jacob

February 16, 2025, 02:00:06 PM
Nethanyahu is apparently saying that with US help, they can "finish the job" with Iran.

How far do you think that conflict is going to escalate?

The Minsky Moment

#1
February 16, 2025, 04:04:29 PM
Quote from: Jacob on February 16, 2025, 02:00:06 PMNethanyahu is apparently saying that with US help, they can "finish the job" with Iran.

Seems naive.  I don't think Iran will help Israel and America to take over Gaza, even if the Ayatollahs are cut in on the golf club resorts.
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

jimmy olsen

#2
February 16, 2025, 08:46:19 PM
Hard to say, he's already proven to be more crazier and more erratic than his first term. Almost anything could happen
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
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Razgovory

#3
February 17, 2025, 12:06:52 AM
I'm guessing the Israelis are going to do air strikes in Iran this year.  The Iranians have had a rough last year, and they've shown that they have no real way to respond to US or Israeli attacks.  The failure to respond to the Soleimani killing has left them wide open to attack.  They could always do a terrorist attack, but unless it is against a military target they will suffer considerable blow back.  And hitting a US or Israeli military target would be tough.  The best bet would be a US military base in the Middle East, Africa or the rest of Asia, but those are pretty well guarded.  They pulled if off 40 years ago though...  Hitting a target in Europe would be... unwise.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

viper37

#4
February 20, 2025, 12:58:50 PM
Quote from: Jacob on February 16, 2025, 02:00:06 PMNethanyahu is apparently saying that with US help, they can "finish the job" with Iran.

How far do you think that conflict is going to escalate?
The sanctions against Russia are already unofficially lifted and they are free to do commerce with anyone unimpeded.

The US has announced 8 billion$ cuts to the Pentagon, and that includes Africa, where Russia anc China were already moving in to displace the US since 2016.

My guess is China will sell military hardware to Russia and they will resell it to Iran.  There's no CIA to watch what is going on in Russia or China anymore and no other intelligence agency with a budget to watch what is going on either if there is US military secrets being stolen and resold to enemies of the US.

This will maximize damage and casualties, create more chaos.  If Iran can get its hands on some nukes, or even dirty nukes, it will be fun time for Israel to stop a real terror attack.  There likely won't be anymore deployment of a carrier strike group in the Red Sea by this summer.
I don't do meditation.  I drink alcohol to relax, like normal people.

If Microsoft Excel decided to stop working overnight, the world would practically end.

HVC

#5
February 20, 2025, 01:00:46 PM
It'll go as far as necessary to keep netanyahu out of jail.
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

Tonitrus

#6
February 20, 2026, 06:52:36 PM
Might as well keep this seat warm...

PJL

#7
February 20, 2026, 07:07:46 PM
I expect the US to attack within the next 3 weeks or so. There is nothing the Iranians can do to prevent this short of Khamenei resigning.

HVC

#8
February 20, 2026, 07:09:05 PM
Get a hold of the Epstein files and blackmail Trump?
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

Jacob

#9
February 20, 2026, 07:11:46 PM
It's kind of interesting (when putting aside the human and moral implications).

Between the impending action in Iran, the action in Venezuela, and Trump's "Board of Peace" it very much feels like taking internet pundit, over-simplified "why doesn't the US just do X" being taken from internet message boards and acted on in real life.

It'll be very interesting to see how it plays out.

mongers

#10
February 20, 2026, 09:05:13 PM
Quote from: Jacob on February 20, 2026, 07:11:46 PMIt's kind of interesting (when putting aside the human and moral implications).

Between the impending action in Iran, the action in Venezuela, and Trump's "Board of Peace" it very much feels like taking internet pundit, over-simplified "why doesn't the US just do X" being taken from internet message boards and acted on in real life.

It'll be very interesting to see how it plays out.

God forbid anyone with any real authority/power is reading our forum.  :P
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

Legbiter

#11
February 20, 2026, 09:17:25 PM
Winter Olympics finish on Sunday so not before then. The F-22's are in place as of 2 days ago, no idea how long the stealth coating lasts before they have to go back to specialized hangars in the US. :hmm:
Posted using 100% recycled electrons.

Baron von Schtinkenbutt

#12
February 20, 2026, 09:35:53 PM
Why do you think the "stealth coating" doesn't last?

mongers

#13
February 20, 2026, 11:15:05 PM
Quote from: Baron von Schtinkenbutt on February 20, 2026, 09:35:53 PMWhy do you think the "stealth coating" doesn't last?

It's because of Executive Order BS.2112, which stipulates that all air force aircraft must now be regularly polished to a shinny finish, it's how the CIC like to see them.
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

Tamas

#14
Today at 07:09:09 AM
Quote from: PJL on February 20, 2026, 07:07:46 PMI expect the US to attack within the next 3 weeks or so. There is nothing the Iranians can do to prevent this short of Khamenei resigning.

There are plenty they can do. There are all kinds of ways to pay tribute to the Trump family.
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