What does a TRUMP presidency look like?

Started by FunkMonk, November 08, 2016, 11:02:57 PM

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frunk

Quote from: Syt on July 08, 2025, 10:23:19 AMI feel this could be so much easier. Make being unemployed a crime. And since slavery is still allowed for convicted criminals ... :P

They'll get there, just taking baby steps.

Josquius

Quote from: crazy canuck on July 08, 2025, 09:15:21 AMAn over simplification, it wouldn't do this with something so simple and rather for more complicated questions, but just for illustration....
If you ask AI what the population of Nowheresville is then it will try to find an answer for this.
If it can't find one it might nonetheless fill in a probable answer.

"The population of Nowheresville is 300" is a perfectly valid fill in the blank answer. It's possible it is true. Very possible it really isn't. It's what seems the most probable based on what the AI has access to - whether that's actual up to date census information or fuck all.

You are misusing the word valid
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Not really, it is a valid answer.
Its not necessarily a correct answer  (it might be, it might not be) but it is a valid one. Its plausible. Its correct English.

That's really core to what hallucinations are. Chat GPT et al don't know what is true and what is not. They are made to output valid answers. This normally does mean something that is also true, but not always.
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crazy canuck

Quote from: grumbler on July 08, 2025, 10:05:35 AMTo be fair, you are misusing the word "guessing."

Yes, but I have simplified what is happening to make the point that generative AI is not engaging in a probability analysis of the most likely answer. That is why it fabricates answers that have no relationship to reality.

grumbler

Quote from: crazy canuck on July 08, 2025, 11:25:56 AM
Quote from: grumbler on July 08, 2025, 10:05:35 AMTo be fair, you are misusing the word "guessing."

Yes, but I have simplified what is happening to make the point that generative AI is not engaging in a probability analysis of the most likely answer. That is why it fabricates answers that have no relationship to reality.

My understanding (very limited) is that the GAI tries to figure out what the most common next word segment would be based on its library, and the hallucinations occur because it backs itself into a corner that way (since it is only looking for the next segment and not at any future segment beyond the next).  My understanding is that you are correct to say that the GAI is not looking for probabilities.
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Bayraktar!

HisMajestyBOB

Quote from: Valmy on July 08, 2025, 10:36:19 AMOn Medicaid? Do they think people can live on Medicaid and are just laying around getting those fat Medicaid checks?

Does anybody in this administration know what Medicaid is?

They know that Medicaid gets in the way of more money for the rich.
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HVC

Quote from: HisMajestyBOB on July 08, 2025, 11:50:05 AM
Quote from: Valmy on July 08, 2025, 10:36:19 AMOn Medicaid? Do they think people can live on Medicaid and are just laying around getting those fat Medicaid checks?

Does anybody in this administration know what Medicaid is?

They know that Medicaid gets in the way of more money for the rich.

Medicaid makes bootstraps slippery so that those lazy sick and old people can't  pull themselves up.
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

Richard Hakluyt

50% tariff on copper imports  :hmm:

Thus making US construction, electrical and electronic goods more expensive. Once again I just don't get it.

Valmy

Quote from: Richard Hakluyt on July 08, 2025, 10:19:37 PM50% tariff on copper imports  :hmm:

Thus making US construction, electrical and electronic goods more expensive. Once again I just don't get it.


Are we protecting the domestic copper mine industry? Yeah I don't get it either. But there is nothing to get.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

HVC

Guess Arizona will be happy at least.
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

Tamas

Quote from: Richard Hakluyt on July 08, 2025, 10:19:37 PM50% tariff on copper imports  :hmm:

Thus making US construction, electrical and electronic goods more expensive. Once again I just don't get it.


He will delay them indefinitely anyways. He just doesn't want to repeat himself so he needs to go through a list of products/raw materials he had an aide print out for him

frunk

More likely the industries relying on copper imports probably haven't bribed him enough yet.

crazy canuck

Quote from: Valmy on July 08, 2025, 11:09:14 PM
Quote from: Richard Hakluyt on July 08, 2025, 10:19:37 PM50% tariff on copper imports  :hmm:

Thus making US construction, electrical and electronic goods more expensive. Once again I just don't get it.


Are we protecting the domestic copper mine industry? Yeah I don't get it either. But there is nothing to get.

From the Globe and Mail

QuoteWhile the U.S. is a much bigger copper producer than Canada, it still relies heavily on copper imports from Canada to meet its needs. Canada last year accounted for 99 per cent of the U.S.'s imports of copper concentrate, a semi-processed form of the metal, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

It becomes a tax on US consumers, like most of the tariffs

crazy canuck

One other point, BC produces 50% of Canada's copper. And none of that goes to the US. Other Canadian producers should be able to shift to the markets we supply if we upgrade our rail infrastructure.


Jacob

What is the likelihood (and potential cost and timeline) of upgrading our rail infrastructure?

On the face of it I'd expect to be a slow and expensive proceed?

Grey Fox

The likelihood is 0. Our operators are not interested in changing anything and the federal government can't whip up a new crown corporation fast enough for anything to matter.
Getting ready to make IEDs against American Occupation Forces.

"But I didn't vote for him"; they cried.